RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
30.08.2026 14:30
Lukoil Arena
Referee: Artem Chistyakov, Russia
Spartak Moscow
Match Timeline
FC Orenburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
10'
Manfred Ugalde
Spartak Moscow
🟨
36'
Danila Vedernikov
FC Orenburg
🟨
41'
Mirlind Daku
Spartak Moscow
🟨
45+2'
Jhon Palacios
FC Orenburg
🟨
59'
Christopher Wooh
Spartak Moscow
🟨
59'
Gedeon Guzina
FC Orenburg
🔄
61'
D. Puebla ↔ E. Nazarenko
FC Orenburg
🔄
61'
D. Rybchinskiy ↔ A. Kasadzhikov
FC Orenburg
66'
R. Kul · Assist: G. Guzina
FC Orenburg
🔄
69'
D. Prutsev ↔ I. Dmitriev
Spartak Moscow
VAR
74'
Roman Zobnin
Spartak Moscow
76'
M. Daku
Spartak Moscow
🔄
77'
N. Umyarov ↔ D. Denisov
Spartak Moscow
🔄
77'
E. Bolotov ↔ O. Minatulaev
FC Orenburg
🔄
77'
G. Guzina ↔ Alexandre Jesus
FC Orenburg
🟨
83'
Omar Minatulaev
FC Orenburg
🟨
86'
Maxime Sivis
FC Orenburg
🟨
90+2'
Aleksey Tataev
FC Orenburg
🟨
90+1'
Emil Tsenov
FC Orenburg
🟨
90'
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
FC Orenburg

Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.87
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.5%
1.37
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.87
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.64
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.84
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.10
Probability Distribution
Spartak Moscow Win 66.5%
Draw 5.4%
FC Orenburg Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow1.45
FC Orenburg1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WWDLW
25 GF / 12 GA
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
7
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
4.8
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 14 matches
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 15 matches
Spartak Moscow Statistic FC Orenburg
10 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
25 Goals For 22
12 Goals Against 14
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
4.8 Shots On Goal 3.6
14 Total Shots 14.2
7.2 Corners 3.8
60.2% Ball Possession 41.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 9 times, FC Orenburg won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1 / FC Orenburg 5-4-1
Missing players: Spartak Moscow 3, FC Orenburg 2
H2H summary: Spartak Moscow wins 9, draws 1, FC Orenburg wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 14:7 7 20
D D W W W
2 8 5 1 2 11:8 3 16
W W W W L
3 8 4 4 0 12:8 4 16
D W D W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:7 8 16
W L D W W
5 8 5 0 3 16:7 9 15
W L W L W
6 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
L W L L W
7 8 3 2 3 12:9 3 11
D L W D L
8 8 2 5 1 11:10 1 11
D D W D D
9 8 2 4 2 13:11 2 10
W D D W L
10 8 2 4 2 12:13 -1 10
W D D W L
11 8 1 5 2 7:10 -3 8
L D D D D
12 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L W L L D
13 8 1 3 4 7:10 -3 6
L W L L D
14 8 0 5 3 9:18 -9 5
D D D L D
15 8 1 1 6 9:21 -12 4
L L L L D
16 8 0 3 5 6:12 -6 3
D L L D L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL