FRANCE NATIONAL 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Auguste Bonal
Sochaux
Match Timeline
Valenciennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
18'
A. Koum Mbondo
Valenciennes
🔄
24'
D. Diomande ↔ A. Wahib
Valenciennes
30'
K. Djoco · Assist: A. Boutoutaou
Sochaux
🔄
46'
S. Belloumou ↔ Q. Daubin
Valenciennes
🟨
47'
H. Bayanginisa
Sochaux
🟨
51'
H. Bayanginisa
Sochaux
🟥
51'
H. Bayanginisa
Sochaux
52'
S. Appuah
Valenciennes
🟨
54'
S. Appuah
Valenciennes
🔄
57'
S. Appuah ↔ E. H. Raheriniaina
Valenciennes
🟨
59'
A. Vitelli
Sochaux
🟨
66'
A. Wahib
Valenciennes
🔄
67'
S. Baghdadi ↔ B. Youssouf
Sochaux
🔄
67'
A. Boutoutaou ↔ B. Fofana
Sochaux
🔄
71'
K. Kouakou ↔ C. Nyemb
Valenciennes
🟨
74'
E. H. Raheriniaina
Valenciennes
🔄
78'
A. Vitelli ↔ D. Tavares
Sochaux
🔄
83'
K. Djoco ↔ A. Sidibe
Sochaux

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sochaux Win 73.4%
Draw 0%
Valenciennes Win 26.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sochaux1.58
Valenciennes1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sochaux Sochaux
WWDLW
56 GF / 28 GA
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WLDWL
32 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
16
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
14
2.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sochaux Sochaux 32 matches
Valenciennes Valenciennes 28 matches
Sochaux Statistic Valenciennes
17 Wins 10
9 Draws 6
6 Losses 12
56 Goals For 32
28 Goals Against 37
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
16 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 8
2.5 Shots On Goal 0
8.5 Total Shots 0
4 Corners 0
49% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sochaux's more proactive style and Valenciennes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Valenciennes. Valenciennes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valenciennes having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sochaux arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 56 points compared to Valenciennes in 11 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sochaux Analysis

Sochaux arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 56 points after 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 47:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Gomel (12 goals), K. Djoco (10 goals), A. Boutoutaou (6 goals), with creative support from D. Tavares (5 assists), A. Boutoutaou (4 assists), E. N'Gatta (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Valenciennes Analysis

Valenciennes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 35 points from 29 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 32:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Courtet (5 goals), A. Ipiele (3 goals), B. Passi (3 goals), with creative support from D. Diomande (5 assists), T. Marechal (3 assists), A. Ipiele (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sochaux won 4 times, Valenciennes won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Sochaux's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Sochaux wins 4, draws 5, Valenciennes wins 6

Lineups

Sochaux
Formation
Valenciennes
A. Pierre
A. Pierre
E. N'Gatta
E. N'Gatta
A. Vitelli
A. Vitelli
M. Peybernes
M. Peybernes
D. Gomis
D. Gomis
H. Bayanginisa
H. Bayanginisa
J. Mexique
J. Mexique
A. Boutoutaou
🎯
A. Boutoutaou
S. Baghdadi
S. Baghdadi
B. Gomel
B. Gomel
K. Djoco
K. Djoco
J. Louchet
J. Louchet
D. Abu
D. Abu
L. Landre
L. Landre
A. Coeff
A. Coeff
D. Diomande
D. Diomande
M. Rouai
M. Rouai
S. Belloumou
S. Belloumou
A. Koum Mbondo
A. Koum Mbondo
K. Kouakou
K. Kouakou
G. Courtet
G. Courtet
S. Appuah
S. Appuah
Sochaux 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
A. Pierre
26
E. N'Gatta
4
A. Vitelli
↓ 78' 🟨 59'
14
M. Peybernes
3
D. Gomis
8
H. Bayanginisa
🟨 47' 🟨 51' 🟥 51'
15
J. Mexique
28
A. Boutoutaou
🎯 30' ↓ 67'
5
S. Baghdadi
↓ 67'
7
B. Gomel
9
K. Djoco
⚽ 30' ↓ 83'
Substitutes
1
M. Jeannin
24
D. Tavares
↑ 78'
17
B. Youssouf
↑ 67'
10
B. Fofana
↑ 67'
12
A. Sidibe
↑ 83'
Valenciennes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Louchet
2
D. Abu
4
L. Landre
29
A. Coeff
26
D. Diomande
↓ 24'
8
M. Rouai
25
S. Belloumou
↓ 46'
20
A. Koum Mbondo
🟥 18'
23
K. Kouakou
↓ 71'
18
G. Courtet
11
S. Appuah
⚽ 52' ↓ 57' 🟨 54'
Substitutes
33
N. Bourichon
28
A. Wahib
↑ 24' 🟨 66'
27
Q. Daubin
↑ 46'
14
E. H. Raheriniaina
↑ 57' 🟨 74'
32
C. Nyemb
↑ 71'
Last matches: Sochaux
22.07.26
Fri
Sochaux
Metz
1
4
L
18.07.26
Fri
Sochaux
Grenoble
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Sochaux
FC Zurich
2
1
W
15.05.26
Nat
Sochaux
Le Puy Foot
2
2
D
09.05.26
Nat
Sochaux
Chateauroux
1
2
L
24.04.26
Nat
Sochaux
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
1
W
17.04.26
Nat
Sochaux
Dijon
0
0
D
10.04.26
Nat
Sochaux
Fleury 91
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Sochaux
Versailles
0
1
L
27.03.26
Nat
Sochaux
Quevilly
2
0
W
20.03.26
Nat
Sochaux
Aubagne
4
1
W
13.03.26
Nat
Sochaux
Concarneau
2
0
W
27.02.26
Nat
Sochaux
Villefranche
2
1
W
20.02.26
Nat
Sochaux
Caen
3
1
W
13.02.26
Nat
Sochaux
Gobelins
1
1
D
06.02.26
Nat
Sochaux
Stade Briochin
1
1
D
30.01.26
Nat
Sochaux
Rouen
1
1
D
23.01.26
Nat
Sochaux
Orleans
2
1
W
16.01.26
Nat
Sochaux
Chateauroux
1
0
W
11.01.26
Cou
Sochaux
Lens
0
3
L
Last matches: Valenciennes
22.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Eastleigh
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Kortrijk
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Dunkerque
2
0
W
15.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
2
2
D
09.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0
1
L
24.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
1
L
17.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
10.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Versailles
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Quevilly
2
3
L
27.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Aubagne
0
0
D
20.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Concarneau
2
1
W
06.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Villefranche
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Caen
2
1
W
20.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Gobelins
1
1
D
13.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
06.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Rouen
2
1
W
31.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Orleans
0
1
L
23.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Le Puy Foot
0
3
L
16.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
3
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Francs Borains
3
3
D
H2H: Sochaux vs Valenciennes
02.05.26
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
1
1
D
12.12.25
H2H
Valenciennes
Sochaux
0
3
W
14.03.25
H2H
Valenciennes
Sochaux
1
0
L
18.10.24
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
2
0
W
31.01.23
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
4
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
Valenciennes
Sochaux
2
1
L
07.05.22
H2H
Valenciennes
Sochaux
1
0
L
21.12.21
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
1
1
D
15.02.21
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
2
0
W
17.10.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Sochaux
0
0
D
14.02.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Sochaux
3
2
L
13.09.19
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
0
0
D
11.01.19
H2H
Valenciennes
Sochaux
1
0
L
03.08.18
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
0
1
L
24.04.18
H2H
Valenciennes
Sochaux
2
2
D
Last matches: Sochaux
18.07.26
Fri
Sochaux
Grenoble
1
0
W
15.05.26
Nat
Sochaux
Le Puy Foot
2
2
D
24.04.26
Nat
Sochaux
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
1
W
10.04.26
Nat
Sochaux
Fleury 91
2
2
D
27.03.26
Nat
Sochaux
Quevilly
2
0
W
13.03.26
Nat
Sochaux
Concarneau
2
0
W
27.02.26
Nat
Sochaux
Villefranche
2
1
W
13.02.26
Nat
Sochaux
Gobelins
1
1
D
30.01.26
Nat
Sochaux
Rouen
1
1
D
16.01.26
Nat
Sochaux
Chateauroux
1
0
W
11.01.26
Cou
Sochaux
Lens
0
3
L
21.11.25
Nat
Sochaux
Dijon
0
1
L
31.10.25
Nat
Sochaux
Versailles
2
0
W
17.10.25
Nat
Sochaux
Aubagne
2
0
W
12.09.25
Nat
Sochaux
Caen
1
1
D
29.08.25
Nat
Sochaux
Stade Briochin
2
0
W
15.08.25
Nat
Sochaux
Orleans
5
0
W
H2H at home: Sochaux
02.05.26
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
2
0
W
31.01.23
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
4
0
W
21.12.21
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
1
1
D
15.02.21
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
2
0
W
13.09.19
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
0
0
D
03.08.18
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
0
1
L
Last matches: Valenciennes
22.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Eastleigh
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Kortrijk
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Dunkerque
2
0
W
09.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0
1
L
17.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
03.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Quevilly
2
3
L
20.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Concarneau
2
1
W
06.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Villefranche
3
2
W
20.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Gobelins
1
1
D
06.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Rouen
2
1
W
23.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Le Puy Foot
0
3
L
05.12.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
4
L
07.11.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Versailles
1
1
D
21.10.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Aubagne
1
1
D
19.09.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Caen
0
0
D
05.09.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
22.08.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Orleans
1
2
L
08.08.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
0
0
D
13.08.19
Cou
Valenciennes
Ajaccio
1
4
L
H2H away: Valenciennes
02.05.26
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
2
0
L
31.01.23
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
4
0
L
21.12.21
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
1
1
D
15.02.21
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
2
0
L
13.09.19
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
0
0
D
03.08.18
H2H
Sochaux
Valenciennes
0
1
W

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
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