GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
22.08.2026 15:00
Spaeri Stadium
Referee: T. Samsonashvili
Spaeri
Match Timeline
Samgurali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
D. Krasovski · Assist: J. Carlos
Samgurali
11'
L. Kokhreidze · Assist: G. Samkharadze
Spaeri
🟨
20'
L. Gilmore
Samgurali
🟨
37'
Claudio Cebolinha
Samgurali
42'
T. Askurava · Assist: L. Kokhreidze
Spaeri
45'
G. Tsetskhladze · Assist: L. Kokhreidze
Spaeri
🔄
46'
B. Jibril ↔ N. Chagunava
Spaeri
🔄
46'
L. Gilmore ↔ I. Bidzinashvili
Samgurali
🔄
46'
L. Shergelashvili ↔ G. Gogia
Samgurali
53'
G. Bunturi
Samgurali
🔄
61'
G. Tsetskhladze ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
🔄
61'
T. Gaprindashvili ↔ N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
🔄
61'
D. Krasovski ↔ I. Siradze
Samgurali
69'
I. Bidzinashvili · Assist: J. Carlos
Samgurali
70'
I. Siradze
Samgurali
🟨
77'
G. Tsirdava
Spaeri
🔄
79'
↔ Z. Golubiani
Spaeri
🔄
79'
Claudio Cebolinha ↔ Ryan
Samgurali
🔄
86'
T. Askurava ↔ T. Tsalughelashvili
Spaeri
🔄
86'
S. Gegiadze ↔ R. Injgia
Spaeri
🟨
87'
M. Shatirishvili
Samgurali

Spaeri vs Samgurali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 27.7%
Draw 9.3%
Samgurali Win 63%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.45
Samgurali1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
39 GF / 39 GA
Samgurali Samgurali
WLDWL
44 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
19
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 28 matches
Samgurali Samgurali 30 matches
Spaeri Statistic Samgurali
7 Wins 12
11 Draws 7
10 Losses 11
39 Goals For 44
39 Goals Against 46
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
19 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Spaeri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Samgurali. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Spaeri Analysis

With 22 points from 20 games and a place of 9, Spaeri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 26:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 28 points after 20 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a 27:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 1 times, Samgurali won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Spaeri's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Spaeri 4-2-3-1 / Samgurali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 1, draws 1, Samgurali wins 2

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
2 26 13 7 6 32:21 11 46
W D L D W
3 26 12 9 5 43:29 14 45
W W D D W
4 25 13 4 8 35:28 7 43
W W L W L
5 26 11 4 11 34:29 5 37
L D W W L
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2