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27.10.2026 19:45

Spalding United vs Brackley Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.7%
1.96 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.64 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.28 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Spalding United Win 68.7%
Draw 18.5%
Brackley Town Win 12.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spalding United1.45
Brackley Town1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spalding United Spalding United
L L D L W
6 GF / 9 GA
Brackley Town Brackley Town
L L W L W
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
8
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
1.75
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spalding United Spalding United 18 matches
Brackley Town Brackley Town 19 matches
Spalding United Statistic Brackley Town
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 5
6 Losses 8
25 Goals For 19
20 Goals Against 29
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
8 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 7
1.75 Shots On Goal 0
3.5 Total Shots 0
1 Corners 0
11.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Spalding United's more proactive style and Brackley Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Spalding United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brackley Town. Spalding United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 17 points compared to Brackley Town in 20 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brackley Town having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Spalding United Analysis

Spalding United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 17 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 14:11 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Brackley Town Analysis

Brackley Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 15 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 15:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.2%)

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation