CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty
Referee: K. Roucek
Slovácko
Match Timeline
Baník Ostrava
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Andrej Stojchevski
Slovácko
🔄
46'
M. Rusnak ↔ V. Jurecka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
46'
D. Holzer ↔ V. Sinyavskiy
Baník Ostrava
🟨
47'
Gigli Ndefe
Slovácko
54'
M. Travnik · Assist: T. Kostadinov
Slovácko
56'
A. Ouanda · Assist: G. Ndefe
Slovácko
🟨
63'
Srđan Plavšić
Baník Ostrava
🟨
65'
Václav Jurečka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
67'
S. Plavsic ↔ D. Planka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
67'
A. Gning ↔ J. Pira
Baník Ostrava
🔄
73'
G. Ndefe ↔ M. Koscelnik
Slovácko
🔄
73'
J. Suchan ↔ P. Juroska
Slovácko
🔄
73'
T. Kostadinov ↔ R. Horak
Slovácko
🔄
77'
A. Musak ↔ D. Owusu
Baník Ostrava
79'
D. Planka · Assist: V. Jurecka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
82'
T. Huk ↔ M. Rundic
Slovácko
🟨
90'
Pavel Juroška
Slovácko
🟨
90+3'
Matěj Chaluš
Baník Ostrava
🔄
90+1'
A. Ouanda ↔ M. Krmencik
Slovácko

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Slovácko Win 47.8%
Draw 26.1%
Baník Ostrava Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slovácko1.14
Baník Ostrava1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slovácko Slovácko
WWDLW
28 GF / 46 GA
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WLDWL
34 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
14
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
12
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slovácko Slovácko 32 matches
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 38 matches
Slovácko Statistic Baník Ostrava
6 Wins 6
9 Draws 10
17 Losses 22
28 Goals For 34
46 Goals Against 58
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
14 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 6
13 Failed To Score 19
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.74
12.09 Total Shots 12.05
4.31 Corners 4.89
50.4% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slovácko expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Baník Ostrava in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baník Ostrava having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Baník Ostrava.

Slovácko Analysis

Slovácko sit 15 with 23 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats with a 26:45 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Ouanda (3 goals), Daniel Tetour (3 goals), J. Suchan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Havlik (4 assists), Gigli Ndefe (2 assists), A. Ouanda (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

With 22 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Baník Ostrava still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 25:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from David Planka (4 assists), V. Jurecka (3 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slovácko won 7 times, Baník Ostrava won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Slovácko's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.9%)
Predicted formations: Slovácko 3-4-1-2 / Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Slovácko wins 7, draws 3, Baník Ostrava wins 5

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation