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09.10.2026 18:00
Stade Bonal
Referee: Mickael Leleu, France
Sochaux
Match Timeline
Boulogne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
B. Gomel · Assist: K. Djoco
Sochaux
🟨
40'
Julien Masson
Sochaux
🟨
46'
Demba Thiam
Boulogne
🔄
64'
M. Soumah ↔ B. Besic
Boulogne
🔄
65'
N. Fatar ↔ A. Platret
Boulogne
🔄
68'
Y. Demoncy ↔ S. Baghdadi
Sochaux
🔄
68'
L. Nomel ↔ L. Deedson
Sochaux
🔄
68'
K. Djoco ↔ M. Clairicia
Sochaux
⚽
75'
A. Hbouch · Assist: A. Platret
Boulogne
🔄
78'
A. Vitelli ↔ S. Agouzoul
Sochaux
🔄
84'
B. Gomel ↔ B. Fofana
Sochaux
🔄
87'
J. Bultel ↔ T. Epailly
Boulogne
🔄
87'
A. Hbouch ↔ M. Lecolier
Boulogne
🟨
90+4'
Adrien Pinot
Boulogne
🔄
90'
N. Binet ↔ S. Duflos
Boulogne

Sochaux vs Boulogne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sochaux Win 77.2%
Draw 6.1%
Boulogne Win 16.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sochaux0.99
Boulogne0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sochaux Sochaux
W D W D D
5 GF / 3 GA
Boulogne Boulogne
L L D D D
3 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
6
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
3
2.57
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sochaux Sochaux 13 matches
Boulogne Boulogne 15 matches
Sochaux Statistic Boulogne
5 Wins 2
5 Draws 7
3 Losses 6
11 Goals For 9
15 Goals Against 18
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 7
2.57 Shots On Goal 4
9.14 Total Shots 11.57
2.86 Corners 3.43
41.4% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sochaux expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Boulogne in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boulogne having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boulogne. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sochaux arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 10 points compared to Boulogne in 17 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Sochaux Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Sochaux have collected 10 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 4:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Baghdadi (1 goals), M. Clairicia (1 goals), B. Fofana (1 goals), with creative support from B. Youssouf (1 assists), S. Agouzoul (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Boulogne Analysis

With 5 points from 7 games and a place of 17, Boulogne still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats with a 3:5 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Hbouch (1 goals), N. Binet (1 goals), T. Epailly (1 goals), with creative support from B. Besic (1 assists), N. Fatar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sochaux won 1 times, Boulogne won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Sochaux's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Sochaux 4-2-3-1 / Boulogne 5-3-2
H2H summary: Sochaux wins 1, draws 1, Boulogne wins 0

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 23:8 15 25
W W W D L
2 10 6 3 1 13:6 7 21
W W W D W
3 10 6 1 3 12:8 4 19
W W W W L
4 10 4 6 0 20:12 8 18
D W D D W
5 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W W W W L
6 10 5 2 3 13:12 1 17
L L W W W
7 10 5 1 4 14:12 2 16
W L W L L
8 10 3 5 2 16:14 2 14
D W L D L
9 10 3 3 4 17:18 -1 12
L L W W W
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
D W L L W
11 10 3 2 5 13:15 -2 11
W L L L W
12 10 2 5 3 8:12 -4 11
L L D D W
13 10 1 7 2 7:7 0 10
D W D L D
14 10 3 1 6 16:22 -6 10
W L L L L
15 10 2 2 6 11:17 -6 8
L L D W L
16 10 2 2 6 9:17 -8 8
L L L D W
17 10 0 7 3 9:14 -5 7
L D L D D
18 10 1 3 6 13:21 -8 6
L D L D L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3