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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
03.10.2026 14:00
Roots Hall
Southend
Match Timeline
AFC Fylde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
D. Oldaker · Assist: L. Chambers-Parillon
Southend
⚽
13'
B. Goodliffe
AFC Fylde
⚽
16'
R. Colclough
Southend
🔄
36'
H. Broad ↔ M. Taylor
AFC Fylde
🟨
41'
D. Oldaker
Southend
🔄
43'
R. Colclough ↔ O. Coker
Southend
⚽
51'
B. Goodliffe
Southend
🟨
53'
T. Whelan
AFC Fylde
🔄
57'
L. Butterfield ↔ T. Upton
AFC Fylde
🔄
57'
C. Merrie ↔ C. Main
AFC Fylde
🔄
61'
H. Cardwell ↔ P. Omochere
Southend
🔄
66'
G. Olley ↔ M. Matthews Lewis
AFC Fylde
🔄
69'
D. Mayor ↔ J. Morris
AFC Fylde
🔄
71'
L. Chambers-Parillon ↔ Z. Massiah-Edwards
Southend
🔄
72'
B. Goodliffe ↔ H. Taylor
Southend

Southend vs AFC Fylde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Southend Win 43.1%
Draw 16.1%
AFC Fylde Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southend1.88
AFC Fylde1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southend Southend
WWDLW
34 GF / 24 GA
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde
WLDWL
31 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
14
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southend Southend 16 matches
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 18 matches
Southend Statistic AFC Fylde
7 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
34 Goals For 31
24 Goals Against 27
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
14 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Fylde having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AFC Fylde. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Southend Analysis

Southend approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 20 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 23:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

AFC Fylde Analysis

AFC Fylde approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 17 points after 9 outings. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Southend won 2 times, AFC Fylde won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Southend's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
H2H summary: Southend wins 2, draws 0, AFC Fylde wins 2

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation