IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Showgrounds
Referee: R. Hennessey
Sligo Rovers
Match Timeline
Shelbourne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
M. Traore · Assist: C. McHugh
Sligo Rovers
🟨
38'
Daniel Kelly
Shelbourne
56'
D. Patton · Assist: S. Stewart
Sligo Rovers
🔄
62'
E. Chapman ↔ J. Henry-Francis
Shelbourne
🔄
62'
Z. Ibsen Rossi ↔ O. Casey
Shelbourne
🔄
69'
M. Traore ↔ C. Kavanagh
Sligo Rovers
🔄
69'
S. Stewart ↔ O. Denham
Sligo Rovers
🔄
75'
M. Mbeng ↔ S. Moore
Shelbourne
🔄
75'
D. Kelly ↔ W. Jarvis
Shelbourne
🔄
79'
J. McManus ↔ K. Zefi
Sligo Rovers
81'
A. Coote · Assist: J. Henry-Francis
Shelbourne
🔄
82'
A. Coote ↔ J. Wuna
Shelbourne
🟨
83'
Evan Caffrey
Shelbourne
🔄
83'
R. O'Kane ↔ A. Meekison
Sligo Rovers
90'
P. Barrett
Shelbourne

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sligo Rovers Win 31.2%
Draw 17.4%
Shelbourne Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sligo Rovers1.15
Shelbourne1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WWDLW
27 GF / 37 GA
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WLDWL
42 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
10
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
18
2.52
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 27 matches
Shelbourne Shelbourne 26 matches
Sligo Rovers Statistic Shelbourne
9 Wins 10
4 Draws 10
14 Losses 6
27 Goals For 42
37 Goals Against 36
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
10 BTTS Yes 19
17 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 4
2.52 Shots On Goal 3.86
9.52 Total Shots 12.82
3.71 Corners 4.86
45.4% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Shelbourne's more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shelbourne. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sligo Rovers expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Shelbourne in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shelbourne having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sligo Rovers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

Sligo Rovers sit 9 with 19 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 15:33 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on W. Fitzgerald (4 goals), A. Nolan (2 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (3 assists), J. Redmond (2 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 30 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 31:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Wood (9 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (4 goals), with creative support from H. Wood (5 assists), M. Lundgren (3 assists), J. Martin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers won 2 times, Shelbourne won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Sligo Rovers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
Predicted formations: Sligo Rovers 4-1-4-1 / Shelbourne 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sligo Rovers wins 2, draws 4, Shelbourne wins 9
Stats
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne Shelbourne
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
9
3 Corner Kicks 14
9 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 0
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 9
5 Shots insidebox 12
2 Shots outsidebox 10
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
357 Total passes 507
290 Passes accurate 430
1.81 expected_goals 1.12
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sligo Rovers
Formation
Shelbourne
S. Sargeant
S. Sargeant
J. Esua
J. Esua
G. McElroy
G. McElroy
S. McHale
S. McHale
S. Stewart
🎯
S. Stewart
J. McManus
J. McManus
C. McHugh
🎯
C. McHugh
R. O'Kane
R. O'Kane
D. Patton
D. Patton
W. Fitzgerald
W. Fitzgerald
M. Traore
M. Traore
W. Speel
W. Speel
M. Mbeng
M. Mbeng
Z. Ibsen Rossi
Z. Ibsen Rossi
P. Barrett
P. Barrett
K. Ledwidge
K. Ledwidge
E. Caffrey
E. Caffrey
E. Chapman
E. Chapman
H. Wood
H. Wood
A. Coote
A. Coote
D. Kelly
D. Kelly
R. Freitas
R. Freitas
Sligo Rovers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
29
S. Sargeant
G
33
J. Esua
D
52
G. McElroy
D
17
S. McHale
D
3
S. Stewart
🎯 56' ↓ 69'
D
14
J. McManus
↓ 79'
M
16
C. McHugh
🎯 27'
M
28
R. O'Kane
↓ 83'
M
71
D. Patton
⚽ 56'
M
7
W. Fitzgerald
M
24
M. Traore
⚽ 27' ↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Hughes
G
4
S. Quirk
M
77
K. Zefi
↑ 79'
F
11
C. Kavanagh
↑ 69'
F
61
C. Cannon
15
O. Denham
↑ 69'
D
10
A. Meekison
↑ 83'
F
19
A. Nolan
M
23
K. McDonagh
Shelbourne 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
W. Speel
G
25
M. Mbeng
↓ 75'
D
24
Z. Ibsen Rossi
↓ 62'
D
29
P. Barrett
⚽ 90'
D
4
K. Ledwidge
D
27
E. Caffrey
🟨 83'
M
5
E. Chapman
↓ 62'
M
7
H. Wood
M
14
A. Coote
⚽ 81' ↓ 82'
M
17
D. Kelly
↓ 75' 🟨 38'
M
20
R. Freitas
F
Substitutes
73
F. Moylan
G
18
J. Norris
D
22
S. Moore
↑ 75'
D
55
J. Roche
D
2
S. Gannon
D
21
J. Henry-Francis
🎯 81' ↑ 62'
M
36
W. Jarvis
↑ 75'
F
16
O. Casey
↑ 62'
D
56
J. Wuna
↑ 82'
F
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
14.07.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
1
3
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
4
L
08.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
2
1
W
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
H2H: Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
27.06.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
08.05.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
21.03.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
17.10.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
3
1
L
02.08.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
2
L
23.05.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
3
2
L
28.03.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
27.09.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
10.08.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
1
W
31.05.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
2
W
01.03.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
26.08.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
09.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
13.05.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
3
L
10.04.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
1
L
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
14.07.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
1
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
0
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
6
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
UCD
3
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sligo Rovers
27.06.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
21.03.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
02.08.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
2
L
28.03.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
10.08.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
1
W
01.03.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
26.08.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
3
L
Last matches: Shelbourne
19.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
2
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
1
1
D
30.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Bray Wanderers
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
18.12.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Celje
0
0
D
27.11.25
UEF
Shelbourne
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
L
23.10.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Shkendija
0
1
L
28.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Linfield
2
0
W
06.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
30.07.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Qarabag
0
1
L
16.07.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Linfield
1
1
D
H2H away: Shelbourne
27.06.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
21.03.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
W
02.08.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
2
W
28.03.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
W
10.08.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
1
L
01.03.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
W
26.08.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
W
13.05.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
3
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1