RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Lukoil Arena
Referee: R. Shafeev
Spartak Moscow
Match Timeline
Akhmat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
E. Barco · Assist: Marquinhos
Spartak Moscow
28'
Marquinhos · Assist: P. Solari
Spartak Moscow
39'
G. Fernandes · Assist: Marquinhos
Spartak Moscow
41'
M. Samorodov · Assist: E. Cacintura
Akhmat
🔄
46'
B. Mansilla ↔ G. Kenzhebek
Akhmat
🔄
46'
S. Pryakhin ↔ P. Gadio
Akhmat
🟨
53'
Christopher Wooh
Spartak Moscow
VAR
60'
Manfred Ugalde
Spartak Moscow
🟨
62'
Maksim Sidorov
Akhmat
🔄
64'
C. Wooh ↔ R. Zobnin
Spartak Moscow
🔄
64'
G. Melkadze ↔ M. Konate
Akhmat
🔄
72'
Marquinhos ↔ C. Martins
Spartak Moscow
🔄
86'
M. Sidorov ↔ D. Khlusevich
Akhmat
🔄
86'
M. Zare ↔ O. Ndong
Akhmat
🔄
90+1'
D. Denisov ↔ I. Dmitriev
Spartak Moscow
🔄
90'
M. Ugalde ↔ A. Zabolotnyi
Spartak Moscow
🔄
90'
P. Solari ↔ N. Massalyga
Spartak Moscow

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56%
-
Probability Distribution
Spartak Moscow Win 72.4%
Draw 10.1%
Akhmat Win 17.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow1.46
Akhmat1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WWDLW
38 GF / 32 GA
Akhmat Akhmat
WLDWL
29 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
11
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 24 matches
Akhmat Akhmat 24 matches
Spartak Moscow Statistic Akhmat
12 Wins 8
6 Draws 7
6 Losses 9
38 Goals For 29
32 Goals Against 31
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
15 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 6
4.25 Shots On Goal 3.71
13.42 Total Shots 12.38
5.29 Corners 4.38
60.9% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Spartak Moscow's more proactive style and Akhmat's more cautious structure. Spartak Moscow appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Akhmat. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Akhmat. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spartak Moscow expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Akhmat in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akhmat having the stronger overall control.

Spartak Moscow Analysis

So far, Spartak Moscow have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 42 points from 24 matches. The record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 38:32 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pablo Solari (7 goals), E. Barco (6 goals), L. Garcia (5 goals), with creative support from E. Barco (6 assists), Marquinhos (4 assists), I. Dmitriev (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Babic, D. Zorin, V. Saus unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Akhmat Analysis

Akhmat sit 9 with 31 points after 24 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 29:31 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Cacintura (7 goals), G. Melkadze (7 goals), M. Samorodov (4 goals), with creative support from M. Samorodov (4 assists), E. Cacintura (2 assists), M. Konate (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Sadulaev unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 8 times, Akhmat won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:10 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1 / Akhmat 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Spartak Moscow 3, Akhmat 1
H2H summary: Spartak Moscow wins 8, draws 6, Akhmat wins 1
Stats
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Akhmat
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
0
1 Corner Kicks 1
13 Fouls 23
4 Offsides 1
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
519 Total passes 246
446 Passes accurate 179
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Spartak Moscow
Formation
Akhmat
A. Maksimenko
A. Maksimenko
D. Denisov
D. Denisov
C. Wooh
C. Wooh
A. Djiku
A. Djiku
G. Fernandes
G. Fernandes
N. Umyarov
N. Umyarov
R. Litvinov
R. Litvinov
P. Solari
🎯
P. Solari
E. Barco
E. Barco
Marquinhos
🎯
Marquinhos
M. Ugalde
M. Ugalde
V. Ulyanov
V. Ulyanov
M. Sidorov
M. Sidorov
M. Zare
M. Zare
K. Cake
K. Cake
M. Bogosavac
M. Bogosavac
S. Pryakhin
S. Pryakhin
R. Zhemaletdinov
R. Zhemaletdinov
M. Samorodov
M. Samorodov
E. Cacintura
🎯
E. Cacintura
B. Mansilla
B. Mansilla
G. Melkadze
G. Melkadze
Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
98
A. Maksimenko
G
97
D. Denisov
↓ 90+1'
D
3
C. Wooh
↓ 64' 🟨 53'
D
4
A. Djiku
D
83
G. Fernandes
⚽ 39'
D
18
N. Umyarov
M
68
R. Litvinov
M
7
P. Solari
🎯 28' ↓ 90'
M
5
E. Barco
⚽ 21'
M
10
Marquinhos
⚽ 28' 🎯 21' 🎯 39' ↓ 72'
M
9
M. Ugalde
↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
56
A. Dovbnya
G
1
I. Pomazun
G
47
R. Zobnin
↑ 64'
M
35
C. Martins
↑ 72'
M
28
D. Zorin
M
27
I. Dmitriev
↑ 90+1'
M
91
A. Zabolotnyi
↑ 90'
F
11
L. Garcia
F
2
O. Reabciuk
D
14
I. Samoshnikov
D
24
N. Massalyga
↑ 90'
M
Akhmat 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Ulyanov
G
81
M. Sidorov
↓ 86' 🟨 62'
D
22
M. Zare
↓ 86'
D
5
K. Cake
D
8
M. Bogosavac
D
19
S. Pryakhin
↓ 46'
M
10
R. Zhemaletdinov
M
20
M. Samorodov
⚽ 41'
M
17
E. Cacintura
🎯 41'
M
9
B. Mansilla
↓ 46'
M
77
G. Melkadze
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
88
G. Shelia
G
72
Y. Magomedov
G
13
M. Konate
↑ 64'
F
82
D. Khlusevich
↑ 86'
D
23
G. Kenzhebek
↑ 46'
M
4
T. Ibishev
D
90
O. Ndong
↑ 86'
D
37
P. Gadio
↑ 46'
M
40
R. Utsiev
D
80
V. Tsarukyan
M
27
A. Davlitgereev
M
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
02.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
3
2
W
23.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
5
2
W
10.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
Last matches: Akhmat
16.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Ajman
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
29.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Olmaliq
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Bars
2
0
W
H2H: Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat
19.04.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
09.11.25
H2H
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
2
W
30.03.25
H2H
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
0
0
D
11.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
0
0
D
03.12.23
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow
2
1
L
26.08.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
0
0
D
01.04.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
2
1
W
03.10.21
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow
0
1
W
16.05.21
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow
2
2
D
14.08.20
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
W
15.07.20
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
3
0
W
11.08.19
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow
1
3
W
30.03.19
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow
1
3
W
Last matches: Spartak Moscow
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
02.07.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Akron
4
3
W
23.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
5
2
W
10.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
W
21.09.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
2
2
D
H2H at home: Spartak Moscow
19.04.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
W
11.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
0
0
D
26.08.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
0
0
D
01.04.23
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
0
0
D
04.12.21
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
2
1
W
14.08.20
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
W
15.07.20
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
3
0
W
Last matches: Akhmat
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Rubin
0
1
L
02.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
0
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dynamo
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
2
2
D
03.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
27.07.25
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
H2H away: Akhmat
19.04.26
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
3
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Spartak Moscow 3 missing
-
S. Babic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Zorin
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
V. Saus
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Akhmat 1 missing
-
L. Sadulaev
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT