NORWAY › 1. DIVISION
14.06.2026 14:00
Fosshaugane Campus
Referee: A. Bodding
Sogndal
Match Timeline
Moss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
O. Hintsa · Assist: K. Skaanes
Sogndal
⚽
20'
J. Laegreid · Assist: O. Aga
Moss
⚽
25'
O. Hintsa · Assist: K. Skaanes
Sogndal
⚽
29'
O. Aga
Moss
⚽
35'
N. Semmen · Assist: J. Musbaudeen
Moss
🔄
46'
M. Oren ↔ D. Bras
Sogndal
🔄
46'
E. Hovland ↔ E. L. Hillestad
Sogndal
🔄
55'
R. Marcus ↔ S. Prestmo
Moss
🟨
56'
J. Musbaudeen
Moss
🟨
62'
M. Cassidy
Moss
🔄
66'
V. Hagen ↔ O. Helen
Sogndal
🟨
69'
O. Aga
Moss
🔄
69'
S. Gronli ↔ H. Vold Krohg
Moss
🔄
69'
O. Aga ↔ T. Jakobsen
Moss
⚽
76'
H. Vold Krohg · Assist: J. Laegreid
Moss
🔄
78'
M. Hoyland ↔ P. Asp
Sogndal
🔄
78'
L. Vapne ↔ E. Flo
Sogndal
🔄
80'
N. Semmen ↔ W. Olofsson
Moss

Sogndal vs Moss Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sogndal Win 44.9%
Draw 21.8%
Moss Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sogndal1.97
Moss1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sogndal Sogndal
WWDLW
39 GF / 38 GA
Moss Moss
WLDWL
37 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
2
13
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sogndal Sogndal 20 matches
Moss Moss 22 matches
Sogndal Statistic Moss
6 Wins 7
7 Draws 4
7 Losses 11
39 Goals For 37
38 Goals Against 44
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 2
13 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 12
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Moss. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Moss having the stronger overall control.

Sogndal Analysis

Sogndal sit 10 with 12 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:22 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Moss Analysis

Moss are currently 8 in the standings with 14 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sogndal won 5 times, Moss won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Sogndal's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.2%)
H2H summary: Sogndal wins 5, draws 1, Moss wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 1 5 72:39 33 52
W W W W W
2 23 15 5 3 68:35 33 50
W D W D W
3 23 14 6 3 60:31 29 48
W W D W W
4 23 14 3 6 57:29 28 45
W L L L W
5 23 10 6 7 47:36 11 36
W L D W L
6 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
7 23 10 4 9 38:45 -7 34
L L D W L
8 23 8 5 10 36:44 -8 29
L D D D L
9 23 8 4 11 56:58 -2 28
W D D L L
10 23 8 4 11 39:48 -9 28
L W D D W
11
Moss Away
23 7 4 12 38:52 -14 25
W L W L D
12 23 7 4 12 35:52 -17 25
L D W W W
13 23 7 3 13 32:42 -10 24
L L D W L
14 23 6 5 12 38:53 -15 23
L D L L D
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 23 6 1 16 26:61 -35 19
L W L L L
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