Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Varna
36 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
36 matches
| Spartak Varna | Statistic | Lokomotiv Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 11 |
| 13 | Draws | 14 |
| 16 | Losses | 11 |
| 32 | Goals For | 51 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 1.71 | Shots On Goal | 2.97 |
| 5.74 | Total Shots | 7.41 |
| 2.18 | Corners | 3.41 |
| 26.9% | Ball Possession | 34.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Lokomotiv Sofia's more proactive style and Spartak Varna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lokomotiv Sofia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Spartak Varna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 34 points from 36 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 13 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 32:57, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Berna (6 goals), G. Stojanovski (5 goals), Xande (5 goals), with creative support from Xande (5 assists), G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Angel Granchov (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 10 with 47 points after 36 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 51:45 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Delev (8 goals), Caue Caruzo (7 goals), A. Aralica (6 goals), with creative support from S. Delev (14 assists), Caue Caruzo (4 assists), Krasimir Stanoev (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 4 times, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.
Spartak Varna
6
6
7
3
8
6
Lineups
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Nesebar
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
Beroe
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Teuta Durrës
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dukagjini
Lokomotiv Sofia
Drita
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Nesebar
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Beroe
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lechia Gdansk
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 42 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 60 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 46 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 44 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 39 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 |
Lokomotiv Sofia
Away
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 37 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 12 |
Spartak Varna
Home
|
30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | -25 | 27 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 26 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 17 |
D
L
L
L
L
|