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24.10.2026 13:30
Tony Bezzina Stadium
Referee: P. Farrugia
Sliema Wanderers
Match Timeline
Marsaxlokk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
D. Camara
Sliema Wanderers
⚽
30'
S. Smajlagic
Marsaxlokk
🟨
38'
T. Teuma
Sliema Wanderers
⚽
44'
V. Drobarov
Sliema Wanderers
🟨
48'
A. Satariano
Sliema Wanderers
🔄
58'
S. Smajlagic ↔ Dodo
Marsaxlokk
🔄
58'
D. Simkus ↔ M. Garcia
Marsaxlokk
🔄
72'
B. Gambarte ↔ S. Pisani
Sliema Wanderers
🔄
72'
M. Awad ↔ W. M. Alli
Sliema Wanderers
🔄
77'
J. Minala ↔ I. Christie-Davies
Marsaxlokk
🔄
86'
A. Limbombe ↔ N. Robertha
Sliema Wanderers
🔄
87'
O. El Hasni ↔ Weder
Marsaxlokk
🔄
87'
N. Muscat ↔ T. Caruana
Marsaxlokk
🟨
90+1'
Marsaxlokk
Marsaxlokk
🟨
90+2'
M. Garcia
Marsaxlokk
🔄
90+1'
T. Teuma ↔ C. Kouadio
Sliema Wanderers

Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sliema Wanderers Win 37.8%
Draw 15.7%
Marsaxlokk Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sliema Wanderers1.42
Marsaxlokk1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers
W L D D W
8 GF / 6 GA
Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk
L W W L W
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
7
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 10 matches
Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 13 matches
Sliema Wanderers Statistic Marsaxlokk
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 5
15 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 17
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
7 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Marsaxlokk's more proactive style and Sliema Wanderers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Marsaxlokk. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Marsaxlokk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 17 points while Sliema Wanderers sit 6 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Marsaxlokk having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sliema Wanderers Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Sliema Wanderers have collected 11 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Marsaxlokk Analysis

Marsaxlokk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 17 points after 8 outings. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:10, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sliema Wanderers won 2 times, Marsaxlokk won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Sliema Wanderers's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
H2H summary: Sliema Wanderers wins 2, draws 3, Marsaxlokk wins 4

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 1 2 23:9 14 25
W L W W W
2 11 6 2 3 21:14 7 20
W L L W W
3 11 5 3 3 15:14 1 18
D W W L D
4 11 4 5 2 17:13 4 17
D W D D D
5 11 4 4 3 22:15 7 16
L L D D D
6 11 4 4 3 13:15 -2 16
W D W W D
7 11 4 3 4 14:11 3 15
D W D L L
8 11 4 2 5 17:16 1 14
W W L W L
9 11 3 5 3 15:20 -5 14
L D L D D
10 11 2 5 4 13:14 -1 11
L L D L D
11 11 1 3 7 9:21 -12 6
D D W L D
12 11 0 5 6 9:26 -17 5
L D L D D
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)