Southampton
Match Timeline
Stoke City
Southampton vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
86.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 86.1%
Draw 7%
Stoke City Win 7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.45
Stoke City0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Stoke City
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
1
3
Shots on Goal
2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Southampton
4 matches
Stoke City
5 matches
| Southampton | Statistic | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 7 | Goals For | 4 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.8 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 17 | Total Shots | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 66% | Ball Possession | 41% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 7 times, Stoke City won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Southampton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93%)
Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Southampton 1, Stoke City 3
H2H summary: Southampton wins 7, draws 2, Stoke City wins 6
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Southampton
Home
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 7 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 |
Stoke City
Away
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One