BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Yunost Stadium
Smorgon
Match Timeline
Shakhter Soligorsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
A. Kurbachev
Shakhter Soligorsk
🟨
26'
M. Dukso
Smorgon
🟥
31'
K. Yankovskiy
Shakhter Soligorsk
🔄
32'
N. Shaula ↔ N. Korshun
Shakhter Soligorsk
🟨
41'
I. Bogdanovich
Smorgon
🔄
46'
I. Sivkov ↔ D. Kovalev
Smorgon
49'
E. Mychelkin
Smorgon
55'
M. Dukso · Assist: V. Kovalevich
Smorgon
🟨
63'
A. Tishko
Smorgon
🟨
63'
A. Fazylov
Smorgon
🟨
63'
D. Shulyak
Shakhter Soligorsk
🔄
70'
A. Fazylov ↔ P. Gorbach
Smorgon
🔄
70'
J. Nsangou ↔ V. Galko
Smorgon
🔄
79'
V. Kovalevich ↔ A. Devyaten
Smorgon
🔄
79'
E. Mychelkin ↔ A. Starovoytov
Smorgon
🔄
82'
V. Syrisko ↔ A. Perepechko
Shakhter Soligorsk
🔄
82'
M. Kobenko ↔ A. Boldyrev
Shakhter Soligorsk
🔄
82'
A. Kurbachev ↔ A. Chakur
Shakhter Soligorsk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Smorgon Win 24.4%
Draw 5.4%
Shakhter Soligorsk Win 70.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Smorgon1.22
Shakhter Soligorsk2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Smorgon Smorgon
WWDLW
20 GF / 26 GA
Shakhter Soligorsk Shakhter Soligorsk
WLDWL
28 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
7
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Smorgon Smorgon 16 matches
Shakhter Soligorsk Shakhter Soligorsk 12 matches
Smorgon Statistic Shakhter Soligorsk
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
7 Losses 2
20 Goals For 28
26 Goals Against 14
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
7 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shakhter Soligorsk's more proactive style and Smorgon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shakhter Soligorsk. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Shakhter Soligorsk having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shakhter Soligorsk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 19 points while Smorgon sit 16 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Smorgon Analysis

Smorgon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 11 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 13:18, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Devyaten (3 goals), V. Kovalevich (3 goals), A. Fazylov (2 goals), with creative support from M. Dukso (3 assists), A. Devyaten (1 assists), V. Kovalevich (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shakhter Soligorsk Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Shakhter Soligorsk have collected 19 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 24:13 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Sen (7 goals), A. Kurbachev (3 goals), V. Ganich (3 goals), with creative support from A. Drozdovich (3 assists), I. Kozlov (2 assists), K. Yankovskiy (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Smorgon won 2 times, Shakhter Soligorsk won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:12 from Smorgon's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Smorgon wins 2, draws 2, Shakhter Soligorsk wins 3

Lineups

Smorgon
Formation
Shakhter Soligorsk
M. Azarko
M. Azarko
M. Autko
M. Autko
K. Elagin
K. Elagin
J. Nsangou
J. Nsangou
I. Sivkov
I. Sivkov
M. Dukso
M. Dukso
A. Tishko
A. Tishko
A. Fazylov
A. Fazylov
E. Mychelkin
E. Mychelkin
I. Bogdanovich
I. Bogdanovich
V. Kovalevich
🎯
V. Kovalevich
V. Yukhnovich
V. Yukhnovich
I. Sen
I. Sen
N. Shaula
N. Shaula
K. Novik
K. Novik
A. Kurbachev
A. Kurbachev
M. Kobenko
M. Kobenko
V. Syrisko
V. Syrisko
A. Drozdovich
A. Drozdovich
K. Yankovskiy
K. Yankovskiy
D. Shulyak
D. Shulyak
Y. Muzychenko
Y. Muzychenko
Smorgon 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Azarko
3
M. Autko
5
K. Elagin
7
J. Nsangou
↓ 70'
11
I. Sivkov
↓ 46'
17
M. Dukso
⚽ 55' 🟨 26'
27
A. Tishko
🟨 63'
33
A. Fazylov
↓ 70' 🟨 63'
52
E. Mychelkin
⚽ 49' ↓ 79'
77
I. Bogdanovich
🟨 41'
78
V. Kovalevich
🎯 55' ↓ 79'
Substitutes
19
A. Velesyuk
10
P. Gorbach
↑ 70'
22
V. Galko
↑ 70'
25
D. Kovalev
↑ 46'
47
R. Kukhley
59
A. Devyaten
↑ 79'
99
A. Starovoytov
↑ 79'
Shakhter Soligorsk 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
V. Yukhnovich
7
I. Sen
11
N. Shaula
↓ 32'
12
K. Novik
13
A. Kurbachev
↓ 82' 🟨 10'
17
M. Kobenko
↓ 82'
21
V. Syrisko
↓ 82'
77
A. Drozdovich
80
K. Yankovskiy
🟥 31'
88
D. Shulyak
🟨 63'
97
Y. Muzychenko
Substitutes
1
N. Tsuba
2
A. Perepechko
↑ 82'
4
N. Korshun
↑ 32'
8
A. Boldyrev
↑ 82'
14
A. Bystrov
22
A. Chakur
↑ 82'
70
V. Dubrovskiy
Last matches: Smorgon
01.08.26
1.
Smorgon
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
25.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Gomel II
2
0
W
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Shakhter Soligorsk
31.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Orsha
1
3
L
25.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
FC Slutsk
2
2
D
12.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Volna
4
2
W
04.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Dinamo Minsk II
1
2
L
20.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Ostrovets FC
4
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Bumprom
2
6
L
07.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Slonim
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Minsk II
3
2
W
22.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
BATE II
1
1
D
15.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Osipovichy
6
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Uni Minsk
3
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Lida
1
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
5
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Niva
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Gomel II
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
0
D
H2H: Smorgon vs Shakhter Soligorsk
27.06.26
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
26.05.24
H2H
Shakhter Soligorsk
Smorgon
2
2
D
06.10.23
H2H
Shakhter Soligorsk
Smorgon
2
0
L
21.05.23
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
3
L
15.08.21
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.21
H2H
Shakhter Soligorsk
Smorgon
3
0
L
Last matches: Smorgon
25.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Gomel II
2
0
W
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
H2H at home: Smorgon
27.06.26
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
21.05.23
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
3
L
15.08.21
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
Last matches: Shakhter Soligorsk
31.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Orsha
1
3
L
12.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Volna
4
2
W
13.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Bumprom
2
6
L
31.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Minsk II
3
2
W
15.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Osipovichy
6
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Niva
2
2
D
04.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
0
D
H2H away: Shakhter Soligorsk
27.06.26
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
L
21.05.23
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
3
W
15.08.21
H2H
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L