Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
79.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
SJK
VPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SJK
15 matches
VPS
14 matches
| SJK | Statistic | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 17 | Goals For | 13 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.93 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2.1 | Shots On Goal | 1.1 |
| 4.8 | Total Shots | 3 |
| 1.8 | Corners | 2 |
| 19.4% | Ball Possession | 21% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by VPS's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. VPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 13 points while SJK sit 11 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring VPS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SJK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and VPS in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control.
SJK are currently 11 in the standings with 6 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 8:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on J. Streng (2 goals), E. Mastokangas (1 goals), E. Onuoha (1 goals), with creative support from E. Mastokangas (2 assists), S. Yussif (2 assists), K. Paananen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
VPS sit 6 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Luka Smyth (3 goals), S. Lindholm (2 goals), J. Muzinga (1 goals), with creative support from Jayden Turfkruier (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 5 times, VPS won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:32 from SJK's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Lineups
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
KuPS
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
KI Klaksvik
SJK
KI Klaksvik
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Umeå FC
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
KuPS
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
KI Klaksvik
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Turku PS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 26 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
VPS
Away
|
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 24 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 22 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
SJK
Home
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6:29 | -23 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|