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WORLD › WORLD CUP
10.07.2026 19:00
Spain
FT
2 - 1
Belgium
SoFi Stadium
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Spain
Match Timeline
Belgium
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
F. Ruiz
Spain
⚽
41'
C. De Ketelaere · Assist: T. Castagne
Belgium
🟨
43'
Pau Cubarsí
Spain
🔄
55'
A. Baena ↔ F. Torres
Spain
🔄
55'
F. Ruiz ↔ Pedri
Spain
🔄
60'
L. Trossard ↔ A. Witsel
Belgium
🔄
60'
H. Vanaken ↔ R. Lukaku
Belgium
🔄
61'
M. De Cuyper ↔ J. Seys
Belgium
🔄
71'
T. Courtois ↔ S. Lammens
Belgium
🔄
79'
M. Oyarzabal ↔ N. Williams
Spain
🟨
85'
Kevin De Bruyne
Belgium
🔄
86'
D. Olmo ↔ M. Merino
Spain
🔄
86'
K. De Bruyne ↔ A. Saelemaekers
Belgium
⚽
88'
M. Merino
Spain
🟨
90+3'
Aymeric Laporte
Spain
🟨
90+5'
Axel Witsel
Belgium

Spain vs Belgium Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Spain Win 37.2%
Draw 7.6%
Belgium Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spain1.42
Belgium1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spain Spain
WWDLW
16 GF / 2 GA
Belgium Belgium
WLDWL
26 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
2.89
0.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
2
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
5.56
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spain Spain 9 matches
Belgium Belgium 9 matches
Spain Statistic Belgium
6 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
0 Losses 0
16 Goals For 26
2 Goals Against 8
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 2.89
0.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
2 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
5.56 Shots On Goal 6.67
16.11 Total Shots 18.67
6.67 Corners 5.33
58.4% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Spain won 1 times, Belgium won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Spain's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Spain 4-2-3-1 / Belgium 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Spain 0, Belgium 1
H2H summary: Spain wins 1, draws 0, Belgium wins 0

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Spain Home
3 2 1 0 5:0 5 7
W W W W W
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 2:2 0 3
L D D D
3
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 3:4 -1 2
L D D
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 1:5 -4 2
D L D
Round of 32