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18.07.2026 14:00
FT
0 - 2
OmaSp Stadion
Referee: Amir Hajizadeh, Finland
SJK
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari · Assist: A. Puukko
KuPS
⚽
31'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba · Assist: T. Jyry
KuPS
🟨
42'
Niilo Kujasalo
KuPS
🟨
44'
Eetu Mömmö
SJK
🔄
46'
M. Suso ↔ J. Streng
SJK
🔄
46'
M. Arsalo ↔ Kelwin
SJK
🔄
58'
K. Paananen ↔ A. Cisse
SJK
🔄
62'
A. Heinonen ↔ G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
62'
S. Heiskanen ↔ K. Adams
KuPS
🔄
70'
A. Puukko ↔ S. Savolainen
KuPS
🔄
70'
T. Jyry ↔ V. R. Gasc
KuPS
🟨
74'
Gustav Engvall
KuPS
🔄
74'
E. Mastokangas ↔ V. Hanninen
SJK
🔄
74'
A. Wilson ↔ Caio Araujo
SJK
🔄
81'
N. Kujasalo ↔ P. Pennanen
KuPS
🟨
86'
Petteri Pennanen
KuPS

SJK vs KuPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
SJK Win 21.2%
Draw 4.4%
KuPS Win 74.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK1.08
KuPS1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK SJK
L W D D L
7 GF / 7 GA
KuPS KuPS
L W W W W
14 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
12
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
8
2.07
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK SJK 20 matches
KuPS KuPS 20 matches
SJK Statistic KuPS
5 Wins 11
7 Draws 7
8 Losses 2
24 Goals For 34
27 Goals Against 18
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
12 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 3
2.07 Shots On Goal 3.41
5.07 Total Shots 8.24
2.2 Corners 3.65
23.3% Ball Possession 34.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around KuPS's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KuPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KuPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 30 points while SJK sit 10 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SJK expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control.

SJK Analysis

So far, SJK have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 14 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 18:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Mastokangas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Streng (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

KuPS Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 30 points from 15 games, KuPS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 27:15, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 goals), with creative support from C. Antwi (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 1 times, KuPS won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from SJK's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: SJK 3-4-1-2 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: SJK wins 1, draws 6, KuPS wins 8

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
D W L L W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W L W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D W W W D
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L L L D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W W L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
D L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10
SJK Home
22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D W D
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs