BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Yunost Stadium
Smorgon
Match Timeline
Volna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
J. Nsangou · Assist: E. Mychelkin
Smorgon
🟨
24'
A. Devyaten
Smorgon
🟨
35'
K. Elagin
Smorgon
🟨
41'
J. Nsangou
Smorgon
🟨
43'
J. Oreshkevich
Volna
🔄
58'
I. Sivkov ↔ P. Gorbach
Smorgon
61'
D. Matyash · Assist: V. Kibuk
Volna
🔄
63'
A. Devyaten ↔ V. Galko
Smorgon
🔄
63'
A. Starovoytov ↔ V. Kovalevich
Smorgon
🔄
67'
A. Susha ↔ D. Nizhnik
Volna
🔄
75'
A. Vlasov ↔ E. Nikoporenok
Volna
79'
E. Nikoporenok · Assist: D. Nizhnik
Volna
🔄
83'
D. Kovalev ↔ R. Kukhley
Smorgon
🔄
85'
D. Matyash ↔ A. Samuylik
Volna
90+3'
A. Samuylik
Volna
🟨
90+3'
A. Samuylik
Volna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Smorgon Win 26%
Draw 19.5%
Volna Win 54.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Smorgon1.37
Volna1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Smorgon Smorgon
WWDLW
22 GF / 26 GA
Volna Volna
WLDWL
24 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Smorgon Smorgon 17 matches
Volna Volna 16 matches
Smorgon Statistic Volna
5 Wins 7
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 6
22 Goals For 24
26 Goals Against 24
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Volna. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Volna having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Volna carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 17 points while Smorgon sit 16 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Volna look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Smorgon Analysis

Smorgon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 14:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Volna Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Volna have collected 17 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Smorgon won 8 times, Volna won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:20 from Smorgon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
H2H summary: Smorgon wins 8, draws 4, Volna wins 3
Last matches: Smorgon
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Volna
12.07.26
1.
Volna
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
4
L
27.06.26
1.
Volna
Bumprom
2
1
W
19.06.26
1.
Volna
Minsk II
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Volna
Osipovichy
2
1
W
06.06.26
1.
Volna
Lida
4
2
W
01.06.26
1.
Volna
Niva
1
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Slutsk
3
2
W
08.05.26
1.
Volna
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Volna
Ostrovets FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
1.
Volna
Slonim
1
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Volna
BATE II
1
1
D
11.04.26
1.
Volna
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
04.04.26
1.
Volna
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Volna
Neman
1
3
L
25.02.26
Fri
Volna
Baranovichi
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Volna
FC Slutsk
2
0
W
H2H: Smorgon vs Volna
05.07.26
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
12.11.22
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
2
0
W
23.07.22
H2H
Volna
Smorgon
1
3
W
22.08.20
H2H
Volna
Smorgon
2
3
W
25.04.20
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
2
0
W
24.11.19
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
2
L
20.07.19
H2H
Volna
Smorgon
2
4
W
29.09.18
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
0
0
D
02.06.18
H2H
Volna
Smorgon
2
2
D
11.11.17
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
1
D
19.07.17
H2H
Volna
Smorgon
4
0
L
08.11.14
H2H
Volna
Smorgon
1
1
D
05.07.14
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
3
1
W
12.10.13
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
0
W
16.06.13
H2H
Volna
Smorgon
1
2
W
Last matches: Smorgon
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
H2H at home: Smorgon
05.07.26
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
12.11.22
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
2
0
W
25.04.20
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
2
0
W
24.11.19
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
2
L
29.09.18
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
0
0
D
11.11.17
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
1
D
05.07.14
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
3
1
W
12.10.13
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
0
W
Last matches: Volna
19.06.26
1.
Volna
Minsk II
2
1
W
06.06.26
1.
Volna
Lida
4
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Volna
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Volna
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Volna
Neman
1
3
L
H2H away: Volna
05.07.26
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
W
12.11.22
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
2
0
L
25.04.20
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
2
0
L
24.11.19
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
2
W
29.09.18
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
0
0
D
11.11.17
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
1
D
05.07.14
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
3
1
L
12.10.13
H2H
Smorgon
Volna
1
0
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9
Volna Away
15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation