ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
St. Mary's Stadium
Referee: Tom Nield, England
Southampton
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Nathan Wood
Southampton
🟨
37'
Zak Sturge
Millwall
🔄
46'
L. Scienza ↔ F. Azaz
Southampton
🔄
59'
C. Archer ↔ A. Armstrong
Southampton
🔄
59'
E. Jelert ↔ T. Fellows
Southampton
🟨
69'
Macaulay Langstaff
Millwall
🔄
75'
R. Leonard ↔ D. McNamara
Millwall
🔄
75'
A. Doughty ↔ B. Mitchell
Millwall
🔄
78'
K. Matsuki ↔ J. Robinson
Southampton
🔄
83'
F. Azeez ↔ A. Emakhu
Millwall
🔄
83'
Z. Sturge ↔ J. Bryan
Millwall
🔄
84'
F. Downes ↔ C. Jander
Southampton
🔄
87'
C. Neghli ↔ R. Bangura-Williams
Millwall
🟨
90+1'
Billy Mitchell
Millwall

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.48
Millwall1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
38 GF / 34 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
27 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
20
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
11
5.33
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 24 matches
Millwall Millwall 24 matches
Southampton Statistic Millwall
8 Wins 11
8 Draws 6
8 Losses 7
38 Goals For 27
34 Goals Against 32
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
20 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 6
5.33 Shots On Goal 4
14.71 Total Shots 12.38
5.54 Corners 5
57.7% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 5 times, Millwall won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Southampton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 3-4-2-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 5, draws 2, Millwall wins 3
Stats
Southampton Southampton
Millwall Millwall
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 6
6 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
591 Total passes 281
516 Passes accurate 195
0.96 expected_goals 1.49
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Southampton
Formation
Millwall
G. Bazunu
G. Bazunu
N. Wood
N. Wood
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
J. Stephens
J. Stephens
E. Jelert
E. Jelert
C. Bragg
C. Bragg
F. Downes
F. Downes
R. Manning
R. Manning
K. Matsuki
K. Matsuki
L. Scienza
L. Scienza
C. Archer
C. Archer
M. Crocombe
M. Crocombe
T. Crama
T. Crama
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
Z. Sturge
Z. Sturge
R. Leonard
R. Leonard
A. Doughty
A. Doughty
M. Langstaff
M. Langstaff
C. Neghli
C. Neghli
T. Ballo
T. Ballo
F. Azeez
F. Azeez
Southampton 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
G. Bazunu
G
15
N. Wood
🟨 30'
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
5
J. Stephens
D
38
E. Jelert
↓ 59'
M
48
C. Bragg
M
4
F. Downes
↓ 84'
M
3
R. Manning
M
27
K. Matsuki
↓ 78'
F
13
L. Scienza
↓ 46'
F
19
C. Archer
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
1
A. McCarthy
G
9
A. Armstrong
↑ 59'
F
10
F. Azaz
↑ 46'
M
17
J. Quarshie
D
18
T. Fellows
↑ 59'
M
20
C. Jander
↑ 84'
M
34
Welington
D
46
J. Robinson
↑ 78'
F
53
B. Williams
M
Millwall 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
15
M. Crocombe
G
4
T. Crama
D
6
C. Taylor
D
5
J. Cooper
D
3
Z. Sturge
↓ 83' 🟨 37'
D
18
R. Leonard
↓ 75'
M
14
A. Doughty
↓ 75'
M
17
M. Langstaff
🟨 69'
M
10
C. Neghli
↓ 87'
M
7
T. Ballo
M
11
F. Azeez
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
13
S. Benda
G
2
D. McNamara
↑ 75'
D
8
B. Mitchell
↑ 75' 🟨 90+1'
M
22
A. Emakhu
↑ 83'
F
23
J. Bryan
↑ 83'
D
28
A. Matthews
F
31
R. Bangura-Williams
↑ 87'
F
45
W. Harding
D
47
J. Howland
M
Last matches: Southampton
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
Last matches: Millwall
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
H2H: Southampton vs Millwall
01.01.26
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
29.11.25
H2H
Millwall
Southampton
3
2
L
03.08.24
H2H
Millwall
Southampton
0
1
W
24.02.24
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
1
2
L
04.11.23
H2H
Millwall
Southampton
0
1
W
26.08.14
H2H
Millwall
Southampton
0
2
W
17.03.12
H2H
Millwall
Southampton
2
3
W
07.02.12
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
2
3
L
28.01.12
H2H
Millwall
Southampton
1
1
D
20.08.11
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
1
0
W
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
21.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Hull City
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
3
2
W
06.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Preston
0
2
L
H2H at home: Southampton
01.01.26
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
24.02.24
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
1
2
L
07.02.12
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
2
3
L
20.08.11
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
1
0
W
Last matches: Millwall
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Watford
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Millwall
Burnley
1
5
L
20.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
0
2
L
10.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
H2H away: Millwall
01.01.26
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
24.02.24
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
1
2
W
07.02.12
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
2
3
W
20.08.11
H2H
Southampton
Millwall
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation