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BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
19.09.2026 14:00
Yunost Stadium
Slavia Mozyr
Match Timeline
Naftan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Andrey Solovey
Slavia Mozyr
🟨
6'
Denis Sadovskiy
Naftan
🔄
36'
I. Pranovich ↔ A. Voskoboynikov
Naftan
🟨
45'
Andrey Solovey
Slavia Mozyr
⚽
50'
A. Drabatovich
Naftan
🔄
59'
D. Fedorenko ↔ K. Chernook
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
59'
A. Shemruk ↔ A. Derzhinskiy
Slavia Mozyr
🟨
71'
Timur Galimzyanov
Naftan
🔄
73'
T. Galimzyanov ↔ A. Savitskiy
Naftan
🟨
76'
Artem Voskoboynikov
Naftan
🔄
78'
A. Dzhigero ↔ R. Ngatchou
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
78'
N. Melnikov ↔ P. Chikida
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
81'
E. Shevchenko ↔ I. Verenich
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
90'
G. Mafwenta ↔ V. Krolik
Naftan

Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Slavia Mozyr Win 86.1%
Draw 6.9%
Naftan Win 6.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slavia Mozyr1.6
Naftan1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr
WWDLW
34 GF / 33 GA
Naftan Naftan
WLDWL
29 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
2.24
15
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
17
1.24
Shots on Goal
1.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 29 matches
Naftan Naftan 29 matches
Slavia Mozyr Statistic Naftan
11 Wins 4
8 Draws 7
10 Losses 18
34 Goals For 29
33 Goals Against 65
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 2.24
15 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 11
1.24 Shots On Goal 1.64
0 Total Shots 0.45
1.43 Corners 1.91
16.5% Ball Possession 19.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Naftan arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Naftan. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slavia Mozyr expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Naftan in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Naftan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Slavia Mozyr arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 25 points compared to Naftan in 16 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Slavia Mozyr Analysis

Slavia Mozyr are currently 10 in the standings with 25 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 23:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Naftan Analysis

With 10 points from 21 games and a place of 16, Naftan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 15 defeats with a 17:52 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Slavia Mozyr won 5 times, Naftan won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:0 from Slavia Mozyr's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Slavia Mozyr 3-4-3 / Naftan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Slavia Mozyr wins 5, draws 0, Naftan wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 8 1 49:18 31 50
W W W D D
2 24 14 7 3 41:20 21 49
W D L W D
3 23 15 4 4 43:19 24 49
W W W L D
4 24 13 4 7 31:20 11 43
W W W W D
5 24 13 4 7 39:23 16 43
W W W W L
6 25 11 7 7 29:21 8 40
W D W D L
7 24 11 6 7 34:23 11 39
L W L W W
8 25 10 4 11 32:33 -1 34
L L L W W
9 24 8 6 10 29:31 -2 30
L W L L L
10 24 6 7 11 25:31 -6 25
L L L L W
11 25 6 7 12 24:42 -18 25
L L L D W
12 24 5 8 11 24:42 -18 23
L L D D L
13 24 4 9 11 18:30 -12 21
L W L D L
14 23 5 6 12 23:40 -17 21
L W D D D
15 24 4 5 15 24:55 -31 17
W W D L L
16 24 2 10 12 22:39 -17 16
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga