BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Yunost Stadium
Smorgon
Match Timeline
Minsk II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
1'
R. Sitnikov ↔ K. Malitskiy
Minsk II
🟨
4'
E. Egorov
Minsk II
34'
V. Kovalevich · Assist: A. Fazylov
Smorgon
🔄
40'
A. Stankevich ↔ A. Starovoytov
Smorgon
🔄
46'
E. Mychelkin ↔ D. Kovalev
Smorgon
🔄
46'
E. Egorov ↔ I. Bondarenko
Minsk II
🔄
46'
↔ D. Denisenko
Minsk II
🟨
49'
Z. Drachev
Minsk II
🔄
54'
J. Nsangou ↔ A. Devyaten
Smorgon
🟨
64'
A. Tumanov
Minsk II
🔄
67'
Z. Drachev ↔ V. Malyutin
Minsk II
🔄
76'
M. Dukso ↔ P. Gorbach
Smorgon
🔄
76'
↔ A. Snetkov
Smorgon
🔄
89'
G. Bulatskiy ↔ R. Safi
Minsk II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Smorgon Win 14.4%
Draw 16.3%
Minsk II Win 69.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Smorgon1.69
Minsk II1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Smorgon Smorgon
WWDLW
18 GF / 24 GA
Minsk II Minsk II
WLDWL
10 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
2.3
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Smorgon Smorgon 14 matches
Minsk II Minsk II 10 matches
Smorgon Statistic Minsk II
3 Wins 3
5 Draws 1
6 Losses 6
18 Goals For 10
24 Goals Against 23
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 2.3
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Minsk II. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Minsk II having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Smorgon Analysis

Smorgon sit 17 with 7 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:18 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on A. Devyaten (3 goals), A. Fazylov (2 goals), V. Kovalevich (2 goals), with creative support from M. Dukso (4 assists), V. Kovalevich (1 assists), A. Starovoytov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Minsk II Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 14, Minsk II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:23 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on A. Lutskovich (6 goals), K. Kaplenko (4 goals), A. Voskoboynikov (3 goals), with creative support from S. Zhivushko (5 assists), G. Drozd (4 assists), A. Lutskovich (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Smorgon won 4 times, Minsk II won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Smorgon's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.6%)
H2H summary: Smorgon wins 4, draws 0, Minsk II wins 1

Lineups

Smorgon
Formation
Minsk II
M. Azarko
M. Azarko
V. Kovalevich
V. Kovalevich
I. Bogdanovich
I. Bogdanovich
E. Mychelkin
E. Mychelkin
A. Fazylov
🎯
A. Fazylov
A. Tishko
A. Tishko
A. Stankevich
A. Stankevich
M. Dukso
M. Dukso
J. Nsangou
J. Nsangou
K. Elagin
K. Elagin
M. Autko
M. Autko
S. Eshchenko
S. Eshchenko
A. Tumanov
A. Tumanov
E. Kindruk
E. Kindruk
I. Volchok
I. Volchok
Z. Drachev
Z. Drachev
S. Matusevich
S. Matusevich
G. Bulatskiy
G. Bulatskiy
E. Egorov
E. Egorov
V. Zholudov
V. Zholudov
P. Sheremet
P. Sheremet
R. Sitnikov
R. Sitnikov
Smorgon 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Azarko
78
V. Kovalevich
⚽ 34'
77
I. Bogdanovich
52
E. Mychelkin
↓ 46'
33
A. Fazylov
🎯 34'
27
A. Tishko
23
A. Stankevich
↓ 40'
17
M. Dukso
↓ 76'
7
J. Nsangou
↓ 54'
5
K. Elagin
3
M. Autko
Substitutes
19
A. Velesyuk
10
P. Gorbach
↑ 76'
11
I. Sivkov
20
A. Snetkov
↑ 76'
22
V. Galko
25
D. Kovalev
↑ 46'
59
A. Devyaten
↑ 54'
99
A. Starovoytov
↑ 40'
Minsk II 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Eshchenko
18
A. Tumanov
🟨 64'
17
E. Kindruk
11
I. Volchok
10
Z. Drachev
↓ 67' 🟨 49'
8
S. Matusevich
7
G. Bulatskiy
↓ 89'
6
E. Egorov
↓ 46' 🟨 4'
5
V. Zholudov
4
P. Sheremet
2
R. Sitnikov
↓ 1'
Substitutes
16
M. Gerashchenko
3
K. Malitskiy
↑ 1'
9
I. Bondarenko
↑ 46'
12
V. Malyutin
↑ 67'
13
D. Denisenko
↑ 46'
15
N. Vasilevskiy
19
R. Safi
↑ 89'
20
N. Bulyga
21
A. Kazakov
22
I. Porshnev
Last matches: Smorgon
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Minsk II
11.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
3
2
W
03.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Gomel II
0
3
L
28.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Orsha
4
0
W
19.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Volna
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Bumprom
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Lida
2
1
W
10.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Niva
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
6
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
0
4
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
L
H2H: Smorgon vs Minsk II
14.06.26
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
13.09.14
H2H
Minsk II
Smorgon
1
3
W
11.05.14
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
2
1
W
16.11.13
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
2
1
W
20.07.13
H2H
Minsk II
Smorgon
1
0
L
Last matches: Smorgon
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
H2H at home: Smorgon
14.06.26
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
11.05.14
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
2
1
W
16.11.13
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
2
1
W
Last matches: Minsk II
11.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
3
2
W
28.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Orsha
4
0
W
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Niva
1
3
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Minsk II
14.06.26
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
L
11.05.14
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
2
1
L
16.11.13
H2H
Smorgon
Minsk II
2
1
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9 15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation