BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Spartak
Referee: M. Markov
Spartak Varna
Match Timeline
Beroe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
2'
Boris Ivanov
Spartak Varna
13'
Jota Lopes
Spartak Varna
🟨
27'
Francisco Varela
Beroe
🔄
46'
T. Chunchukov ↔ M. Georgiev
Spartak Varna
🔄
46'
S. Yovkov ↔ F. Alarcon
Beroe
🟨
57'
Facundo Alarcon
Beroe
🔄
65'
S. Gavrilov ↔ Caio Lopes
Beroe
🔄
69'
Tailson ↔ E. John
Spartak Varna
🔄
80'
F. Varela ↔ M. Georgiev
Beroe
82'
I. Ferrer
Beroe
🔄
85'
T. Marinov ↔ M. Juric-Petrasilo
Spartak Varna
86'
F. Alarcon
Beroe
🟨
90+1'
Miroslav Georgiev
Beroe
🔄
90+1'
G. Stojanovski ↔ P. Prindzhev
Spartak Varna
🔄
90+1'
Jota Lopes ↔ D. Ivanov
Spartak Varna
🔄
90+1'
M. Borgnino ↔ W. Dual
Beroe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Spartak Varna Win 49.6%
Draw 16.4%
Beroe Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Varna1.09
Beroe1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WWDLW
25 GF / 50 GA
Beroe Beroe
WLDWL
19 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.63
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
16
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
14
1.96
Shots on Goal
2.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 30 matches
Beroe Beroe 30 matches
Spartak Varna Statistic Beroe
5 Wins 4
12 Draws 11
13 Losses 15
25 Goals For 19
50 Goals Against 44
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
16 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 15
1.96 Shots On Goal 2.43
6.71 Total Shots 6.5
2.54 Corners 2.79
31.6% Ball Possession 31.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Beroe. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Spartak Varna Analysis

Spartak Varna sit 12 with 27 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 13 defeats with a 25:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Berna (6 goals), G. Stojanovski (4 goals), Xande (4 goals), with creative support from G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Xande (2 assists), Angel Granchov (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Beroe Analysis

With 23 points from 30 games and a place of 15, Beroe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 19:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Leandro Godoy (13 goals), Alberto Salido (10 goals), Carlos Algarra López (2 goals), with creative support from Alberto Salido (4 assists), Carlos Algarra López (2 assists), Nene (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 0 times, Beroe won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:21 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1 / Beroe 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spartak Varna wins 0, draws 3, Beroe wins 7
Stats
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
Beroe Beroe
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
7
3 Corner Kicks 9
5 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Goal 9
3 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 7
5 Shots insidebox 12
2 Shots outsidebox 13
7 Goalkeeper Saves 2
215 Total passes 522
133 Passes accurate 439
0.48 expected_goals 3.15
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Spartak Varna
Formation
Beroe
P. Ribeiro
P. Ribeiro
D. Lozev
D. Lozev
A. Granchov
A. Granchov
D. Krastev
D. Krastev
B. Ivanov
B. Ivanov
T. Marinov
T. Marinov
Jota Lopes
Jota Lopes
Xande
Xande
Tailson
Tailson
G. Stojanovski
G. Stojanovski
T. Chunchukov
T. Chunchukov
Arthur
Arthur
F. Costantini
F. Costantini
J. Salomoni
J. Salomoni
S. Yovkov
S. Yovkov
D. Valverde
D. Valverde
M. Borgnino
M. Borgnino
S. Gavrilov
S. Gavrilov
F. Varela
F. Varela
T. Sonha
T. Sonha
Y. Valbuena
Y. Valbuena
I. Ferrer
I. Ferrer
Spartak Varna 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Ribeiro
G
20
D. Lozev
D
44
A. Granchov
D
5
D. Krastev
D
2
B. Ivanov
🟥 2'
D
17
T. Marinov
↓ 85'
M
10
Jota Lopes
⚽ 13' ↓ 90+1'
M
21
Xande
29
Tailson
↓ 69'
M
90
G. Stojanovski
↓ 90+1'
F
9
T. Chunchukov
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
7
P. Prindzhev
↑ 90+1'
F
23
M. Kovalyov
G
3
M. Juric-Petrasilo
↑ 85'
18
S. Moukachar
M
6
E. John
↑ 69'
M
50
M. Georgiev
↑ 46'
39
K. Kurbanov
M
8
D. Ivanov
↑ 90+1'
M
13
Tales
F
Beroe 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Arthur
G
4
F. Costantini
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
16
S. Yovkov
↓ 46'
D
12
D. Valverde
M
8
M. Borgnino
↓ 90+1'
M
24
S. Gavrilov
↓ 65'
M
32
F. Varela
↓ 80' 🟨 27'
M
23
T. Sonha
M
9
Y. Valbuena
11
I. Ferrer
⚽ 82'
F
Substitutes
5
Caio Lopes
↑ 65'
M
15
F. Alarcon
⚽ 86' ↑ 46' 🟨 57'
F
27
A. Dabo
D
22
M. Georgiev
↑ 80' 🟨 90+1'
M
17
W. Dual
↑ 90+1'
M
6
I. Mitev
D
99
V. Quintero
G
25
Johny
D
18
S. Rusenov
M
Last matches: Spartak Varna
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
18.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
05.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
H2H: Spartak Varna vs Beroe
24.04.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
21.11.25
H2H
Beroe
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
21.07.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
0
D
26.05.25
H2H
Beroe
Spartak Varna
3
1
L
10.05.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
01.03.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
3
L
18.10.24
H2H
Beroe
Spartak Varna
3
0
L
25.05.23
H2H
Beroe
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
09.04.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
4
L
09.09.22
H2H
Beroe
Spartak Varna
3
1
L
Last matches: Spartak Varna
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
07.12.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
29.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
0
4
L
07.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
1
4
L
24.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
28.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
3
0
W
30.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
16.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
1
3
L
01.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
21.07.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
0
D
H2H at home: Spartak Varna
24.04.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
21.07.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
0
D
10.05.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
01.03.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
3
L
09.04.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
4
L
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
29.11.25
Fir
Beroe
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
08.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
26.10.25
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
1
5
L
04.10.25
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
21.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
31.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
11.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
W
04.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
0
4
L
21.07.25
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
H2H away: Beroe
24.04.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
W
21.07.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
0
D
10.05.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
W
01.03.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
3
W
09.04.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
4
W

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15
Beroe Away
30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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