ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
12.09.2026 14:00

Southampton vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.65
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.1%
1.65
BTTS Yes
88%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.59
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 53.1%
Draw 4%
Bristol City Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.83
Bristol City1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
20 GF / 9 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
WLDWL
19 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.22
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
8
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 9 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 12 matches
Southampton Statistic Bristol City
6 Wins 5
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 3
20 Goals For 19
9 Goals Against 15
2.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
8 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 4
4.5 Shots On Goal 4
16.83 Total Shots 11.6
6.67 Corners 4.4
58.3% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 2 times, Bristol City won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Southampton's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Southampton 2, Bristol City 1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 2, draws 1, Bristol City wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 9:6 3 13
W W D L W
2 6 3 2 1 14:9 5 11
W W W D L
3 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L D W W D
4 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D L W W D
5 6 3 2 1 6:7 -1 11
D L D W W
6 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
W D W L W
7 5 3 1 1 9:7 2 10
W W W D L
8 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L L W W
9 6 3 0 3 10:9 1 9
W W L W L
10 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
W L W D D
11 5 2 2 1 13:10 3 8
D L W W D
12 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W L L D D
13 6 3 2 1 14:7 7 7
W D D W W
14 6 1 4 1 7:5 2 7
D D W L D
15 6 1 4 1 8:8 0 7
L D D W D
16 6 2 1 3 9:10 -1 7
D W W L L
17 5 2 0 3 7:8 -1 6
W L L W L
18 6 1 2 3 7:9 -2 5
L L D L W
19 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
D D W L L
20 6 0 4 2 7:10 -3 4
D L L D D
21 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L D
22 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L L W L D
23 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
D L D L L
24 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One