IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
19.09.2026 18:45
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Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.3%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.9%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sligo Rovers Win 20.6%
Draw 9.2%
St Patrick's Athl. Win 70.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sligo Rovers0.95
St Patrick's Athl.1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WWDLW
36 GF / 56 GA
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
53 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.51
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
16
BTTS Yes
14
18
Over 2.5
12
2.5
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 37 matches
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 33 matches
Sligo Rovers Statistic St Patrick's Athl.
9 Wins 16
8 Draws 9
20 Losses 8
36 Goals For 53
56 Goals Against 30
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.51 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
16 BTTS Yes 14
26 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 10
2.5 Shots On Goal 5.2
9.07 Total Shots 15.83
3.6 Corners 5.43
45.5% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. St Patrick's Athl. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 53 points while Sligo Rovers sit 10 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Sligo Rovers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sligo Rovers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St Patrick's Athl. in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St Patrick's Athl. having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St Patrick's Athl..

Sligo Rovers Analysis

With 23 points from 30 games and a place of 10, Sligo Rovers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 23:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on W. Fitzgerald (3 goals), C. Kavanagh (3 goals), A. Meekison (2 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (5 assists), A. Meekison (3 assists), C. Kavanagh (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 53 points after 30 matches. The return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 47:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Keena (4 goals), Kian Leavy (4 goals), R. Edmondson (4 goals), with creative support from Z. Elbouzedi (4 assists), L. Turner (3 assists), A. Keena (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers won 4 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:27 from Sligo Rovers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Sligo Rovers 4-2-3-1 / St Patrick's Athl. 3-5-2
H2H summary: Sligo Rovers wins 4, draws 1, St Patrick's Athl. wins 10

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 8 6 46:29 17 56
L D D W D
2 30 15 8 7 47:25 22 53
W L W W D
3 30 15 8 7 53:36 17 53
W W W L D
4 30 10 11 9 47:46 1 41
D W L L D
5 30 8 13 9 42:40 2 37
W D L W D
6 29 8 12 9 37:40 -3 36
L D D L L
7 29 8 10 11 38:45 -7 34
L D W D D
8 30 7 12 11 40:49 -9 33
D W D W W
9 30 7 10 13 35:48 -13 31
W L L D D
10 30 5 8 17 23:50 -27 23
L L D L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation