RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Lukoil Arena
Referee: I. Abrosimov
Spartak Moscow
Match Timeline
Rubin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
C. Wooh · Assist: M. Ugalde
Spartak Moscow
🔄
21'
A. Arroyo ↔ D. Kabutov
Rubin
🟨
34'
Denil Maldonado
Rubin
🔄
46'
D. Maldonado ↔ N. Lobov
Rubin
🟨
53'
Marquinhos
Spartak Moscow
60'
P. Solari · Assist: M. Ugalde
Spartak Moscow
🟨
63'
Ignacio Saavedra
Rubin
🔄
65'
P. Solari ↔ G. Fernandes
Spartak Moscow
🔄
65'
I. Saavedra ↔ B. Jocic
Rubin
🔄
65'
N. Gripshi ↔ A. Jukic
Rubin
🔄
75'
R. Litvinov ↔ C. Martins
Spartak Moscow
🔄
75'
Marquinhos ↔ I. Dmitriev
Spartak Moscow
🔄
79'
R. Bezrukov ↔ J. Siwe
Rubin
🟨
84'
Manfred Ugalde
Spartak Moscow
🟨
84'
Igor Vujačić
Rubin
🟨
85'
Bogdan Jočić
Rubin
🔄
87'
M. Ugalde ↔ L. Garcia
Spartak Moscow
🔄
87'
R. Zobnin ↔ N. Massalyga
Spartak Moscow
🟨
90+1'
Veldin Hodža
Rubin
90'
A. Jukic · Assist: B. Jocic
Rubin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 38.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
38.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
42.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spartak Moscow Win 56.8%
Draw 8%
Rubin Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow1.34
Rubin1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WWDLW
45 GF / 38 GA
Rubin Rubin
WLDWL
26 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
19
BTTS Yes
8
17
Over 2.5
9
4.46
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 28 matches
Rubin Rubin 28 matches
Spartak Moscow Statistic Rubin
14 Wins 11
6 Draws 9
8 Losses 8
45 Goals For 26
38 Goals Against 26
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
19 BTTS Yes 8
24 Over 1.5 14
17 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 14
3 Failed To Score 11
4.46 Shots On Goal 3
13.82 Total Shots 10.14
5.5 Corners 3.82
61.3% Ball Possession 43.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Spartak Moscow's more proactive style and Rubin's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Rubin seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spartak Moscow expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Rubin in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rubin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rubin.

Spartak Moscow Analysis

Spartak Moscow arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 48 points after 28 matches. The record of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 45:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Barco (8 goals), Pablo Solari (7 goals), G. Fernandes (5 goals), with creative support from E. Barco (7 assists), Marquinhos (6 assists), I. Dmitriev (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Babic unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Rubin Analysis

So far, Rubin have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 42 points from 28 matches. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 26:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Daku (10 goals), Veldin Hodža (3 goals), D. Shabanhaxhaj (2 goals), with creative support from N. Gripshi (3 assists), U. Iwu (3 assists), Dmitriy Kabutov (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without U. Iwu, A. Shvets, I. Rozhkov, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 8 times, Rubin won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:11 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1 / Rubin 3-4-3
Missing players: Spartak Moscow 1, Rubin 3
H2H summary: Spartak Moscow wins 8, draws 4, Rubin wins 3
Stats
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
Rubin Rubin
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 0
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 4
12 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
622 Total passes 319
539 Passes accurate 237
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Spartak Moscow
Formation
Rubin
A. Maksimenko
A. Maksimenko
D. Denisov
D. Denisov
C. Wooh
C. Wooh
A. Djiku
A. Djiku
R. Zobnin
R. Zobnin
R. Litvinov
R. Litvinov
N. Umyarov
N. Umyarov
P. Solari
P. Solari
E. Barco
E. Barco
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
M. Ugalde
🎯
M. Ugalde
E. Staver
E. Staver
D. Maldonado
D. Maldonado
I. Vujacic
I. Vujacic
E. Teslenko
E. Teslenko
A. Arroyo
A. Arroyo
I. Saavedra
I. Saavedra
V. Hodza
V. Hodza
K. Nizhegorodov
K. Nizhegorodov
N. Gripshi
N. Gripshi
M. Daku
M. Daku
R. Bezrukov
R. Bezrukov
Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
98
A. Maksimenko
G
97
D. Denisov
D
3
C. Wooh
⚽ 4'
D
4
A. Djiku
D
47
R. Zobnin
↓ 87'
D
68
R. Litvinov
↓ 75'
M
18
N. Umyarov
M
7
P. Solari
⚽ 60' ↓ 65'
M
5
E. Barco
M
10
Marquinhos
↓ 75' 🟨 53'
M
9
M. Ugalde
🎯 4' 🎯 60' ↓ 87' 🟨 84'
F
Substitutes
56
A. Dovbnya
G
1
I. Pomazun
G
35
C. Martins
↑ 75'
M
28
D. Zorin
M
27
I. Dmitriev
↑ 75'
M
91
A. Zabolotnyi
F
83
G. Fernandes
↑ 65'
M
11
L. Garcia
↑ 87'
F
2
O. Reabciuk
D
14
I. Samoshnikov
D
17
V. Saus
M
24
N. Massalyga
↑ 87'
M
Rubin 3-4-3
Starting XI
38
E. Staver
G
3
D. Maldonado
↓ 46' 🟨 34'
D
5
I. Vujacic
🟨 84'
D
2
E. Teslenko
D
12
A. Arroyo
↓ 21'
M
7
I. Saavedra
↓ 65' 🟨 63'
M
22
V. Hodza
🟨 90+1'
M
4
K. Nizhegorodov
M
11
N. Gripshi
↓ 65'
F
10
M. Daku
F
23
R. Bezrukov
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
25
A. Nigmatullin
G
1
A. Kenyaykin
G
19
O. Ivanov
M
21
A. Zotov
M
70
D. Kabutov
↑ 21'
D
27
A. Gritsaenko
D
8
B. Jocic
🎯 90' ↑ 65' 🟨 85'
M
44
D. Kuznetsov
M
98
N. Lobov
↑ 46'
D
14
D. Kuzyaev
M
77
A. Jukic
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
M
43
J. Siwe
↑ 79'
F
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
02.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
3
2
W
23.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
5
2
W
10.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
Last matches: Rubin
18.07.26
Fri
Rubin
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Rubin
Krylia Sovetov
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Rubin
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Rubin
KAMAZ
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pre
Rubin
Baltika
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Rubin
CSKA Moscow
0
0
D
22.04.26
Pre
Rubin
Dynamo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Rubin
Akron
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Orenburg
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Sochi
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Rubin
Krylia Sovetov
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Rubin
Lokomotiv
3
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Krasnodar
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rubin
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Pakhtakor
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Navbahor
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rubin
Zhenys
2
0
W
H2H: Spartak Moscow vs Rubin
08.07.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
11.05.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
23.08.25
H2H
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
0
2
W
09.03.25
H2H
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
2
1
L
31.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
0
W
19.05.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
3
1
W
05.08.23
H2H
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
1
4
W
16.04.22
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
1
D
24.07.21
H2H
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
1
0
L
14.07.21
H2H
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
0
4
W
28.02.21
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
2
L
20.09.20
H2H
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
0
2
W
22.07.20
H2H
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
1
2
W
19.10.19
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
29.04.19
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
1
D
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
23.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
5
2
W
10.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
W
21.09.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
2
2
D
H2H at home: Spartak Moscow
08.07.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
11.05.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
31.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
0
W
19.05.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
3
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
1
D
28.02.21
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
2
L
19.10.19
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
29.04.19
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
1
D
Last matches: Rubin
18.07.26
Fri
Rubin
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pre
Rubin
Baltika
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Rubin
Dynamo
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Rubin
FC Sochi
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Rubin
Krylia Sovetov
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rubin
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Rubin
IMT Novi Beograd
3
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Rubin
FC Rostov
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Rubin
Zenit
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pre
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pre
Rubin
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pre
Rubin
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
20.09.25
Pre
Rubin
Akron
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pre
Rubin
FC Orenburg
2
2
D
09.08.25
Pre
Rubin
CSKA Moscow
1
5
L
20.07.25
Pre
Rubin
Akhmat
2
0
W
H2H away: Rubin
08.07.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
11.05.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
L
31.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
0
L
19.05.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
3
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
1
D
28.02.21
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
2
W
19.10.19
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
29.04.19
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8
Rubin Away
30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Spartak Moscow 1 missing
-
S. Babic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Rubin 3 missing
-
U. Iwu
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Shvets
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
I. Rozhkov
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT