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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Spaeri
FT
3 - 4
Samgurali
Spaeri Stadium
Referee: T. Samsonashvili
Spaeri
Match Timeline
Samgurali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
D. Krasovski · Assist: J. Carlos
Samgurali
⚽
11'
L. Kokhreidze · Assist: G. Samkharadze
Spaeri
🟨
20'
L. Gilmore
Samgurali
🟨
37'
Claudio Cebolinha
Samgurali
⚽
42'
T. Askurava · Assist: L. Kokhreidze
Spaeri
⚽
45+1'
G. Tsetskhladze · Assist: L. Kokhreidze
Spaeri
🔄
46'
B. Jibril ↔ N. Chagunava
Spaeri
🔄
46'
L. Shergelashvili ↔ G. Gogia
Samgurali
🔄
46'
L. Gilmore ↔ I. Bidzinashvili
Samgurali
⚽
52'
Claudio Cebolinha · Assist: D. Krasovski
Samgurali
🔄
62'
D. Krasovski ↔ I. Siradze
Samgurali
🔄
62'
T. Gaprindashvili ↔ N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
🔄
62'
G. Tsetskhladze ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
⚽
69'
I. Bidzinashvili · Assist: J. Carlos
Samgurali
⚽
70'
I. Siradze
Samgurali
🟨
77'
G. Tsirdava
Spaeri
🔄
78'
N. Chagunava ↔ Z. Golubiani
Spaeri
🔄
78'
Claudio Cebolinha ↔ Ryan
Samgurali
🔄
86'
S. Gegiadze ↔ R. Injgia
Spaeri
🔄
86'
T. Askurava ↔ T. Tsalughelashvili
Spaeri
🟨
87'
M. Shatirishvili
Samgurali

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63%
Odds 2.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.72
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63%
2.56 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.72 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.94 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 27.7%
Draw 9.3%
Samgurali Win 63%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.45
Samgurali1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
39 GF / 39 GA
Samgurali Samgurali
WLDWL
44 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
19
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 28 matches
Samgurali Samgurali 30 matches
Spaeri Statistic Samgurali
7 Wins 12
11 Draws 7
10 Losses 11
39 Goals For 44
39 Goals Against 46
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
19 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Spaeri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Samgurali. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Spaeri Analysis

With 22 points from 20 games and a place of 9, Spaeri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 26:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 28 points after 20 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a 27:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 1 times, Samgurali won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Spaeri's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 1, draws 1, Samgurali wins 1
Last matches: Spaeri
17.08.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
20.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
FC Urartu
2
3
L
22.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
16.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
FC Iberia 1999
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
07.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
01.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
0
1
L
22.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
FC Iberia 1999
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
1
D
07.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
1
4
L
16.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
Last matches: Samgurali
16.08.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
0
4
L
09.08.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
2
1
W
20.07.26
Fri
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
0
W
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
FC Iberia 1999
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
FC Iberia 1999
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
H2H: Spaeri vs Samgurali
20.07.26
H2H
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.05.26
H2H
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
16.03.26
H2H
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
Last matches: Spaeri
09.08.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
20.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
FC Urartu
2
3
L
25.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
11.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
01.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
0
1
L
22.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
FC Iberia 1999
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
1
D
16.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Spaeri
Austria Vienna
0
5
L
H2H at home: Spaeri
20.07.26
H2H
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
16.03.26
H2H
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
Last matches: Samgurali
09.08.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
2
1
W
20.07.26
Fri
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
0
W
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
FC Iberia 1999
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
16.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Petrocub
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
02.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
L
H2H away: Samgurali
20.07.26
H2H
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
W
16.03.26
H2H
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.50
Draw 3.10
Away 2.56
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.79
Draw 2.36
Away 2.93
ASIAN HANDICAP
Home -1.25 4.56
Away -1.25 1.13
Home -1 4.15
Away -1 1.16
Home -0.75 2.92
Away -0.75 1.31
Home -0.25 2.13
Away -0.25 1.62
Home +0 1.82
Away +0 1.86
Home +0.25 1.56
Away +0.25 2.15
Home +0.75 1.29
Away +0.75 3.06
Home -2 9.70
Away -2 1.01
Home +1 1.15
Away +1 4.30
Home +2 1.01
Away +2 10.00
Home -1.75 6.44
Away -1.75 1.05
Home -1.5 4.95
Away -1.5 1.11
Home +1.25 1.12
Away +1.25 4.74
Home +1.5 1.10
Away +1.5 5.15
Home +1.75 1.05
Away +1.75 7.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Under 1.5 3.08
Over 1.75 1.36
Under 1.75 2.70
Over 2.0 1.46
Under 2.0 2.38
Over 2.25 1.73
Under 2.25 1.97
Over 2.5 1.94
Under 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 2.17
Under 2.75 1.55
Over 3.5 3.28
Under 3.5 1.25
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 8.00
Over 0.75 1.03
Under 0.75 7.49
Over 1.0 1.04
Under 1.0 6.90
Over 1.25 1.16
Under 1.25 4.10
Over 3.0 2.66
Under 3.0 1.37
Over 4.5 6.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Over 3.25 2.97
Under 3.25 1.30
Over 3.75 4.05
Under 3.75 1.16
Over 4.0 5.55
Under 4.0 1.08
Over 4.25 5.89
Under 4.25 1.07
Over 5.5 15.00
Under 5.5 1.02
GOALS OVER/UNDER FIRST HALF
Over 1.5 2.83
Under 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 3.62
Under 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 5.40
Under 2.0 1.10
Over 2.5 7.00
Under 2.5 1.05
Over 3.5 23.00
Under 3.5 1.01
Over 0.5 1.40
Under 0.5 2.60
Over 0.75 1.57
Under 0.75 2.22
Over 1.0 1.90
Under 1.0 1.78
Over 1.25 2.36
Under 1.25 1.48
HT/FT DOUBLE
Home/Draw 14.00
Home/Away 30.00
Draw/Away 6.00
Draw/Draw 4.65
Home/Home 4.10
Draw/Home 5.90
Away/Home 30.00
Away/Draw 14.00
Away/Away 4.25
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Yes 1.72
No 1.96
EXACT SCORE
1:0 7.00
2:0 10.00
2:1 8.00
3:0 23.00
3:1 15.00
3:2 23.00
4:0 65.00
4:1 50.00
0:0 8.00
1:1 5.50
2:2 11.00
0:1 7.00
0:2 10.00
0:3 21.00
1:2 8.00
1:3 17.00
2:3 23.00
3:3 50.00
0:4 60.00
1:4 46.00
2:4 75.00
4:2 70.00
0:5 100.00
0:6 100.00
1:5 100.00
1:6 100.00
2:5 100.00
2:6 100.00
3:4 100.00
5:0 100.00
5:1 100.00
5:2 100.00
6:0 100.00
6:1 100.00
6:2 100.00
4:3 100.00
3:5 100.00
3:6 100.00
4:5 100.00
4:6 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
5:6 100.00
6:3 100.00
6:4 100.00
6:5 100.00
4:4 100.00
7:0 100.00
7:1 100.00
7:2 100.00
7:3 100.00
7:4 100.00
7:5 100.00
7:6 100.00
8:0 100.00
8:1 100.00
8:2 100.00
8:3 100.00
8:4 100.00
8:5 100.00
8:6 100.00
8:7 100.00
9:0 100.00
9:1 100.00
9:2 100.00
9:3 100.00
9:4 100.00
9:5 100.00
9:6 100.00
9:7 100.00
9:8 100.00
10:0 100.00
10:1 100.00
10:2 100.00
10:3 100.00
10:4 100.00
10:5 100.00
10:6 100.00
10:7 100.00
10:8 100.00
10:9 100.00
5:5 100.00
6:6 100.00
7:7 100.00
8:8 100.00
9:9 100.00
10:10 100.00
0:7 100.00
0:8 100.00
0:9 100.00
0:10 100.00
1:7 100.00
1:8 100.00
1:9 100.00
1:10 100.00
2:7 100.00
2:8 100.00
2:9 100.00
2:10 100.00
3:7 100.00
3:8 100.00
3:9 100.00
3:10 100.00
4:7 100.00
4:8 100.00
4:9 100.00
4:10 100.00
5:7 100.00
5:8 100.00
5:9 100.00
5:10 100.00
6:7 100.00
6:8 100.00
6:9 100.00
6:10 100.00
7:8 100.00
7:9 100.00
7:10 100.00
8:9 100.00
8:10 100.00
9:10 100.00
HIGHEST SCORING HALF
Draw 3.36
1st Half 3.04
2nd Half 2.02
DOUBLE CHANCE
Home/Draw 1.39
Home/Away 1.27
Draw/Away 1.41
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.12
Draw 2.01
Away 3.28
TOTAL - HOME
Over 1.5 2.43
Under 1.5 1.47
Over 2.5 5.50
Under 2.5 1.08
Over 1 1.62
Under 1 2.14
Over 2 4.45
Under 2 1.14
Over 0.5 1.28
Under 0.5 3.14
TOTAL - AWAY
Over 1.5 2.45
Under 1.5 1.46
Over 2.5 5.65
Under 2.5 1.08
Over 1 1.65
Under 1 2.08
Over 2 4.60
Under 2 1.13
Over 0.5 1.29
Under 0.5 3.08
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Home -1 7.90
Away -1 1.02
Home -0.75 4.20
Away -0.75 1.15
Home -0.25 2.47
Away -0.25 1.44
Home +0 1.81
Away +0 1.83
Home +0.25 1.43
Away +0.25 2.50
Home +0.75 1.14
Away +0.75 4.30
Home +1 1.02
Away +1 8.10
Home -1.5 9.20
Away -1.5 1.00
DOUBLE CHANCE - FIRST HALF
Home/Draw 1.22
Home/Away 1.60
Draw/Away 1.25
ODD/EVEN
Odd 1.85
Even 1.79
ODD/EVEN - FIRST HALF
Odd 2.04
Even 1.64
HOME ODD/EVEN
Odd 1.93
Even 1.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER - SECOND HALF
Over 1.5 2.15
Under 1.5 1.61
Over 1.75 2.56
Under 1.75 1.41
Over 2.0 3.58
Under 2.0 1.22
Over 2.5 4.60
Under 2.5 1.14
Over 3.5 12.00
Under 3.5 1.03
Over 0.5 1.24
Under 0.5 3.60
Over 0.75 1.31
Under 0.75 2.99
Over 1.0 1.44
Under 1.0 2.46
Over 1.25 1.81
Under 1.25 1.87
CORRECT SCORE - FIRST HALF
1:0 4.20
2:0 13.50
2:1 22.00
3:0 100.00
3:1 100.00
3:2 100.00
4:0 100.00
4:1 100.00
0:0 2.60
1:1 7.20
2:2 38.00
0:1 4.30
0:2 14.00
0:3 100.00
1:2 22.00
1:3 100.00
2:3 100.00
3:3 100.00
0:4 100.00
1:4 100.00
2:4 100.00
4:2 100.00
0:5 100.00
1:5 100.00
2:5 100.00
3:4 100.00
5:0 100.00
5:1 100.00
5:2 100.00
4:3 100.00
3:5 100.00
4:5 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
4:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
DOUBLE CHANCE - SECOND HALF
Home/Draw 1.28
Home/Away 1.43
Draw/Away 1.31
BOTH TEAMS SCORE - FIRST HALF
Yes 4.30
No 1.17
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE - SECOND HALF
Yes 3.14
No 1.30
AWAY ODD/EVEN
Odd 1.95
Even 1.71
CORRECT SCORE - SECOND HALF
1:0 4.50
2:0 11.00
2:1 17.00
3:0 60.00
3:1 90.00
3:2 100.00
4:0 100.00
4:1 100.00
0:0 3.60
1:1 6.40
2:2 50.00
0:1 4.60
0:2 12.00
0:3 60.00
1:2 18.00
1:3 95.00
2:3 100.00
3:3 100.00
0:4 100.00
1:4 100.00
2:4 100.00
4:2 100.00
0:5 100.00
1:5 100.00
2:5 100.00
3:4 100.00
5:0 100.00
5:1 100.00
5:2 100.00
4:3 100.00
3:5 100.00
4:5 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
4:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
ODD/EVEN - SECOND HALF
Odd 1.92
Even 1.73
ASIAN HANDICAP (2ND HALF)
Home -1 6.15
Away -1 1.06
Home -0.75 3.58
Away -0.75 1.21
Home -0.25 2.29
Away -0.25 1.51
Home +0 1.81
Away +0 1.83
Home +0.25 1.49
Away +0.25 2.34
Home +0.75 1.19
Away +0.75 3.74
Home +1 1.06
Away +1 6.35
Home -1.5 7.40
Away -1.5 1.03
Home +1.5 1.03
Away +1.5 7.50
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 1.5 6.70
Under 1.5 1.05
Over 1 5.00
Under 1 1.11
Over 0.5 2.08
Under 0.5 1.62
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 1.5 6.85
Under 1.5 1.05
Over 1 5.10
Under 1 1.11
Over 0.5 2.11
Under 0.5 1.60
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 1.5 4.85
Under 1.5 1.12
Over 1 3.34
Under 1 1.25
Over 0.5 1.76
Under 0.5 1.88
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 1.5 4.95
Under 1.5 1.12
Over 1 3.42
Under 1 1.24
Over 0.5 1.78
Under 0.5 1.86
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.50
Draw 3.10
Away 2.56
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.12
Draw 2.01
Away 3.28
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.79
Draw 2.36
Away 2.93
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Under 1.5 3.08
Over 1.75 1.36
Under 1.75 2.70
Over 2.0 1.46
Under 2.0 2.38
Over 2.25 1.73
Under 2.25 1.97
Over 2.5 1.94
Under 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 2.17
Under 2.75 1.55
Over 3.5 3.28
Under 3.5 1.25
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 8.00
Over 0.75 1.03
Under 0.75 7.49
Over 1.0 1.04
Under 1.0 6.90
Over 1.25 1.16
Under 1.25 4.10
Over 3.0 2.66
Under 3.0 1.37
Over 4.5 6.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Over 3.25 2.97
Under 3.25 1.30
Over 3.75 4.05
Under 3.75 1.16
Over 4.0 5.55
Under 4.0 1.08
Over 4.25 5.89
Under 4.25 1.07
Over 5.5 15.00
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Rustavi
21 11 5 5 26:18 8 38
W W L W W
2
Dinamo Tbilisi
21 9 7 5 33:25 8 34
L W W W L
3
FC Iberia 1999
20 10 4 6 30:22 8 34
L W L D W
4
Dinamo Batumi
22 9 7 6 35:32 3 34
W W D L W
5
Torpedo Kutaisi
21 8 6 7 34:23 11 30
W L D L L
6
Dila
20 9 2 9 24:20 4 29
W W W L L
7
Samgurali Away
21 8 4 9 27:37 -10 28
L W D L W
8
Gagra
21 5 9 7 21:27 -6 24
D D D D W
9
Spaeri Home
21 5 8 8 27:28 -1 23
D L D L D
10
Meshakhte
22 1 8 13 15:40 -25 11
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2