Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
43.6%
|
2.55 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
53.4%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
3.85 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
SJK
Lahti
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SJK
25 matches
Lahti
24 matches
| SJK | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 30 | Goals For | 30 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 1.55 | Shots On Goal | 2.05 |
| 3.8 | Total Shots | 6.15 |
| 1.65 | Corners | 2.55 |
| 17.5% | Ball Possession | 28.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Lahti's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SJK expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Lahti in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lahti having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. SJK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lahti.
SJK sit 10 with 18 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 24:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Mastokangas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Streng (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:16 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Martim Ferreira (1 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 4 times, Lahti won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from SJK's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
KuPS
SJK
VPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
VPS
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
VPS
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
KuPS
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
KI Klaksvik
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Lahti
Away
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
SJK
Home
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|