FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
OmaSp Stadion
Referee: J. Kontinen
SJK
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
E. Onuoha
SJK
🟨
29'
Kelwin
SJK
🟨
36'
K. Paananen
SJK
43'
Kelwin · Assist: J. Streng
SJK
🔄
46'
L. Ikonen ↔ K. Visser
Turku PS
51'
A. Muzaci · Assist: M. Konkkola
Turku PS
🔄
58'
V. Hanninen ↔ A. Bostrom
SJK
🔄
58'
A. Wilson ↔ S. Yussif
SJK
67'
S. Yakubu
SJK
🔄
70'
Kelwin ↔ Rangel
SJK
🔄
70'
K. Paananen ↔ M. Suso
SJK
🔄
74'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
🔄
74'
A. Sihvonen ↔ T. Karkulowski
Turku PS
🔄
74'
M. Konkkola ↔ N. Veinbergs
Turku PS
🔄
75'
J. Moisio ↔ E. Mastokangas
SJK
78'
M. Suso · Assist: S. Yakubu
SJK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
76.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
SJK Win 23.6%
Draw 38.2%
Turku PS Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK1.1
Turku PS1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK SJK
WWDLW
21 GF / 25 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
19 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
6
1.92
Shots on Goal
2.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK SJK 18 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 18 matches
SJK Statistic Turku PS
4 Wins 7
7 Draws 5
7 Losses 6
21 Goals For 19
25 Goals Against 18
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
1.92 Shots On Goal 2.46
4.69 Total Shots 6.31
2.08 Corners 2.92
19.4% Ball Possession 27.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Turku PS's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Turku PS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SJK expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Turku PS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

SJK Analysis

SJK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 10 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 13:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Elias Mastokangas (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 16 points from 12 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 12:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 8 times, Turku PS won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from SJK's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.4%)
Predicted formations: SJK 3-5-2 / Turku PS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: SJK wins 8, draws 1, Turku PS wins 3
Stats
SJK SJK
Turku PS Turku PS
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 1
2 Offsides 0
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 1
1 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SJK
Formation
Turku PS
R. Paunio
R. Paunio
J. Moisio
J. Moisio
S. Yakubu
🎯
S. Yakubu
O. Vaisto
O. Vaisto
A. Wilson
A. Wilson
V. Hanninen
V. Hanninen
M. Arsalo
M. Arsalo
E. Onuoha
E. Onuoha
J. Streng
🎯
J. Streng
Kelwin
Kelwin
K. Paananen
K. Paananen
E. Henriksson
E. Henriksson
O. Haggstrom
O. Haggstrom
M. Hradecky
M. Hradecky
A. Sihvonen
A. Sihvonen
E. Turkki
E. Turkki
P. Juvanteny
P. Juvanteny
L. Ikonen
L. Ikonen
T. Zaal
T. Zaal
M. Konkkola
🎯
M. Konkkola
A. Muzaci
A. Muzaci
E. Vauhkonen
E. Vauhkonen
SJK 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
R. Paunio
26
J. Moisio
↓ 75'
32
S. Yakubu
⚽ 67' 🎯 78'
5
O. Vaisto
23
A. Wilson
↓ 58'
17
V. Hanninen
↓ 58'
18
M. Arsalo
31
E. Onuoha
🟨 18'
9
J. Streng
🎯 43'
7
Kelwin
⚽ 43' ↓ 70' 🟨 29'
10
K. Paananen
↓ 70' 🟨 36'
Substitutes
35
J. Viitala
19
E. Mastokangas
↑ 75'
33
A. Machaal
29
M. Fanne
99
Rangel
↑ 70'
8
A. Bostrom
↑ 58'
6
S. Yussif
↑ 58'
47
M. Suso
⚽ 78' ↑ 70'
43
S. Bagayogo
Turku PS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Henriksson
2
O. Haggstrom
14
M. Hradecky
17
A. Sihvonen
↓ 74'
3
E. Turkki
6
P. Juvanteny
26
L. Ikonen
↓ 46'
22
T. Zaal
10
M. Konkkola
🎯 51' ↓ 74'
29
A. Muzaci
⚽ 51'
11
E. Vauhkonen
↓ 74'
Substitutes
35
D. Lauri
8
A. Coulibaly
41
S. Anini
↑ 74'
99
K. Visser
↑ 46'
77
T. Karkulowski
↑ 74'
20
M. Kauppila
15
C. Azongnitode
28
T. Vakiparta
44
N. Veinbergs
↑ 74'
Last matches: SJK
18.07.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
0
1
L
27.06.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
SJK
Lahti
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
SJK
Gnistan
2
3
L
23.05.26
Vei
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
Last matches: Turku PS
20.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
1
3
L
11.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
3
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
W
23.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
H2H: SJK vs Turku PS
04.07.26
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
3
1
W
18.04.26
H2H
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
L
07.03.26
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
11.03.23
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
3
2
W
31.10.20
H2H
Turku PS
SJK
1
0
L
01.07.20
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
0
W
27.03.20
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
0
0
D
13.09.18
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
0
W
12.06.18
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
4
0
W
15.04.18
H2H
Turku PS
SJK
0
2
W
21.09.14
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
2
1
W
27.06.14
H2H
Turku PS
SJK
0
1
W
12.05.14
H2H
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
L
Last matches: SJK
18.07.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
2
L
17.06.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
10.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
1
2
L
H2H at home: SJK
04.07.26
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
3
1
W
07.03.26
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
11.03.23
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
3
2
W
01.07.20
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
0
W
27.03.20
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
0
0
D
13.09.18
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
0
W
12.06.18
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
4
0
W
21.09.14
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
2
1
W
Last matches: Turku PS
23.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
H2H away: Turku PS
04.07.26
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
3
1
L
07.03.26
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
11.03.23
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
3
2
L
01.07.20
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
0
L
27.03.20
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
0
0
D
13.09.18
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
1
0
L
12.06.18
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
4
0
L
21.09.14
H2H
SJK
Turku PS
2
1
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 6 1 29:15 14 33
W W W W D
2 16 8 7 1 23:12 11 31
D W D D D
3 16 7 6 3 23:13 10 27
L W W D W
4 16 8 2 6 20:20 0 26
L L D L W
5 16 7 4 5 27:20 7 25
W L L W D
6 16 7 4 5 25:20 5 25
W W L D D
7 16 6 4 6 20:15 5 22
W W W D D
8 16 6 4 6 20:19 1 22
L W L W D
9 16 5 4 7 28:30 -2 19
W L D L W
10
SJK Home
16 3 5 8 18:25 -7 14
L L W D D
11 16 2 6 8 15:32 -17 12
D W L D L
12 16 0 4 12 8:35 -27 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)