BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Yunost Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.8%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Slonim Win 54.8%
Draw 11.4%
Minsk II Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slonim1.84
Minsk II1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slonim Slonim
WWDLW
31 GF / 20 GA
Minsk II Minsk II
WLDWL
21 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
9
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slonim Slonim 17 matches
Minsk II Minsk II 17 matches
Slonim Statistic Minsk II
9 Wins 7
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 9
31 Goals For 21
20 Goals Against 32
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
9 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Slonim's more proactive style and Minsk II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Minsk II having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Minsk II. Slonim arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 30 points compared to Minsk II in 11 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Slonim Analysis

Slonim come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 30 points from 16 matches. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 31:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Minsk II Analysis

So far, Minsk II have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, while the 20:32 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Slonim won 4 times, Minsk II won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Slonim's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
H2H summary: Slonim wins 4, draws 1, Minsk II wins 4
Last matches: Slonim
01.08.26
1.
Slonim
Osipovichy
0
2
L
26.07.26
1.
Slonim
Lida
3
1
W
10.07.26
1.
Slonim
Niva
2
2
D
04.07.26
1.
Slonim
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
3
4
L
27.06.26
1.
Slonim
FC Slutsk
2
1
W
19.06.26
1.
Slonim
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
13.06.26
1.
Slonim
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
07.06.26
1.
Slonim
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
1
L
01.06.26
1.
Slonim
BATE II
5
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Slonim
Uni Minsk
3
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Slonim
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Slonim
Gomel II
3
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Slonim
Orsha
2
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Slonim
Volna
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Slonim
Smorgon
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Slonim
Bumprom
0
0
D
06.04.26
1.
Slonim
Minsk II
2
0
W
Last matches: Minsk II
02.08.26
1.
Minsk II
BATE II
1
0
W
26.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Uni Minsk
2
1
W
11.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
3
2
W
03.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Gomel II
0
3
L
28.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Orsha
4
0
W
19.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Volna
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Smorgon
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Bumprom
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Lida
2
1
W
10.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Niva
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
6
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
0
4
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
L
H2H: Slonim vs Minsk II
06.04.26
H2H
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
W
30.08.25
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
1
2
L
26.04.25
H2H
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
W
30.08.14
H2H
Minsk II
Slonim
2
0
L
04.05.14
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
0
3
L
15.09.13
H2H
Minsk II
Slonim
1
2
W
18.05.13
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
2
1
W
10.08.12
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
1
1
D
28.04.12
H2H
Minsk II
Slonim
3
1
L
Last matches: Slonim
01.08.26
1.
Slonim
Osipovichy
0
2
L
10.07.26
1.
Slonim
Niva
2
2
D
27.06.26
1.
Slonim
FC Slutsk
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Slonim
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Slonim
Uni Minsk
3
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Slonim
Gomel II
3
1
W
H2H at home: Slonim
30.08.25
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
1
2
L
04.05.14
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
0
3
L
18.05.13
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
2
1
W
10.08.12
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
1
1
D
Last matches: Minsk II
02.08.26
1.
Minsk II
BATE II
1
0
W
11.07.26
1.
Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
3
2
W
28.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Orsha
4
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Smorgon
0
1
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Niva
1
3
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Minsk II
30.08.25
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
1
2
W
04.05.14
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
0
3
W
18.05.13
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
2
1
L
10.08.12
H2H
Slonim
Minsk II
1
1
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L