IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
03.07.2026 18:45
Showgrounds
Referee: P. McLaughlin
Sligo Rovers
Match Timeline
Shamrock Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
W. Fitzgerald · Assist: A. Meekison
Sligo Rovers
🟨
20'
C. McHugh
Sligo Rovers
🟨
44'
S. Stewart
Sligo Rovers
🔄
46'
C. Malley ↔ J. Byrne
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
A. Greene ↔ G. Burke
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
E. Stevens ↔ C. O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
J. McGovern ↔ M. Noonan
Shamrock Rovers
47'
J. Byrne
Shamrock Rovers
🟥
52'
D. Patton
Sligo Rovers
🔄
59'
D. Watts ↔ M. Asamoah
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
68'
A. Meekison ↔ S. Quirk
Sligo Rovers
🟨
72'
M. Asamoah
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
78'
C. Kavanagh ↔ J. O'Donnell
Sligo Rovers
82'
G. Burke · Assist: M. Healy
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
86'
S. Quirk
Sligo Rovers
🔄
88'
J. Esua ↔ K. McDonagh
Sligo Rovers
🟨
90+2'
G. Burke
Shamrock Rovers

Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.9%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sligo Rovers Win 27.7%
Draw 15.4%
Shamrock Rovers Win 56.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sligo Rovers0.94
Shamrock Rovers1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WWDLW
29 GF / 39 GA
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WLDWL
48 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
11
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
12
2.55
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 28 matches
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 27 matches
Sligo Rovers Statistic Shamrock Rovers
9 Wins 17
5 Draws 5
14 Losses 5
29 Goals For 48
39 Goals Against 21
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
11 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 3
2.55 Shots On Goal 4.63
9.41 Total Shots 13.33
3.68 Corners 4.67
45.2% Ball Possession 59.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shamrock Rovers's more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sligo Rovers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Shamrock Rovers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 44 points while Sligo Rovers sit 9 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shamrock Rovers. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sligo Rovers expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Shamrock Rovers in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shamrock Rovers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

With 19 points from 21 games and a place of 9, Sligo Rovers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 15:33 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on William Fitzgerald (2 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), Cian Kavanagh (1 goals), with creative support from William Fitzgerald (3 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), Archie Meekison (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Shamrock Rovers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 44 points after 23 matches. With 13 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Graham Burke (5 goals), John McGovern (3 goals), Michael Noonan (2 goals), with creative support from John McGovern (2 assists), Jack Byrne (2 assists), Victor Ozhianvuna (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers won 4 times, Shamrock Rovers won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:28 from Sligo Rovers's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Sligo Rovers 4-1-4-1 / Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
H2H summary: Sligo Rovers wins 4, draws 3, Shamrock Rovers wins 8

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 31 9 12 10 41:44 -3 39
W L L D D
7 31 9 10 12 41:47 -6 37
L W L D W
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation