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BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
13.09.2026 12:15
Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov
Referee: G. Kabakov
Slavia Sofia
Match Timeline
Spartak Varna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
R. Raychev ↔ U. Balde
Slavia Sofia
🟨
50'
Angel Granchov
Spartak Varna
🟨
60'
Boubacar Hanne
Spartak Varna
🟨
65'
David Malembana
Slavia Sofia
🔄
66'
K. Stoyanov ↔ V. Nikolov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
66'
A. Ivanov ↔ A. Gomes
Spartak Varna
🔄
66'
D. Valverde ↔ D. Lozev
Spartak Varna
🔄
74'
I. Minchev ↔ M. Dosso
Slavia Sofia
🔄
75'
T. Silva ↔ Jota Lopes
Spartak Varna
🔄
76'
A. Ahmedov ↔ O. M. Chidera
Spartak Varna
🟨
80'
Diego Ferraresso
Slavia Sofia
🔄
82'
E. Stoev ↔ V. Kazaldzhiev
Slavia Sofia
🔄
82'
Y. Bornosuzov ↔ E. Gogev
Slavia Sofia
🔄
85'
B. Hanne ↔ T. Chunchukov
Spartak Varna

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Slavia Sofia Win 42%
Draw 23.4%
Spartak Varna Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slavia Sofia1.72
Spartak Varna1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
WWDLW
33 GF / 17 GA
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WLDWL
24 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
10
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
1.63
Shots on Goal
1.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 17 matches
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 16 matches
Slavia Sofia Statistic Spartak Varna
7 Wins 6
7 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
33 Goals For 24
17 Goals Against 22
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
10 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
1.63 Shots On Goal 1.75
3.13 Total Shots 4.38
1.88 Corners 1
24.1% Ball Possession 21.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Slavia Sofia's more proactive style and Spartak Varna's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Spartak Varna arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Spartak Varna. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Slavia Sofia Analysis

Slavia Sofia are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:6 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Spartak Varna Analysis

Spartak Varna sit 8 with 8 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 9:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Slavia Sofia won 4 times, Spartak Varna won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:9 from Slavia Sofia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Slavia Sofia wins 4, draws 2, Spartak Varna wins 2

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 23:4 19 28
W D W W W
2 11 8 3 0 27:9 18 27
W D W W D
3 10 8 2 0 21:7 14 26
W W W D D
4 11 7 1 3 21:13 8 22
L W W L W
5 11 6 1 4 17:14 3 19
W W W W L
6 11 5 2 4 15:17 -2 17
L D L L W
7 11 3 4 4 11:15 -4 13
W L D D D
8 11 2 5 4 9:9 0 11
L L D W L
9 11 2 3 6 9:20 -11 9
L D D W L
10 11 2 2 7 13:21 -8 8
W D L L D
11 11 2 2 7 6:14 -8 8
D D L W L
12 11 1 5 5 12:19 -7 8
D W L D L
13 11 2 2 7 10:21 -11 8
L L L L D
14 11 1 3 7 11:22 -11 6
L D D L L
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