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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Spain
AET
1 - 0
Argentina
MetLife Stadium
Referee: Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Spain
Match Timeline
Argentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Cristian Romero
Argentina
🟨
41'
Lisandro Martínez
Argentina
🔄
44'
L. Martinez ↔ N. Otamendi
Argentina
🔄
46'
N. Gonzalez ↔ L. Paredes
Argentina
🟨
52'
Leandro Paredes
Argentina
🔄
58'
G. Montiel ↔ N. Molina
Argentina
🔄
62'
M. Oyarzabal ↔ F. Torres
Spain
🔄
62'
F. Ruiz ↔ Pedri
Spain
🔄
70'
R. de Paul ↔ G. Simeone
Argentina
🔄
70'
C. Romero ↔ F. Medina
Argentina
🔄
75'
A. Baena ↔ N. Williams
Spain
🔄
75'
D. Olmo ↔ M. Merino
Spain
🟨
83'
Enzo Fernández
Argentina
🟥
90+3'
Enzo Fernández
Argentina
🟨
90+3'
Enzo Fernández
Argentina
🔄
99'
Rodri ↔ M. Zubimendi
Spain
🔄
99'
A. Laporte ↔ E. Garcia
Spain
🔄
102'
J. Alvarez ↔ M. Senesi
Argentina
⚽
106'
F. Torres · Assist: N. Williams
Spain
🟨
111'
Alexis Mac Allister
Argentina

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
3 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Spain Win 52.6%
Draw 9.1%
Argentina Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spain1.38
Argentina1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spain Spain
WWDLW
20 GF / 3 GA
Argentina Argentina
WLDWL
31 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
2.82
0.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
3
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
9
5.45
Shots on Goal
5.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spain Spain 11 matches
Argentina Argentina 11 matches
Spain Statistic Argentina
8 Wins 11
3 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
20 Goals For 31
3 Goals Against 8
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 2.82
0.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
3 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 0
5.45 Shots On Goal 5.82
15.64 Total Shots 14
6 Corners 4.18
58.6% Ball Possession 64.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Spain won 2 times, Argentina won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:1 from Spain's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Spain 4-2-3-1 / Argentina 4-4-2
H2H summary: Spain wins 2, draws 0, Argentina wins 0
Stats
Spain Spain
Argentina Argentina
Shots on Goal
12
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 4
21 Fouls 25
4 Offsides 1
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Goal 0
5 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 1
11 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 11
852 Total passes 463
762 Passes accurate 357
1.94 expected_goals 0.22
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Spain
Formation
Argentina
U. Simon
U. Simon
P. Porro
P. Porro
P. Cubarsi
P. Cubarsi
A. Laporte
↓
A. Laporte
M. Cucurella
M. Cucurella
Rodri
↓
Rodri
F. Ruiz
↓
F. Ruiz
Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal
D. Olmo
↓
D. Olmo
A. Baena
↓
A. Baena
M. Oyarzabal
↓
M. Oyarzabal
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
G. Montiel
↓
G. Montiel
C. Romero
↓
C. Romero
L. Martinez
↓
L. Martinez
N. Tagliafico
N. Tagliafico
R. de Paul
↓
R. de Paul
E. Fernandez
E. Fernandez
A. Mac Allister
A. Mac Allister
N. Gonzalez
↓
N. Gonzalez
L. Messi
L. Messi
J. Alvarez
↓
J. Alvarez
Spain 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
U. Simon
G
12
P. Porro
D
22
P. Cubarsi
D
14
A. Laporte
↓ 99'
D
24
M. Cucurella
D
16
Rodri
↓ 99'
M
8
F. Ruiz
↓ 62'
M
19
Lamine Yamal
M
10
D. Olmo
↓ 75'
M
15
A. Baena
↓ 75'
M
21
M. Oyarzabal
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Raya
G
13
J. Garcia
G
5
M. Llorente
M
7
F. Torres
⚽ 106' ↑ 62'
F
18
M. Zubimendi
↑ 99'
M
20
Pedri
↑ 62'
M
9
Gavi
M
3
A. Grimaldo
D
26
B. Iglesias
F
6
M. Merino
↑ 75'
M
4
E. Garcia
↑ 99'
D
11
Y. Pino
M
17
N. Williams
🎯 106' ↑ 75'
F
25
V. Munoz
F
2
M. Pubill
D
Argentina 4-4-2
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
4
G. Montiel
↓ 58'
D
13
C. Romero
↓ 70' 🟨 -5'
D
6
L. Martinez
↓ 44' 🟨 41'
D
3
N. Tagliafico
D
7
R. de Paul
↓ 70'
M
24
E. Fernandez
🟨 83' 🟨 90+3' 🟥 90+3'
M
20
A. Mac Allister
🟨 111'
M
15
N. Gonzalez
↓ 46'
M
10
L. Messi
F
9
J. Alvarez
↓ 102'
F
Substitutes
12
G. Rulli
G
1
J. Musso
G
19
N. Otamendi
↑ 44'
D
5
L. Paredes
↑ 46' 🟨 52'
M
14
E. Palacios
M
26
N. Molina
↑ 58'
D
17
G. Simeone
↑ 70'
F
11
G. Lo Celso
M
22
L. Martinez
F
2
M. Senesi
↑ 102'
D
25
F. Medina
↑ 70'
D
16
T. Almada
M
21
J. Lopez
F
8
V. Barco
M
18
N. Paz
F
Last matches: Spain
14.07.26
Wor
Spain
France
2
0
W
10.07.26
Wor
Spain
Belgium
2
1
W
06.07.26
Wor
Spain
Portugal
1
0
W
02.07.26
Wor
Spain
Austria
3
0
W
27.06.26
Wor
Spain
Uruguay
1
0
W
21.06.26
Wor
Spain
Saudi Arabia
4
0
W
15.06.26
Wor
Spain
Cape Verde Islands
0
0
D
09.06.26
Fri
Spain
Peru
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Spain
Iraq
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Spain
Egypt
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
2
2
D
15.11.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
4
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
4
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
2
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
3
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Spain
Portugal
2
2
D
05.06.25
UEF
Spain
France
5
4
W
23.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
3
3
D
Last matches: Argentina
15.07.26
Wor
Argentina
England
2
1
W
12.07.26
Wor
Argentina
Switzerland
3
1
W
07.07.26
Wor
Argentina
Egypt
3
2
W
03.07.26
Wor
Argentina
Cape Verde Islands
3
2
W
28.06.26
Wor
Argentina
Jordan
3
1
W
22.06.26
Wor
Argentina
Austria
2
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Argentina
Algeria
3
0
W
10.06.26
Fri
Argentina
Iceland
3
0
W
07.06.26
Fri
Argentina
Honduras
2
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Argentina
Zambia
5
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Argentina
Mauritania
2
1
W
H2H: Spain vs Argentina
19.07.26
H2H
Spain
Argentina
1
0
W
27.03.26
H2H
Spain
Argentina
0
0
D
27.03.18
H2H
Spain
Argentina
6
1
W
Last matches: Spain
10.07.26
Wor
Spain
Belgium
2
1
W
02.07.26
Wor
Spain
Austria
3
0
W
21.06.26
Wor
Spain
Saudi Arabia
4
0
W
15.06.26
Wor
Spain
Cape Verde Islands
0
0
D
04.06.26
Fri
Spain
Iraq
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Spain
Egypt
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
2
2
D
14.10.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
4
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
2
0
W
05.06.25
UEF
Spain
France
5
4
W
23.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
3
3
D
18.11.24
UEF
Spain
Switzerland
3
2
W
15.10.24
UEF
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
12.10.24
UEF
Spain
Denmark
1
0
W
H2H at home: Spain
19.07.26
H2H
Spain
Argentina
1
0
W
27.03.26
H2H
Spain
Argentina
0
0
D
27.03.18
H2H
Spain
Argentina
6
1
W
Last matches: Argentina
15.07.26
Wor
Argentina
England
2
1
W
28.06.26
Wor
Argentina
Jordan
3
1
W
H2H away: Argentina
19.07.26
H2H
Spain
Argentina
1
0
L
27.03.26
H2H
Spain
Argentina
0
0
D
27.03.18
H2H
Spain
Argentina
6
1
L

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Spain Home
3 2 1 0 5:0 5 7
W W W W W
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 2:2 0 3
L D D D
3
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 3:4 -1 2
L D D
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 1:5 -4 2
D L D
Round of 32