Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- |
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Moscow
25 matches
FC Krasnodar
25 matches
| Spartak Moscow | Statistic | FC Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 16 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 41 | Goals For | 51 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.04 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.28 | Shots On Goal | 4.84 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 15.68 |
| 5.12 | Corners | 5.28 |
| 61.2% | Ball Possession | 59.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Krasnodar. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Operating from 5 place with 45 points from 25 games, Spartak Moscow bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 38:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Barco (7 goals), Pablo Solari (7 goals), G. Fernandes (5 goals), with creative support from E. Barco (6 assists), Marquinhos (6 assists), I. Dmitriev (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with S. Babic, V. Saus, C. Wooh unavailable.
FC Krasnodar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 54 points after 25 matches. With 16 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 49:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Cordoba (14 goals), E. Spertsyan (11 goals), Nikita Krivtsov (6 goals), with creative support from E. Spertsyan (14 assists), J. Cordoba (5 assists), Joao Batxi (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Koksharov, S. Petrov, V. Stezhko, Diego Costa unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 8 times, FC Krasnodar won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:22 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Spartak Moscow
5
3
8
1
5
5
Lineups
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
Akron
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
Akron
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Yelimay Semey
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Akron
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
Akron
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Lokomotiv
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
FC Krasnodar
Away
|
30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Spartak Moscow
Home
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|