CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty
Referee: K. Roucek
Slovácko
Match Timeline
Baník Ostrava
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Andrej Stojchevski
Slovácko
🔄
46'
M. Rusnak ↔ V. Jurecka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
46'
D. Holzer ↔ V. Sinyavskiy
Baník Ostrava
🟨
47'
Gigli Ndefe
Slovácko
54'
M. Travnik · Assist: T. Kostadinov
Slovácko
56'
A. Ouanda · Assist: G. Ndefe
Slovácko
🟨
63'
Srđan Plavšić
Baník Ostrava
🟨
65'
Václav Jurečka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
67'
S. Plavsic ↔ D. Planka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
67'
A. Gning ↔ J. Pira
Baník Ostrava
🔄
73'
G. Ndefe ↔ M. Koscelnik
Slovácko
🔄
73'
J. Suchan ↔ P. Juroska
Slovácko
🔄
73'
T. Kostadinov ↔ R. Horak
Slovácko
🔄
77'
A. Musak ↔ D. Owusu
Baník Ostrava
79'
D. Planka · Assist: V. Jurecka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
82'
T. Huk ↔ M. Rundic
Slovácko
🟨
90'
Pavel Juroška
Slovácko
🟨
90+3'
Matěj Chaluš
Baník Ostrava
🔄
90+1'
A. Ouanda ↔ M. Krmencik
Slovácko

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Slovácko Win 47.8%
Draw 26.1%
Baník Ostrava Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slovácko1.14
Baník Ostrava1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slovácko Slovácko
WWDLW
28 GF / 46 GA
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WLDWL
34 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
14
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
12
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slovácko Slovácko 32 matches
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 38 matches
Slovácko Statistic Baník Ostrava
6 Wins 6
9 Draws 10
17 Losses 22
28 Goals For 34
46 Goals Against 58
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
14 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 6
13 Failed To Score 19
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.74
12.09 Total Shots 12.05
4.31 Corners 4.89
50.4% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slovácko expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Baník Ostrava in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baník Ostrava having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Baník Ostrava.

Slovácko Analysis

Slovácko sit 15 with 23 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats with a 26:45 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Ouanda (3 goals), Daniel Tetour (3 goals), J. Suchan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Havlik (4 assists), Gigli Ndefe (2 assists), A. Ouanda (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

With 22 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Baník Ostrava still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 25:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from David Planka (4 assists), V. Jurecka (3 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slovácko won 7 times, Baník Ostrava won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Slovácko's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.9%)
Predicted formations: Slovácko 3-4-1-2 / Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Slovácko wins 7, draws 3, Baník Ostrava wins 5
Stats
Slovácko Slovácko
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 3
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
425 Total passes 304
323 Passes accurate 200
0.48 expected_goals 0.43
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Slovácko
Formation
Baník Ostrava
M. Heca
M. Heca
T. Huk
T. Huk
V. Danicek
V. Danicek
A. Stojcevski
A. Stojcevski
G. Ndefe
🎯
G. Ndefe
M. Travnik
M. Travnik
T. Kostadinov
🎯
T. Kostadinov
P. Blahut
P. Blahut
A. Ouanda
A. Ouanda
J. Suchan
J. Suchan
M. Havlik
M. Havlik
M. Jedlicka
M. Jedlicka
M. Frydrych
M. Frydrych
M. Chalus
M. Chalus
K. Pojezny
K. Pojezny
A. Bewene
A. Bewene
J. Boula
J. Boula
A. Musak
A. Musak
D. Holzer
D. Holzer
M. Rusnak
M. Rusnak
S. Plavsic
S. Plavsic
A. Gning
A. Gning
Slovácko 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
29
M. Heca
G
22
T. Huk
↓ 82'
D
28
V. Danicek
D
4
A. Stojcevski
2
G. Ndefe
🎯 56' ↓ 73' 🟨 47'
M
10
M. Travnik
⚽ 54'
M
26
T. Kostadinov
🎯 54' ↓ 73'
M
15
P. Blahut
M
27
A. Ouanda
⚽ 56' ↓ 90+1'
F
17
J. Suchan
↓ 73'
F
20
M. Havlik
F
Substitutes
33
A. Urban
G
21
M. Krmencik
↑ 90+1'
F
18
J. Mulder
D
16
A. Fiala
M
3
M. Rundic
↑ 82'
D
7
M. Koscelnik
↑ 73'
D
6
M. Svidersky
M
9
A. Marinelli
F
24
P. Juroska
↑ 73' 🟨 90'
M
72
R. Horak
↑ 73'
M
25
P. Ndubuisi
M
Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
M. Jedlicka
G
17
M. Frydrych
D
37
M. Chalus
🟨 90+3'
D
6
K. Pojezny
D
34
A. Bewene
M
5
J. Boula
M
55
A. Musak
↓ 77'
M
95
D. Holzer
↓ 46'
M
66
M. Rusnak
↓ 46'
F
10
S. Plavsic
↓ 67' 🟨 63'
F
12
A. Gning
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Budinsky
G
15
V. Jurecka
🎯 79' ↑ 46' 🟨 65'
F
77
L. Almasi
F
9
D. Buchta
M
25
D. Owusu
↑ 77'
M
99
V. Sinyavskiy
↑ 46'
D
20
P. Ortiz
D
18
D. Planka
⚽ 79' ↑ 67'
M
19
F. Sancl
M
29
J. Pira
↑ 67'
F
2
M. Havran
M
Last matches: Slovácko
18.07.26
Fri
Slovácko
Skalica
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Slovácko
Zalaegerszegi TE
3
3
D
08.07.26
Fri
Slovácko
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Slovácko
Spartak Trnava
1
1
D
24.06.26
Fri
Slovácko
Vysočina Jihlava
1
2
L
31.05.26
Cze
Slovácko
Artis
3
0
W
27.05.26
Cze
Slovácko
Artis
4
1
W
23.05.26
Cze
Slovácko
Zlin
0
1
L
16.05.26
Cze
Slovácko
Mlada Boleslav
0
3
L
09.05.26
Cze
Slovácko
Dukla Praha
1
0
W
03.05.26
Cze
Slovácko
Teplice
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cze
Slovácko
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
19.04.26
Cze
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Slovácko
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
04.04.26
Cze
Slovácko
Slovan Liberec
1
2
L
15.03.26
Cze
Slovácko
Sparta Praha
2
5
L
07.03.26
Cze
Slovácko
Mlada Boleslav
2
2
D
01.03.26
Cze
Slovácko
Karviná
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cze
Slovácko
Pardubice
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cze
Slovácko
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
18.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
AS Trencin
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Miedz Legnica
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Hanácká
3
1
W
30.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
5
0
W
26.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
3
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
W
09.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
1
4
L
05.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Odra Opole
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
28.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
2
5
L
H2H: Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava
12.05.26
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
1
W
01.02.26
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
2
0
L
14.12.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
3
1
L
18.08.24
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
1
0
W
26.05.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
6
0
L
26.11.23
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
0
W
29.07.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
0
0
D
08.04.23
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
0
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
3
1
L
30.04.22
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
3
1
W
12.03.22
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
16.10.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
1
2
W
21.03.21
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
1
W
20.01.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
1
2
W
Last matches: Slovácko
18.07.26
Fri
Slovácko
Skalica
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Slovácko
Zalaegerszegi TE
3
3
D
08.07.26
Fri
Slovácko
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Slovácko
Spartak Trnava
1
1
D
24.06.26
Fri
Slovácko
Vysočina Jihlava
1
2
L
31.05.26
Cze
Slovácko
Artis
3
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Slovácko
Mlada Boleslav
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cze
Slovácko
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Slovácko
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
07.03.26
Cze
Slovácko
Mlada Boleslav
2
2
D
21.02.26
Cze
Slovácko
Pardubice
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cze
Slovácko
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
01.02.26
Cze
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
23.01.26
Fri
Slovácko
Sileks
2
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
Slovácko
Skalica
1
2
L
06.12.25
Cze
Slovácko
Plzen
3
0
W
23.11.25
Cze
Slovácko
Zlin
2
0
W
01.11.25
Cze
Slovácko
Slovan Liberec
0
3
L
19.10.25
Cze
Slovácko
Sparta Praha
0
0
D
27.09.25
Cze
Slovácko
Karviná
1
2
L
H2H at home: Slovácko
12.05.26
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
1
W
01.02.26
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
18.08.24
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
1
0
W
26.11.23
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
0
W
08.04.23
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
0
1
L
30.04.22
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
3
1
W
12.03.22
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
21.03.21
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
1
W
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
18.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
AS Trencin
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Miedz Legnica
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
30.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
5
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
0
W
09.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
1
4
L
14.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
28.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
2
5
L
15.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovan Liberec
0
1
L
01.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
2
2
D
22.01.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Widzew Łódź
2
3
L
18.01.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Aktobe
3
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Prishtina
2
3
L
14.01.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Javor
2
0
W
07.12.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Karviná
0
0
D
22.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
0
1
L
01.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
H2H away: Baník Ostrava
12.05.26
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
1
L
01.02.26
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
18.08.24
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
1
0
L
26.11.23
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
0
L
08.04.23
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
0
1
W
30.04.22
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
3
1
L
12.03.22
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
21.03.21
H2H
Slovácko
Baník Ostrava
2
1
L

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3 30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12 30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round