UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Zirka Stadium
Referee: M. Raida
SK Poltava
Match Timeline
Dynamo Kyiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
A. Yarmolenko
Dynamo Kyiv
🟨
15'
Aliou Thiare
Dynamo Kyiv
🟨
23'
Yevgen Misyura
SK Poltava
🔄
26'
D. Sukhoruchko ↔ B. Kobzar
SK Poltava
🔄
46'
M. Shaparenko ↔ O. Yatsyk
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
46'
V. Brazhko ↔ M. Mykhaylenko
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
60'
A. Yarmolenko ↔ N. Voloshyn
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
60'
O. Pikhalyonok ↔ V. Buyalskyy
Dynamo Kyiv
🟨
66'
Vladyslav Danylenko
SK Poltava
🔄
70'
V. Sad ↔ O. Pyatov
SK Poltava
🔄
79'
V. Lobko ↔ E. Guerrero
Dynamo Kyiv
🔄
83'
I. Kotsyumaka ↔ M. Buzhyn
SK Poltava
🔄
83'
V. Danylenko ↔ D. Plakhtyr
SK Poltava
🔄
83'
A. Doroshenko ↔ M. Marusych
SK Poltava
90'
E. Guerrero · Assist: N. Voloshyn
Dynamo Kyiv

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 96.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
96.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SK Poltava Win 3.3%
Draw 0%
Dynamo Kyiv Win 96.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
SK Poltava0.98
Dynamo Kyiv2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
SK Poltava SK Poltava
WWDLW
23 GF / 72 GA
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
WLDWL
78 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.95
2.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
14
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
26
1.28
Shots on Goal
2.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SK Poltava SK Poltava 28 matches
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 40 matches
SK Poltava Statistic Dynamo Kyiv
2 Wins 20
6 Draws 6
20 Losses 14
23 Goals For 78
72 Goals Against 49
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
2.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
14 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 32
18 Over 2.5 26
13 Over 3.5 14
1 Clean Sheets 12
13 Failed To Score 9
1.28 Shots On Goal 2.97
4.36 Total Shots 8.11
1.92 Corners 3.61
25.8% Ball Possession 32.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Dynamo Kyiv's more proactive style and SK Poltava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Dynamo Kyiv carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 48 points while SK Poltava sit 16 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. SK Poltava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SK Poltava expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dynamo Kyiv in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dynamo Kyiv having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dynamo Kyiv.

SK Poltava Analysis

With 12 points from 27 games and a place of 16, SK Poltava still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 23:70 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Marusych (3 goals), V. Odaryuk (3 goals), D. Plakhtyr (2 goals), with creative support from V. Odaryuk (3 assists), A. Doroshenko (2 assists), M. Marusych (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dynamo Kyiv Analysis

Placed 4 with 48 points from 27 outings, Dynamo Kyiv continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 59:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ponomarenko (12 goals), A. Yarmolenko (7 goals), V. Buyalskyy (6 goals), with creative support from O. Pikhalyonok (9 assists), V. Buyalskyy (6 assists), N. Voloshyn (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SK Poltava won 1 times, Dynamo Kyiv won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from SK Poltava's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: SK Poltava 4-2-3-1 / Dynamo Kyiv 4-3-3
H2H summary: SK Poltava wins 1, draws 0, Dynamo Kyiv wins 1

Lineups

SK Poltava
Formation
Dynamo Kyiv
M. Minchev
M. Minchev
A. Savenkov
A. Savenkov
V. Pidlepych
V. Pidlepych
Y. Misyura
Y. Misyura
I. Kotsyumaka
I. Kotsyumaka
A. Doroshenko
A. Doroshenko
V. Danylenko
V. Danylenko
V. Odaryuk
V. Odaryuk
V. Sad
V. Sad
D. Galenkov
D. Galenkov
D. Sukhoruchko
D. Sukhoruchko
V. Surkis
V. Surkis
M. Korobov
M. Korobov
K. Bilovar
K. Bilovar
A. Thiare
A. Thiare
V. Dubinchak
V. Dubinchak
V. Brazhko
V. Brazhko
A. Yarmolenko
A. Yarmolenko
M. Shaparenko
M. Shaparenko
O. Pikhalyonok
O. Pikhalyonok
S. Ogundana
S. Ogundana
V. Lobko
V. Lobko
SK Poltava 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Minchev
G
12
A. Savenkov
D
5
V. Pidlepych
D
20
Y. Misyura
🟨 23'
D
95
I. Kotsyumaka
↓ 83'
D
21
A. Doroshenko
↓ 83'
M
15
V. Danylenko
↓ 83' 🟨 66'
M
8
V. Odaryuk
M
10
V. Sad
↓ 70'
F
7
D. Galenkov
M
38
D. Sukhoruchko
↓ 26'
Substitutes
96
D. Yermolov
G
19
M. Buzhyn
↑ 83'
D
2
M. Kononov
D
44
D. Plakhtyr
↑ 83'
M
93
B. Kobzar
↑ 26'
F
14
M. Marusych
↑ 83'
F
11
O. Pyatov
↑ 70'
M
Dynamo Kyiv 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
71
V. Surkis
G
13
M. Korobov
40
K. Bilovar
D
66
A. Thiare
🟨 15'
D
44
V. Dubinchak
D
6
V. Brazhko
↓ 46'
M
7
A. Yarmolenko
⚽ 3' ↓ 60'
M
10
M. Shaparenko
↓ 46'
M
8
O. Pikhalyonok
↓ 60'
M
16
S. Ogundana
M
19
V. Lobko
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
51
V. Morgun
G
74
D. Ignatenko
G
9
N. Voloshyn
🎯 90' ↑ 60'
M
2
K. Vivcharenko
D
32
T. Mykhavko
D
20
O. Karavaev
D
29
V. Buyalskyy
↑ 60'
M
5
O. Yatsyk
↑ 46'
M
91
M. Mykhaylenko
↑ 46'
M
39
E. Guerrero
⚽ 90' ↑ 79'
F
14
P. Lyusin
M
4
D. Popov
D
Last matches: SK Poltava
23.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kryvbas KR
3
3
D
24.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kolos Kovalivka
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Obolon'-Brovar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Polessya
0
4
L
03.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
3
3
D
19.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Karpaty
0
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
0
4
L
02.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kudrivka
0
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Veres Rivne
2
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
SK Poltava
Bukovyna
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
SK Poltava
Inhulets
4
1
W
14.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Ruh Lviv
1
2
L
08.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
3
L
01.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
21.11.25
Pre
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
7
L
Last matches: Dynamo Kyiv
24.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kudrivka
3
2
W
13.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kryvbas KR
6
5
W
17.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
0
1
L
19.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Oleksandria
5
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Obolon'-Brovar
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Polessya
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Ruh Lviv
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Rīgas FS
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Zimbru
5
3
W
09.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Saburtalo
2
0
W
09.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Kudrivka
2
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Veres Rivne
3
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Kauno Žalgiris
0
1
L
25.01.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Malisheva
8
1
W
H2H: SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv
16.05.26
H2H
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
01.12.25
H2H
Dynamo Kyiv
SK Poltava
1
2
W
Last matches: SK Poltava
10.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kryvbas KR
3
3
D
10.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Polessya
0
4
L
03.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
3
3
D
13.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Karpaty
0
4
L
02.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kudrivka
0
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
SK Poltava
Inhulets
4
1
W
14.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Ruh Lviv
1
2
L
08.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
3
L
21.11.25
Pre
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
26.10.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Kolos Kovalivka
2
2
D
17.10.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Obolon'-Brovar
1
2
L
21.09.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
2
L
29.08.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
1
4
L
08.08.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
H2H at home: SK Poltava
16.05.26
H2H
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
Last matches: Dynamo Kyiv
09.05.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kryvbas KR
6
5
W
11.04.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
19.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Oleksandria
5
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Polessya
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Dynamo Kyiv
Korona Kielce
0
0
D
11.12.25
UEF
Dynamo Kyiv
Fiorentina
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kudrivka
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Dynamo Kyiv
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
23.10.25
UEF
Dynamo Kyiv
Samsunspor
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
3
3
D
13.09.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Obolon'-Brovar
2
2
D
21.08.25
UEF
Dynamo Kyiv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
3
L
16.08.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4
1
W
12.08.25
UEF
Dynamo Kyiv
Pafos
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Ruh Lviv
5
1
W
02.08.25
Pre
Dynamo Kyiv
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
H2H away: Dynamo Kyiv
16.05.26
H2H
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D