KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 98.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
98.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Soy United Win 98.6%
Draw 0%
Kabati Youth FC Win 1.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Soy United1.08
Kabati Youth FC0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Soy United Soy United
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC
WLDWL
21 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.64
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
11
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Soy United Soy United 33 matches
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC 33 matches
Soy United Statistic Kabati Youth FC
12 Wins 7
8 Draws 8
13 Losses 18
28 Goals For 21
25 Goals Against 47
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
11 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 2
14 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Soy United's more proactive style and Kabati Youth FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kabati Youth FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kabati Youth FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kabati Youth FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Soy United Analysis

So far, Soy United have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 44 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 28:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Kabati Youth FC Analysis

Kabati Youth FC sit 16 with 29 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats with a 21:47 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Soy United won 1 times, Kabati Youth FC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Soy United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Soy United wins 1, draws 0, Kabati Youth FC wins 1
Last matches: Soy United
13.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
0
0
D
01.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
0
1
L
28.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
06.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
19.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
12.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
0
0
D
28.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
13.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MOFA
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
28.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
0
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
9
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
2
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
H2H: Soy United vs Kabati Youth FC
24.05.26
H2H
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
18.12.25
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
2
1
L
Last matches: Soy United
07.06.26
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
0
0
D
28.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
06.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
29.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
0
0
D
22.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
0
0
D
28.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
1
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
07.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
2
1
W
14.12.25
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
0
W
03.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
0
W
16.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Soy United
24.05.26
H2H
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
13.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MOFA
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
3
L
11.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
0
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
2
L
22.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
0
1
L
03.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
1
2
L
04.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
1
3
L
H2H away: Kabati Youth FC
24.05.26
H2H
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation