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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Southampton
FT
3 - 1
Birmingham
St. Mary's Stadium
Referee: David Webb, England
Southampton
Match Timeline
Birmingham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
F. Azaz · Assist: L. Scienza
Southampton
⚽
24'
A. Armstrong · Assist: F. Azaz
Southampton
🟨
49'
Tomoki Iwata
Birmingham
⚽
54'
D. Gray · Assist: A. Cochrane
Birmingham
⚽
58'
A. Armstrong
Southampton
🔄
59'
A. Cochrane ↔ J. Robinson
Birmingham
🔄
59'
M. Ducksch ↔ K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
🔄
63'
L. Scienza ↔ J. Robinson
Southampton
🔄
63'
A. Armstrong ↔ C. Archer
Southampton
🔄
80'
C. Jander ↔ O. Romeu
Southampton
🔄
80'
F. Azaz ↔ J. Aribo
Southampton
🔄
80'
P. Roberts ↔ K. Anderson
Birmingham
🔄
86'
D. Gray ↔ L. Koumas
Birmingham
🔄
86'
J. Stansfield ↔ L. Dykes
Birmingham
🔄
87'
T. Fellows ↔ R. Edwards
Southampton
🟨
90+2'
Joe Aribo
Southampton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Birmingham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.38
Birmingham1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
Birmingham Birmingham
WLDWL
27 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
14
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
9
5.28
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 18 matches
Birmingham Birmingham 18 matches
Southampton Statistic Birmingham
6 Wins 8
6 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
28 Goals For 27
25 Goals Against 20
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
14 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
5.28 Shots On Goal 3.78
14.44 Total Shots 13.72
5.56 Corners 5.11
57.5% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 4 times, Birmingham won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:7 from Southampton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 3-4-2-1 / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 4, draws 2, Birmingham wins 0
Stats
Southampton Southampton
Birmingham Birmingham
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
8
7 Corner Kicks 8
9 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 22
8 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 10
1 Blocked Shots 8
9 Shots insidebox 14
9 Shots outsidebox 8
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
291 Total passes 407
231 Passes accurate 348
2.08 expected_goals 2.01
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Southampton
Formation
Birmingham
G. Bazunu
G. Bazunu
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood
N. Wood
J. Stephens
J. Stephens
T. Fellows
↓
T. Fellows
F. Downes
F. Downes
C. Jander
↓
C. Jander
R. Manning
R. Manning
F. Azaz
⚽ 🎯 ↓
F. Azaz
L. Scienza
🎯 ↓
L. Scienza
A. Armstrong
⚽ 2 ↓
A. Armstrong
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
T. Iwata
T. Iwata
P. Neumann
P. Neumann
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
A. Cochrane
🎯 ↓
A. Cochrane
T. Doyle
T. Doyle
Paik Seung-Ho
Paik Seung-Ho
P. Roberts
↓
P. Roberts
J. Stansfield
↓
J. Stansfield
D. Gray
⚽ ↓
D. Gray
M. Ducksch
↓
M. Ducksch
Southampton 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
G. Bazunu
G
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
15
N. Wood
D
5
J. Stephens
D
18
T. Fellows
↓ 87'
M
4
F. Downes
M
20
C. Jander
↓ 80'
M
3
R. Manning
M
10
F. Azaz
⚽ 6' 🎯 24' ↓ 80'
F
13
L. Scienza
🎯 6' ↓ 63'
F
9
A. Armstrong
⚽ 24' ⚽ 58' ↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
A. McCarthy
G
17
J. Quarshie
D
12
R. Edwards
↑ 87'
D
28
O. Romeu
↑ 80'
M
48
C. Bragg
M
26
R. Fraser
M
7
J. Aribo
↑ 80' 🟨 90+2'
M
46
J. Robinson
↑ 63'
F
19
C. Archer
↑ 63'
F
Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Beadle
G
24
T. Iwata
🟨 49'
D
5
P. Neumann
D
4
C. Klarer
D
20
A. Cochrane
🎯 54' ↓ 59'
D
7
T. Doyle
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
M
16
P. Roberts
↓ 80'
M
28
J. Stansfield
↓ 86'
M
10
D. Gray
⚽ 54' ↓ 86'
M
33
M. Ducksch
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
21
R. Allsop
G
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
41
E. Cashin
D
6
J. Robinson
↑ 59'
D
12
M. Leonard
M
14
K. Anderson
↑ 80'
M
30
L. Koumas
↑ 86'
F
17
L. Dykes
↑ 86'
F
9
K. Furuhashi
↑ 59'
F
Last matches: Southampton
16.08.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
H2H: Southampton vs Birmingham
29.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Southampton
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
02.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Southampton
3
4
W
28.10.23
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
04.02.12
H2H
Birmingham
Southampton
0
0
D
18.09.11
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
4
1
W
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
21.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Hull City
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Preston
0
2
L
H2H at home: Southampton
06.12.25
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
28.10.23
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
18.09.11
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
4
1
W
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Swansea
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Birmingham
Cambridge United
3
2
W
01.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
0
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
3
L
09.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
2
L
26.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
H2H away: Birmingham
06.12.25
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
L
18.09.11
H2H
Southampton
Birmingham
4
1
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton Home
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Away
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation