FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
1 - 2
OmaSp Stadion
Referee: D. Antamo
SJK
Match Timeline
VPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
J. Streng · Assist: K. Paananen
SJK
🔄
46'
K. Kouassivi-Benissan ↔ O. Ogunniyi
VPS
🔄
55'
O. Tessilimi ↔ O. Vaisto
SJK
🟨
59'
Oskari Väistö
SJK
60'
S. Lindholm
VPS
🟨
62'
Aapo Bostrom
SJK
🔄
70'
A. Bostrom ↔ M. Arsalo
SJK
🔄
70'
S. Yussif ↔ M. Suso
SJK
🟨
72'
Yassin Daoussi
VPS
🔄
76'
A. Raisanen ↔ J. Muzinga
VPS
🔄
76'
Y. Daoussi ↔ V. Ronnberg
VPS
🔄
81'
J. Streng ↔ Rangel
SJK
88'
L. Smyth · Assist: V. Ronnberg
VPS
🔄
90+2'
L. Smyth ↔ A. Arrakoski
VPS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.7%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SJK Win 35.6%
Draw 20.3%
VPS Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK1.05
VPS1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK SJK
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
VPS VPS
WLDWL
13 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
8
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
4
2.5
Shots on Goal
1.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK SJK 15 matches
VPS VPS 14 matches
SJK Statistic VPS
4 Wins 4
5 Draws 6
6 Losses 4
17 Goals For 13
20 Goals Against 13
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 5
2.5 Shots On Goal 1.1
6.1 Total Shots 3
2.7 Corners 2
25.2% Ball Possession 21%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by VPS's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. VPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 13 points while SJK sit 11 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring VPS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SJK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and VPS in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control.

SJK Analysis

SJK are currently 11 in the standings with 6 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 8:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on J. Streng (2 goals), E. Mastokangas (1 goals), E. Onuoha (1 goals), with creative support from E. Mastokangas (2 assists), S. Yussif (2 assists), K. Paananen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

VPS Analysis

VPS sit 6 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Luka Smyth (3 goals), S. Lindholm (2 goals), J. Muzinga (1 goals), with creative support from Jayden Turfkruier (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 4 times, VPS won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:31 from SJK's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: SJK 4-2-3-1 / VPS 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: SJK wins 4, draws 2, VPS wins 9

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6
VPS Away
22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10
SJK Home
22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)