NORWAY 1. DIVISION
30.08.2026 15:00
Fosshaugane Campus
Referee: E. Wisted-Thu
Sogndal
Match Timeline
Stromsgodset
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
E. Melkersen · Assist: H. Stengel
Stromsgodset
18'
K. Skaanes · Assist: L. Vapne
Sogndal
23'
E. Melkersen · Assist: G. Wikheim
Stromsgodset
🟨
45'
L. Gausdal
Sogndal
🟨
56'
S. Pingel
Stromsgodset
🔄
57'
L. Gausdal ↔ O. Helen
Sogndal
🔄
63'
A. Heredia-Randen ↔ O. Enersen
Stromsgodset
🟨
65'
T. Pippola
Sogndal
🔄
69'
J. Taaje ↔ B. Sormo
Stromsgodset
🔄
69'
G. Wikheim ↔ M. Mehnert
Stromsgodset
77'
K. Arierhi · Assist: A. Barkarson
Sogndal
🟨
80'
T. Pippola
Sogndal
🟥
80'
T. Pippola
Sogndal
🟥
85'
R. Onyango
Sogndal
🔄
86'
K. Arierhi ↔ E. L. Hillestad
Sogndal
90'
E. Melkersen · Assist: L. Vilsvik
Stromsgodset

Sogndal vs Stromsgodset Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.28
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.8%
1.68
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.28
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.24
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.08
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Sogndal Win 33.1%
Draw 11.1%
Stromsgodset Win 55.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sogndal1.84
Stromsgodset2.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sogndal Sogndal
WWDLW
56 GF / 61 GA
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
WLDWL
64 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
2.37
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
20
BTTS Yes
18
20
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sogndal Sogndal 29 matches
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 27 matches
Sogndal Statistic Stromsgodset
9 Wins 12
8 Draws 8
12 Losses 7
56 Goals For 64
61 Goals Against 46
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 2.37
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
20 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 26
20 Over 2.5 19
17 Over 3.5 13
3 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Stromsgodset's more proactive style and Sogndal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sogndal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sogndal expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Stromsgodset in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stromsgodset having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Stromsgodset. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Stromsgodset carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 35 points while Sogndal sit 10 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Sogndal Analysis

Sogndal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 21 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 32:43 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stromsgodset Analysis

Stromsgodset arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 35 points after 18 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 47:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Sogndal won 0 times, Stromsgodset won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:11 from Sogndal's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Sogndal 4-4-2 / Stromsgodset 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sogndal wins 0, draws 1, Stromsgodset wins 4

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
6 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
7 22 10 2 10 28:31 -3 32
W L L W W
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14 22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 22 5 5 12 34:48 -14 20
D D D L W
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
Promotion
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