FRANCE LIGUE 3
02.05.2026 15:00
Stade Auguste Bonal
Sochaux
Match Timeline
Valenciennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
18'
A. Koum Mbondo
Valenciennes
🔄
24'
D. Diomande ↔ A. Wahib
Valenciennes
30'
K. Djoco · Assist: A. Boutoutaou
Sochaux
🔄
46'
S. Belloumou ↔ Q. Daubin
Valenciennes
🟨
47'
H. Bayanginisa
Sochaux
🟨
51'
H. Bayanginisa
Sochaux
🟥
51'
H. Bayanginisa
Sochaux
52'
S. Appuah
Valenciennes
🟨
54'
S. Appuah
Valenciennes
🔄
57'
S. Appuah ↔ E. H. Raheriniaina
Valenciennes
🟨
59'
A. Vitelli
Sochaux
🟨
66'
A. Wahib
Valenciennes
🔄
67'
S. Baghdadi ↔ B. Youssouf
Sochaux
🔄
67'
A. Boutoutaou ↔ B. Fofana
Sochaux
🔄
71'
K. Kouakou ↔ C. Nyemb
Valenciennes
🟨
74'
E. H. Raheriniaina
Valenciennes
🔄
78'
A. Vitelli ↔ D. Tavares
Sochaux
🔄
83'
K. Djoco ↔ A. Sidibe
Sochaux

Sochaux vs Valenciennes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sochaux Win 73.4%
Draw 0%
Valenciennes Win 26.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sochaux1.58
Valenciennes1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sochaux Sochaux
WWDLW
56 GF / 28 GA
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WLDWL
32 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
16
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
14
2.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sochaux Sochaux 32 matches
Valenciennes Valenciennes 28 matches
Sochaux Statistic Valenciennes
17 Wins 10
9 Draws 6
6 Losses 12
56 Goals For 32
28 Goals Against 37
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
16 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 8
2.5 Shots On Goal 0
8.5 Total Shots 0
4 Corners 0
49% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sochaux's more proactive style and Valenciennes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Valenciennes. Valenciennes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valenciennes having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sochaux arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 56 points compared to Valenciennes in 11 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sochaux Analysis

Sochaux arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 56 points after 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 47:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Gomel (12 goals), K. Djoco (10 goals), A. Boutoutaou (6 goals), with creative support from D. Tavares (5 assists), A. Boutoutaou (4 assists), E. N'Gatta (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Valenciennes Analysis

Valenciennes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 35 points from 29 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 32:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Courtet (5 goals), A. Ipiele (3 goals), B. Passi (3 goals), with creative support from D. Diomande (5 assists), T. Marechal (3 assists), A. Ipiele (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sochaux won 4 times, Valenciennes won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Sochaux's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Sochaux 4-2-3-1 / Valenciennes -
H2H summary: Sochaux wins 4, draws 5, Valenciennes wins 6

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
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