04.08.2026 18:00
Pragues Letna Hill
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands
Sparta Praha
Match Timeline
Lyon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
20'
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Sparta Praha
45'
M. Suchomel
Lyon
63'
M. Rynes · Assist: A. Irving
Sparta Praha
🟨
66'
Adam Karabec
Sparta Praha
67'
Corentin Tolisso
Lyon
69'
J. Mercado · Assist: M. Rynes
Sparta Praha
🔄
75'
A. Irving ↔ S. Eneme
Sparta Praha
🔄
75'
M. de Carvalho ↔ M. Fofana
Lyon
🔄
75'
M. Ouedraogo ↔ E. Nuamah
Lyon
🔄
84'
J. Alcocer ↔ L. Haraslin
Sparta Praha
🔄
85'
J. Brunes ↔ E. Singhateh
Sparta Praha
🔄
85'
A. Karabec ↔ H. Sochurek
Sparta Praha
🟨
90+4'
Matěj Ryneš
Sparta Praha
🔄
90+2'
J. Mercado ↔ G. Kuol
Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sparta Praha Win 58.4%
Draw 4.2%
Lyon Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Praha2
Lyon2.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WWDLW
18 GF / 15 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
4
5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 9 matches
Lyon Lyon 6 matches
Sparta Praha Statistic Lyon
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 0
4 Losses 2
18 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 12
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 0
13.5 Total Shots 0
7 Corners 0
65.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Praha won 1 times, Lyon won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Sparta Praha's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 3-4-3
H2H summary: Sparta Praha wins 1, draws 0, Lyon wins 3

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)