NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
03.05.2026 14:45
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Referee: M. Vos
Sparta Rotterdam
Match Timeline
GO Ahead Eagles
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Joris Kramer
GO Ahead Eagles
⚽
45'
S. Mito · Assist: T. Lauritsen
Sparta Rotterdam
⚽
51'
V. Edvardsen
GO Ahead Eagles
⚽
57'
T. Lauritsen · Assist: M. van Bergen
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
67'
S. I. Sigurdarson ↔ F. Stokkers
GO Ahead Eagles
🟨
69'
Teo Quintero
Sparta Rotterdam
🟨
71'
Victor Edvardsen
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
74'
M. Suray ↔ R. Margaret
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
74'
A. Sampsted ↔ O. Sivertsen
GO Ahead Eagles
⚽
77'
J. Dirksen · Assist: V. Edvardsen
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
81'
G. Vianello ↔ B. Martins Indi
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
81'
A. Santos ↔ P. Clement
Sparta Rotterdam
🟨
85'
Richonell Margaret
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
88'
T. Lauritsen ↔ M. Zonneveld
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
88'
S. Tengstedt ↔ E. Linthorst
GO Ahead Eagles
🔄
88'
A. Adelgaard ↔ D. James
GO Ahead Eagles
🟨
90+3'
Oskar Siira Sivertsen
GO Ahead Eagles
🟨
90+3'
Oskar Siira Sivertsen
GO Ahead Eagles
🟥
90+3'
Oskar Siira Sivertsen
GO Ahead Eagles

Sparta Rotterdam vs GO Ahead Eagles Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sparta Rotterdam Win 63.1%
Draw 0%
GO Ahead Eagles Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Rotterdam1.3
GO Ahead Eagles1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
WWDLW
36 GF / 53 GA
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
WLDWL
56 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.51
13
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
23
4.52
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 31 matches
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 39 matches
Sparta Rotterdam Statistic GO Ahead Eagles
12 Wins 10
6 Draws 14
13 Losses 15
36 Goals For 56
53 Goals Against 59
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.51
13 BTTS Yes 21
23 Over 1.5 32
15 Over 2.5 23
10 Over 3.5 16
11 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 11
4.52 Shots On Goal 4.82
12.58 Total Shots 11.18
4.58 Corners 5.03
47% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with GO Ahead Eagles's more proactive style and Sparta Rotterdam's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sparta Rotterdam have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring GO Ahead Eagles.

Sparta Rotterdam Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 42 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 36:53 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Lauritsen (11 goals), J. Kitolano (6 goals), S. Mito (6 goals), with creative support from T. Lauritsen (3 assists), S. Mito (3 assists), M. van Bergen (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

GO Ahead Eagles Analysis

From their first 31 matches, GO Ahead Eagles have collected 37 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 50:45 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Suray (11 goals), J. Breum (6 goals), M. Meulensteen (6 goals), with creative support from J. Breum (5 assists), Victor Kaj Edvardsen (5 assists), Mats Deijl (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 7 times, GO Ahead Eagles won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Sparta Rotterdam's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Sparta Rotterdam 4-2-3-1 / GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sparta Rotterdam 1, GO Ahead Eagles 3
H2H summary: Sparta Rotterdam wins 7, draws 4, GO Ahead Eagles wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie