BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Yunost Stadium
Smorgon
Match Timeline
Gomel II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
B. Fartuna
Smorgon
🟨
45+1'
A. Rakhmatov
Gomel II
🔄
46'
D. Zhabrakov ↔ M. Yablonskiy
Smorgon
🔄
46'
A. Stankevich ↔ V. Kovalevich
Smorgon
48'
M. Yablonskiy · Assist: M. Dukso
Smorgon
🔄
62'
I. Kovalev ↔ M. Kabysh
Gomel II
🔄
66'
B. Fartuna ↔ J. Nsangou
Smorgon
🔄
66'
V. Kabachevskiy ↔ E. Mychelkin
Smorgon
🔄
78'
S. Krivorot ↔ D. Gegechkori
Gomel II
🔄
78'
P. Sergutko ↔ D. Grishkov
Gomel II
🔄
85'
Y. Yarotskiy ↔ G. Malashenko
Smorgon
🔄
85'
R. Shapovalov ↔ E. Yudenko
Gomel II
87'
J. Nsangou
Smorgon
🟨
88'
I. Bogdanovich
Smorgon
🟨
89'
M. Dukso
Smorgon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Smorgon Win 38.8%
Draw 20.7%
Gomel II Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Smorgon1.32
Gomel II1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Smorgon Smorgon
WWDLW
24 GF / 30 GA
Gomel II Gomel II
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
9
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Smorgon Smorgon 19 matches
Gomel II Gomel II 15 matches
Smorgon Statistic Gomel II
5 Wins 4
6 Draws 5
8 Losses 6
24 Goals For 23
30 Goals Against 21
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
9 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Gomel II's more proactive style and Smorgon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gomel II having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gomel II.

Smorgon Analysis

Smorgon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 18:24 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II sit 11 with 17 points after 15 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 23:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Smorgon won 1 times, Gomel II won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Smorgon's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
H2H summary: Smorgon wins 1, draws 0, Gomel II wins 0

Lineups

Smorgon
Formation
Gomel II
Y. Yarotskiy
Y. Yarotskiy
I. Bogdanovich
I. Bogdanovich
M. Dukso
🎯
M. Dukso
D. Perov
D. Perov
C. Intsoen
C. Intsoen
M. Autko
M. Autko
A. Stankevich
A. Stankevich
K. Elagin
K. Elagin
D. Zhabrakov
D. Zhabrakov
B. Fartuna
B. Fartuna
V. Kabachevskiy
V. Kabachevskiy
V. Voropaev
V. Voropaev
A. Bondarchuk
A. Bondarchuk
K. Lipnitskiy
K. Lipnitskiy
M. Drozdov
M. Drozdov
P. Sergutko
P. Sergutko
N. Starostenko
N. Starostenko
I. Kovalev
I. Kovalev
A. Rakhmatov
A. Rakhmatov
S. Krivorot
S. Krivorot
R. Shapovalov
R. Shapovalov
N. Mayorov
N. Mayorov
Smorgon 2-1-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
Y. Yarotskiy
↓ 85'
M
77
I. Bogdanovich
🟨 88'
D
17
M. Dukso
🎯 48' 🟨 89'
F
16
D. Perov
2
C. Intsoen
D
3
M. Autko
23
A. Stankevich
↓ 46'
F
5
K. Elagin
20
D. Zhabrakov
↓ 46'
30
B. Fartuna
↓ 66' 🟨 45+1'
59
V. Kabachevskiy
↓ 66'
Substitutes
19
A. Velesyuk
G
7
J. Nsangou
⚽ 87' ↑ 66'
9
M. Yablonskiy
⚽ 48' ↑ 46'
11
I. Sivkov
22
V. Galko
27
A. Tishko
D
47
R. Kukhley
52
E. Mychelkin
↑ 66'
M
78
V. Kovalevich
↑ 46'
M
99
G. Malashenko
↑ 85'
Gomel II 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
88
V. Voropaev
2
A. Bondarchuk
3
K. Lipnitskiy
7
M. Drozdov
8
P. Sergutko
↓ 78'
9
N. Starostenko
10
I. Kovalev
↓ 62'
15
A. Rakhmatov
🟨 45+1'
17
S. Krivorot
↓ 78'
20
R. Shapovalov
↓ 85'
77
N. Mayorov
Substitutes
87
V. Ivanenko
14
M. Kabysh
↑ 62'
21
D. Gegechkori
↑ 78'
27
E. Tishkov
30
E. Yudenko
↑ 85'
33
V. Nanaev
72
D. Grishkov
↑ 78'
Last matches: Smorgon
01.08.26
1.
Smorgon
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Gomel II
02.08.26
1.
Gomel II
Volna
1
4
L
12.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Bumprom
1
1
D
03.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Minsk II
3
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Osipovichy
5
2
W
19.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Lida
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Niva
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
27.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Dinamo Minsk II
2
2
D
15.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Slonim
1
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Gomel II
BATE II
3
4
L
24.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Uni Minsk
2
0
W
20.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
0
D
06.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Orsha
0
1
L
H2H: Smorgon vs Gomel II
25.07.26
H2H
Smorgon
Gomel II
2
0
W
Last matches: Smorgon
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
H2H at home: Smorgon
25.07.26
H2H
Smorgon
Gomel II
2
0
W
Last matches: Gomel II
03.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Minsk II
3
0
W
19.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
27.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Dinamo Minsk II
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Slonim
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Uni Minsk
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
0
D
H2H away: Gomel II
25.07.26
H2H
Smorgon
Gomel II
2
0
L

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L