RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
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Lukoil Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spartak Moscow Win 66.5%
Draw 5.4%
FC Orenburg Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow1.45
FC Orenburg1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WWDLW
25 GF / 12 GA
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
7
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
4.8
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 14 matches
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 15 matches
Spartak Moscow Statistic FC Orenburg
10 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
25 Goals For 22
12 Goals Against 14
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
4.8 Shots On Goal 3.6
14 Total Shots 14.2
7 Corners 3.8
60% Ball Possession 41.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 9 times, FC Orenburg won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1 / FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spartak Moscow wins 9, draws 1, FC Orenburg wins 5
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
23.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
2
0
W
16.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Baltika
2
1
W
09.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rodina Moskva
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
Last matches: FC Orenburg
22.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Fakel
0
0
D
14.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
0
3
L
26.07.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
2
1
W
25.06.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
FK Neftekhimik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
1
W
H2H: Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg
05.08.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
5
1
W
22.03.26
H2H
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
2
W
25.10.25
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
02.03.25
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
2
0
L
25.05.24
H2H
Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
0
D
14.03.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
3
1
W
29.11.23
H2H
Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
1
0
L
23.07.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
3
2
W
18.03.23
H2H
Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
2
0
L
31.07.22
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
4
1
W
14.03.20
H2H
Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
1
3
W
29.09.19
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
1
2
L
26.05.19
H2H
Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
2
0
L
28.07.18
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
1
0
W
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
23.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
25.07.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rodina Moskva
3
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
23.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
5
2
W
10.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
H2H at home: Spartak Moscow
05.08.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
5
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
02.03.25
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
14.03.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
3
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
3
2
W
31.07.22
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
4
1
W
29.09.19
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
1
2
L
28.07.18
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Orenburg
22.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Fakel
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3
3
D
13.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
05.12.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
0
1
L
29.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
5
L
13.09.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
1
3
L
17.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akron
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Baltika
2
3
L
H2H away: FC Orenburg
05.08.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
5
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
1
0
L
02.03.25
H2H
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
L