Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56%
|
- |
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Moscow
24 matches
Akhmat
24 matches
| Spartak Moscow | Statistic | Akhmat |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 9 |
| 38 | Goals For | 29 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 13.42 | Total Shots | 12.38 |
| 5.29 | Corners | 4.38 |
| 60.9% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Spartak Moscow's more proactive style and Akhmat's more cautious structure. Spartak Moscow appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Akhmat. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Akhmat. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spartak Moscow expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Akhmat in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akhmat having the stronger overall control.
So far, Spartak Moscow have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 42 points from 24 matches. The record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 38:32 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pablo Solari (7 goals), E. Barco (6 goals), L. Garcia (5 goals), with creative support from E. Barco (6 assists), Marquinhos (4 assists), I. Dmitriev (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Babic, D. Zorin, V. Saus unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Akhmat sit 9 with 31 points after 24 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 29:31 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Cacintura (7 goals), G. Melkadze (7 goals), M. Samorodov (4 goals), with creative support from M. Samorodov (4 assists), E. Cacintura (2 assists), M. Konate (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Sadulaev unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 8 times, Akhmat won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:10 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Spartak Moscow
5
2
5
3
8
0
Lineups
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
Akron
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
Akhmat
Ajman
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
Akhmat
FC Sochi
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
Zenit
Akhmat
Baltika
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
FC Rostov
Akhmat
Akron
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat
Baltika
Akhmat
Olmaliq
Akhmat
Bars
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Akron
Spartak Moscow
Yelimay Semey
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Astana
Spartak Moscow
Dalian Zhixing
Spartak Moscow
Pyunik Yerevan
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
Akhmat
FC Sochi
Akhmat
Zenit
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
Akron
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
Baltika
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
Akhmat
Rubin
Akhmat
Baltika
Akhmat
Dynamo
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
FC Rostov
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Spartak Moscow
Home
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Akhmat
Away
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|