BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sousa Win 50.9%
Draw 7.6%
Central SC Win 41.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sousa0.75
Central SC0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sousa Sousa
WWDLW
7 GF / 8 GA
Central SC Central SC
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sousa Sousa 9 matches
Central SC Central SC 7 matches
Sousa Statistic Central SC
5 Wins 2
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
7 Goals For 6
8 Goals Against 5
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
2 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Central SC's more proactive style and Sousa's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Central SC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central SC having the stronger overall control. Sousa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sousa Analysis

Sousa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 9 points from 7 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 4:7, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Central SC Analysis

Central SC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 9 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Augusto Potiguar (1 goals), Caio Vinicius (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sousa won 2 times, Central SC won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Sousa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
H2H summary: Sousa wins 2, draws 5, Central SC wins 1
Last matches: Sousa
14.06.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Pombal
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Potiguar Mossoró
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
0
0
D
29.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
3
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
11.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
Last matches: Central SC
28.06.26
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Central SC
Laguna
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ser
Central SC
America-RN
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Central SC
Maguary PE
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Central SC
ABC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Central SC
ABC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Maguary PE
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Sousa
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Central SC
America-RN
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Laguna
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Maranhão
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Maranhão
1
2
L
10.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Lagarto
2
2
D
03.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Lagarto
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
0
0
D
20.07.25
Ser
Central SC
Sousa
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Central SC
America-RN
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
Central SC
Santa Cruz RN
1
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Central SC
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
H2H: Sousa vs Central SC
23.05.26
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
19.04.26
H2H
Central SC
Sousa
2
1
L
20.07.25
H2H
Central SC
Sousa
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
08.08.21
H2H
Central
Sousa
0
0
D
04.07.21
H2H
Sousa
Central
0
0
D
25.06.17
H2H
Central SC
Sousa
0
1
W
21.05.17
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
2
0
W
Last matches: Sousa
14.06.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Potiguar Mossoró
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
3
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
25.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
11.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
4
0
W
27.04.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
H2H at home: Sousa
23.05.26
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
27.04.25
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
04.07.21
H2H
Sousa
Central
0
0
D
21.05.17
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
2
0
W
Last matches: Central SC
28.06.26
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
0
2
L
29.05.26
Ser
Central SC
America-RN
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Central SC
ABC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Maguary PE
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Laguna
1
1
D
16.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Maranhão
1
2
L
10.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Lagarto
2
2
D
27.07.25
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
Central SC
America-RN
0
0
D
29.06.25
Ser
Central SC
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Central SC
Horizonte
1
1
D
31.05.25
Ser
Central SC
Treze
3
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Central SC
Santa Cruz RN
2
0
W
27.04.25
Ser
Central SC
Sousa
0
0
D
H2H away: Central SC
23.05.26
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
27.04.25
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
21.05.17
H2H
Sousa
Central SC
2
0
L

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5
Sousa Home
10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)