NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Fosshaugane Campus
Referee: A. Bodding
Sogndal
Match Timeline
Moss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
O. Hintsa · Assist: K. Skaanes
Sogndal
20'
J. Laegreid · Assist: O. Aga
Moss
25'
O. Hintsa · Assist: K. Skaanes
Sogndal
29'
O. Aga
Moss
35'
N. Semmen · Assist: J. Musbaudeen
Moss
🔄
46'
M. Oren ↔ D. Bras
Sogndal
🔄
46'
E. Hovland ↔ E. L. Hillestad
Sogndal
🔄
55'
R. Marcus ↔ S. Prestmo
Moss
🟨
56'
J. Musbaudeen
Moss
🟨
62'
M. Cassidy
Moss
🔄
66'
V. Hagen ↔ O. Helen
Sogndal
🟨
69'
O. Aga
Moss
🔄
69'
S. Gronli ↔ H. Vold Krohg
Moss
🔄
69'
O. Aga ↔ T. Jakobsen
Moss
76'
H. Vold Krohg · Assist: J. Laegreid
Moss
🔄
78'
M. Hoyland ↔ P. Asp
Sogndal
🔄
78'
L. Vapne ↔ E. Flo
Sogndal
🔄
80'
N. Semmen ↔ W. Olofsson
Moss

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.2%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sogndal Win 44.9%
Draw 21.8%
Moss Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sogndal1.97
Moss1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sogndal Sogndal
WWDLW
39 GF / 38 GA
Moss Moss
WLDWL
37 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
2
13
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sogndal Sogndal 20 matches
Moss Moss 22 matches
Sogndal Statistic Moss
6 Wins 7
7 Draws 4
7 Losses 11
39 Goals For 37
38 Goals Against 44
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 2
13 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 12
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Moss. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Moss having the stronger overall control.

Sogndal Analysis

Sogndal sit 10 with 12 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:22 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Moss Analysis

Moss are currently 8 in the standings with 14 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sogndal won 5 times, Moss won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Sogndal's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.2%)
Predicted formations: Sogndal - / Moss 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sogndal wins 5, draws 0, Moss wins 3

Lineups

Sogndal
Formation
Moss
L. Jendal
L. Jendal
M. Oren
M. Oren
E. Hovland
E. Hovland
S. A. Granheim
S. A. Granheim
A. Barkarson
A. Barkarson
V. Hagen
V. Hagen
K. Skaanes
🎯
K. Skaanes
M. Hoyland
M. Hoyland
L. Vapne
L. Vapne
O. Hintsa
⚽ 2
O. Hintsa
S. Pedersen
S. Pedersen
M. Eriksen
M. Eriksen
M. Cassidy
M. Cassidy
K. Strande
K. Strande
E. Race
E. Race
W. Kvale
W. Kvale
R. Marcus
R. Marcus
J. Musbaudeen
🎯
J. Musbaudeen
S. Gronli
S. Gronli
N. Semmen
N. Semmen
O. Aga
🎯
O. Aga
J. Laegreid
🎯
J. Laegreid
Sogndal 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Jendal
32
M. Oren
↓ 46'
4
E. Hovland
↓ 46'
5
S. A. Granheim
23
A. Barkarson
18
V. Hagen
↓ 66'
10
K. Skaanes
🎯 17' 🎯 25'
6
M. Hoyland
↓ 78'
16
L. Vapne
↓ 78'
9
O. Hintsa
⚽ 17' ⚽ 25'
7
S. Pedersen
Substitutes
24
K. Bieszczad
2
D. Bras
↑ 46'
15
O. Helen
↑ 66'
20
P. Asp
↑ 78'
33
J. Madsen
35
E. L. Hillestad
↑ 46'
36
M. Aroy
38
A. Sundal
39
E. Flo
↑ 78'
Moss 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Eriksen
2
M. Cassidy
🟨 62'
3
K. Strande
5
E. Race
16
W. Kvale
18
R. Marcus
↓ 55'
14
J. Musbaudeen
🎯 35' 🟨 56'
21
S. Gronli
↓ 69'
20
N. Semmen
⚽ 35' ↓ 80'
9
O. Aga
⚽ 29' 🎯 20' ↓ 69' 🟨 69'
7
J. Laegreid
⚽ 20' 🎯 76'
Substitutes
30
M. Skott-Grande
4
K. Harrison
8
H. Vold Krohg
⚽ 76' ↑ 69'
11
T. Jakobsen
↑ 69'
17
P. Andersen
23
R. Hermanstad
24
W. Olofsson
↑ 80'
26
E. Chidi
27
S. Prestmo
↑ 55'
Last matches: Sogndal
03.07.26
1.
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
1
5
L
27.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Egersund
4
2
W
21.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Strommen
3
2
W
25.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
20.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Stabaek
2
2
D
16.05.26
1.
Sogndal
hodd
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Haugesund
5
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Bryne
3
3
D
25.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Asane
2
0
W
18.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Lyn
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Sogndal
ODD Ballklubb
0
4
L
29.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Asane
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
1
D
13.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bryne
2
3
L
06.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Stabaek
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
hodd
5
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bjarg
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
Last matches: Moss
04.07.26
1.
Moss
Egersund
0
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Moss
Strommen
2
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Moss
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Moss
Thor Akureyri
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Moss
Raufoss
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Moss
Mjondalen
2
3
L
H2H: Sogndal vs Moss
14.06.26
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
4
L
23.08.25
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
3
1
W
30.07.25
H2H
Moss
Sogndal
3
1
L
19.08.24
H2H
Moss
Sogndal
3
0
L
20.04.24
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
1
0
W
07.10.23
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
1
W
07.06.23
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
0
W
23.04.23
H2H
Moss
Sogndal
1
2
W
Last matches: Sogndal
27.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Egersund
4
2
W
20.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Stabaek
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Haugesund
5
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Asane
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Lyn
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Asane
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
1
D
13.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bryne
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bjarg
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
05.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Daejeon Citizen
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Sogndal
Sandviken
6
5
W
17.01.26
Fri
Sogndal
Førde
4
0
W
H2H at home: Sogndal
14.06.26
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
4
L
23.08.25
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
3
1
W
20.04.24
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
1
0
W
07.10.23
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
1
W
07.06.23
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
0
W
Last matches: Moss
04.07.26
1.
Moss
Egersund
0
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Moss
Strommen
2
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Moss
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Moss
Thor Akureyri
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Moss
Raufoss
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Moss
Mjondalen
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Moss
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
L
H2H away: Moss
14.06.26
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
4
W
23.08.25
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
3
1
L
20.04.24
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
1
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
1
L
07.06.23
H2H
Sogndal
Moss
2
0
L

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:26 17 31
W W L W W
2 14 9 3 2 36:21 15 30
W L D W W
3 14 8 4 2 41:22 19 28
L D D W W
4 14 8 3 3 32:16 16 27
W W L W D
5 14 7 3 4 27:19 8 24
L D D L W
6 14 6 3 5 22:19 3 21
W W D L L
7 14 6 2 6 22:20 2 20
D W W W L
8 14 6 2 6 34:34 0 20
L L W L D
9 14 6 1 7 24:25 -1 19
W L W L L
10 14 5 2 7 19:23 -4 17
D L W W W
11
Moss Away
14 5 2 7 23:32 -9 17
L L L W D
12 14 4 3 7 25:36 -11 15
L W L L W
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 17:31 -14 13
W L W L L
15 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
16 14 3 2 9 18:36 -18 11
L W W L D
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation