GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Spaeri Stadium
Referee: B. Bregadze
Spaeri
Match Timeline
Saburtalo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
G. Kutsia · Assist: P. Ghudushauri
Saburtalo
17'
A. Dzagania · Assist: B. Kardava
Saburtalo
🔄
27'
G. Goshteliani ↔ N. Dadiani
Saburtalo
🟨
39'
T. Askurava
Spaeri
🔄
46'
G. Bunturi ↔ P. Poniava
Spaeri
🟨
49'
S. Mathenjwa
Spaeri
🔄
59'
S. Mathenjwa ↔ N. Chagunava
Spaeri
🟨
67'
G. Pirtakhia
Spaeri
🟨
70'
A. Dzagania
Saburtalo
🔄
80'
P. Ghudushauri ↔ Z. Natchkebia
Saburtalo
🔄
80'
A. Dzagania ↔ Lucas Cafe
Saburtalo
🔄
81'
T. Askurava ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
🟨
82'
Lucas Cafe
Saburtalo
🟨
84'
A. Zohouri
Saburtalo
🔄
88'
G. Tsirdava ↔ Z. Golubiani
Spaeri
🔄
90'
V. Bedoshvili ↔ A. Bartishvili
Saburtalo
🔄
90'
G. Kutsia ↔ I. Bidzinashvili
Saburtalo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 22.8%
Draw 12%
Saburtalo Win 65.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.5
Saburtalo1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
22 GF / 16 GA
Saburtalo Saburtalo
WLDWL
15 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 12 matches
Saburtalo Saburtalo 11 matches
Spaeri Statistic Saburtalo
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 2
22 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 11
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Saburtalo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Saburtalo having the stronger overall control.

Spaeri Analysis

Spaeri arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 11 points after 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Samkharadze (3 goals), L. Kokhreidze (2 goals), G. Tsirdava (1 goals), with creative support from G. Samkharadze (1 assists), L. Kokhreidze (1 assists), G. Tsirdava (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Saburtalo Analysis

Saburtalo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 14 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 7:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Jinjolava (3 goals), A. Dzagania (2 goals), G. Goshteliani (2 goals), with creative support from V. Bedoshvili (2 assists), Lucas Cafe (1 assists), A. Zohouri (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 0 times, Saburtalo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Spaeri's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Spaeri - / Saburtalo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 0, draws 1, Saburtalo wins 2

Lineups

Spaeri
Formation
Saburtalo
B. Putkaradze
B. Putkaradze
N. Kentchadze
N. Kentchadze
G. Bunturi
G. Bunturi
G. Pirtakhia
G. Pirtakhia
G. Samkharadze
G. Samkharadze
T. Askurava
T. Askurava
T. Tsetskhladze
T. Tsetskhladze
S. Mathenjwa
S. Mathenjwa
G. Tsirdava
G. Tsirdava
S. Gegiadze
S. Gegiadze
L. Kokhreidze
L. Kokhreidze
T. Megrelishvili
T. Megrelishvili
A. Zohouri
A. Zohouri
A. Amisulashvili
A. Amisulashvili
V. Selimovic
V. Selimovic
J. Jinjolava
J. Jinjolava
G. Kutsia
G. Kutsia
B. Kardava
🎯
B. Kardava
P. Ghudushauri
🎯
P. Ghudushauri
G. Goshteliani
G. Goshteliani
V. Bedoshvili
V. Bedoshvili
A. Dzagania
A. Dzagania
Spaeri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Putkaradze
20
N. Kentchadze
31
G. Bunturi
↓ 46'
2
G. Pirtakhia
🟨 67'
14
G. Samkharadze
6
T. Askurava
↓ 81' 🟨 39'
10
T. Tsetskhladze
13
S. Mathenjwa
↓ 59' 🟨 49'
19
G. Tsirdava
↓ 88'
7
S. Gegiadze
17
L. Kokhreidze
Substitutes
23
N. Chomakhidze
3
L. Kachibaia
4
G. Grigalashvili
11
P. Poniava
↑ 46'
16
S. Dzneladze
21
O. Gordeziani
22
N. Chagunava
↑ 59'
24
Z. Golubiani
↑ 88'
30
Z. Basilashvili
↑ 81'
Saburtalo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Megrelishvili
20
A. Zohouri
🟨 84'
25
A. Amisulashvili
4
V. Selimovic
5
J. Jinjolava
27
G. Kutsia
⚽ 9' ↓ 90'
8
B. Kardava
🎯 17'
7
P. Ghudushauri
🎯 9' ↓ 80'
14
G. Goshteliani
↓ 27'
24
V. Bedoshvili
↓ 90'
9
A. Dzagania
⚽ 17' ↓ 80' 🟨 70'
Substitutes
16
R. Kurtanidze
6
N. Dadiani
↑ 27'
10
Z. Natchkebia
↑ 80'
11
A. Bartishvili
↑ 90'
17
I. Bidzinashvili
↑ 90'
18
Lucas Cafe
↑ 80' 🟨 82'
22
G. Khachidze
29
T. Akhvlediani
40
G. Kobuladze
Last matches: Spaeri
20.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
FC Urartu
2
3
L
22.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
16.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ero
Spaeri
Saburtalo
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
07.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
01.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
1
D
07.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
1
4
L
16.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
Last matches: Saburtalo
21.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
H2H: Spaeri vs Saburtalo
12.06.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
22.04.26
H2H
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
2
L
20.04.21
H2H
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
1
L
Last matches: Spaeri
20.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Spaeri
FC Urartu
2
3
L
25.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Meshakhte
2
1
W
21.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi
3
3
D
11.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Gagra
3
0
W
01.05.26
Ero
Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dila
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ero
Spaeri
Rustavi
1
1
D
16.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Samgurali
4
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Spaeri
Austria Vienna
0
5
L
H2H at home: Spaeri
22.04.26
H2H
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
2
L
20.04.21
H2H
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
1
L
Last matches: Saburtalo
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Petrocub
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
02.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Veres Rivne
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Ružomberok
1
1
D
23.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
H2H away: Saburtalo
22.04.26
H2H
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
2
W
20.04.21
H2H
Spaeri
Saburtalo
0
1
W

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2