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10.10.2026 15:30
Tarczynski Arena
Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland
Slask Wroclaw
Match Timeline
Lech Poznan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Filip Jagiełło
Lech Poznan
⚽
31'
F. Jagiello · Assist: M. Skrzypczak
Lech Poznan
🟨
45+1'
Michal Gurgul
Lech Poznan
🟨
45'
Wojciech Mońka
Lech Poznan
⚽
50'
P. Rodriguez · Assist: J. Pereira
Lech Poznan
🟨
56'
Karol Linetty
Slask Wroclaw
🔄
60'
F. Jagiello ↔ A. Kozubal
Lech Poznan
🔄
60'
R. Gumny ↔ P. Walemark
Lech Poznan
🔄
61'
L. Marjanac ↔ P. M. Dembele
Slask Wroclaw
🔄
61'
K. Linetty ↔ A. Ciucka
Slask Wroclaw
⚽
70'
P. Walemark · Assist: M. Ishak
Lech Poznan
🔄
72'
M. Ishak ↔ Y. Agnero
Lech Poznan
🔄
72'
L. Bengtsson ↔ D. Hakans
Lech Poznan
⚽
73'
P. Walemark · Assist: D. Hakans
Lech Poznan
🔄
75'
P. Samiec-Talar ↔ E. Shabani
Slask Wroclaw
🔄
75'
P. Banaszak ↔ Ieltsin Camoes
Slask Wroclaw
🔄
76'
R. Murawski ↔ G. Berggren
Lech Poznan
🟨
88'
Marc Llinares
Slask Wroclaw
🟨
90+5'
Patrik Wålemark
Lech Poznan
⚽
90'
G. Tomasiewicz · Assist: A. Timossi
Slask Wroclaw

Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Slask Wroclaw Win 24.7%
Draw 15.3%
Lech Poznan Win 60%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slask Wroclaw1.61
Lech Poznan2.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
L L L L D
4 GF / 10 GA
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
D W L L W
9 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
14
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
17
3.67
Shots on Goal
6.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 19 matches
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 21 matches
Slask Wroclaw Statistic Lech Poznan
6 Wins 14
6 Draws 3
7 Losses 4
37 Goals For 49
29 Goals Against 23
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
14 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
3.67 Shots On Goal 6.87
11.89 Total Shots 16.93
4.33 Corners 6.73
48.8% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Lech Poznan's more proactive style and Slask Wroclaw's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slask Wroclaw expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Lech Poznan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lech Poznan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lech Poznan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 19 points while Slask Wroclaw sit 15 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lech Poznan. Lech Poznan look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Slask Wroclaw Analysis

Slask Wroclaw approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 6 points from 9 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:15, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through P. Samiec-Talar (3 goals), P. Banaszak (2 goals), E. Shabani (1 goals), with creative support from P. Samiec-Talar (3 assists), E. Shabani (1 assists), A. Ciucka (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lech Poznan Analysis

Lech Poznan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 19 points after 8 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 17:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on A. Sayyadmanesh (5 goals), Pablo Rodríguez (2 goals), P. Wålemark (2 goals), with creative support from Pablo Rodríguez (3 assists), P. Wålemark (3 assists), L. Palma (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slask Wroclaw won 6 times, Lech Poznan won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Slask Wroclaw's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: Slask Wroclaw 5-3-2 / Lech Poznan 4-4-2
H2H summary: Slask Wroclaw wins 6, draws 4, Lech Poznan wins 5

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 9 1 1 29:10 19 28
W W W W L
2 12 8 3 1 21:11 10 27
D D W D W
3 11 7 3 1 19:9 10 24
W W W W W
4 12 6 5 1 23:11 12 23
L D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 19:15 4 21
W D L W W
6 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
W D W L W
7 12 5 4 3 15:15 0 19
D W L L W
8 12 6 0 6 22:17 5 18
L L W W W
9 12 5 3 4 14:18 -4 18
W L L W L
10 11 5 0 6 14:17 -3 15
W L L L L
11 11 4 2 5 10:16 -6 14
L W L W W
12 12 3 4 5 17:21 -4 13
D W W D L
13 12 3 3 6 14:19 -5 12
L D W L L
14 12 1 8 3 15:16 -1 11
D D L D D
15 12 2 3 7 16:22 -6 9
W L L L L
16 12 2 2 8 16:23 -7 8
L L L W D
17 12 2 2 8 12:28 -16 8
L L L L L
18 12 2 0 10 16:28 -12 6
L W L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation