Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Spartak Moscow Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fakel Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow1.57
Fakel1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Moscow
WWDLW
23 GF / 12 GA
Fakel
WLDWL
22 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
7
5
Shots on Goal
2.25
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Moscow
13 matches
Fakel
15 matches
| Spartak Moscow | Statistic | Fakel |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 23 | Goals For | 22 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 2.25 |
| 13.75 | Total Shots | 11.25 |
| 7.75 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 65% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 5 times, Fakel won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:8 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1 / Fakel 5-3-2
H2H summary: Spartak Moscow wins 5, draws 1, Fakel wins 2
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
16.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Baltika
2
1
W
09.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rodina Moskva
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
02.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
3
2
W
Last matches: Fakel
15.08.26
Pre
Fakel
CSKA Moscow
0
1
L
10.08.26
Pre
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H: Spartak Moscow vs Fakel
04.05.25
H2H
Fakel
Spartak Moscow
0
0
D
18.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel
3
0
W
10.03.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
0
2
L
28.10.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Spartak Moscow
2
0
L
11.03.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
3
2
W
19.10.22
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Spartak Moscow
1
2
W
15.09.22
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
3
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Spartak Moscow
1
4
W
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
09.08.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
25.07.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rodina Moskva
3
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
23.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
5
2
W
10.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
W
H2H at home: Spartak Moscow
18.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel
3
0
W
10.03.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
0
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
3
2
W
15.09.22
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
3
0
W
Last matches: Fakel
15.08.26
Pre
Fakel
CSKA Moscow
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H away: Fakel
18.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Fakel
3
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 10 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Spartak Moscow
Home
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Fakel
Away
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL