08.09.2026 18:45

Southampton

3 - 1

Swansea

St. Mary's Stadium

Referee: Lewis Smith, England

Southampton vs Swansea H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Southampton

Match Timeline

Swansea

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Southampton vs Swansea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 89%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	89%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Southampton Win 42.9%

Draw 11%

Swansea Win 46.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton1.6

Swansea1.12

Recent Form (Last 5)

Southampton

D D W W L

11 GF / 6 GA

Swansea

D W W D W

7 GF / 1 GA

Key Stats

2.13

Average Goals Scored

1.2

Average Goals Conceded

0.8

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.6

Shots on Goal

5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton 8 matches

Swansea 10 matches

Southampton	Statistic	Swansea
5	Wins	5
2	Draws	3
1	Losses	2
17	Goals For	12
8	Goals Against	8
2.13	Avg Goals Scored	1.2
1	Avg Goals Conceded	0.8
7	BTTS Yes	2
7	Over 1.5	7
5	Over 2.5	4
3	Over 3.5	1
1	Clean Sheets	6
0	Failed To Score	4
4.6	Shots On Goal	5.4
17	Total Shots	12.6
6.2	Corners	5.4
58%	Ball Possession	60.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 11 times, Swansea won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:9 from Southampton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (89%)

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Southampton 1, Swansea 3

H2H summary: Southampton wins 11, draws 2, Swansea wins 2

Standings

Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	13	28	W W D W W
2	Birmingham	14	7	5	2	26:13	13	26	W W L W W
3	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	22:17	5	26	W W D W L
4	Swansea Away	14	8	2	4	21:16	5	26	L W L L W
5	West Brom	14	7	4	3	20:15	5	25	D W D W W
6	Southampton Home	14	8	4	2	29:14	15	24	D W W D W
7	Wolves	13	7	3	3	23:16	7	24	W W D W L
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	15	22	L L W W D
9	Sheffield Utd	14	6	4	4	20:17	3	22	W W D W L
10	Portsmouth	14	6	4	4	19:16	3	22	W D W D W
11	QPR	14	5	6	3	22:17	5	21	D L W L W
12	Norwich	14	6	0	8	27:24	3	18	W W W L L
13	Millwall	14	5	3	6	23:24	-1	18	L W L D L
14	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	20:22	-2	18	L L W L W
15	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18	W D L L D
16	Bolton	14	5	2	7	19:26	-7	17	W L L D W
17	Lincoln	14	4	3	7	14:24	-10	15	L L W D L
18	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14	L W D W L
19	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14	L L W L D
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	13:23	-10	14	W L L W L
21	Charlton	14	3	5	6	11:22	-11	14	L L L L D
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	18:26	-8	10	D D L L D
23	Derby	14	1	4	9	11:29	-18	7	L L D L L
24	Preston	14	1	2	11	12:30	-18	5	L L D L L

Promotion - Premier League

Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)

Relegation - League One