FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
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OmaSp Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.8%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
SJK Win 22.8%
Draw 6.4%
HJK Helsinki Win 70.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK1.16
HJK Helsinki1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK SJK
WWDLW
25 GF / 31 GA
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WLDWL
40 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
13
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
13
1.94
Shots on Goal
1.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK SJK 22 matches
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 22 matches
SJK Statistic HJK Helsinki
5 Wins 11
7 Draws 4
10 Losses 7
25 Goals For 40
31 Goals Against 26
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
13 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 4
1.94 Shots On Goal 1.76
4.75 Total Shots 4.82
2.06 Corners 1.59
21.9% Ball Possession 22.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. SJK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SJK expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and HJK Helsinki in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HJK Helsinki having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HJK Helsinki. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. HJK Helsinki carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 25 points while SJK sit 11 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

SJK Analysis

SJK sit 11 with 14 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 19:27, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through E. Mastokangas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Streng (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

HJK Helsinki arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 25 points after 16 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 27:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 3 times, HJK Helsinki won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:33 from SJK's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: SJK 4-3-1-2 / HJK Helsinki 4-3-3
H2H summary: SJK wins 3, draws 4, HJK Helsinki wins 8
Last matches: SJK
24.07.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
2
L
18.07.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
0
1
L
04.07.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
3
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
SJK
Lahti
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
SJK
Gnistan
2
3
L
23.05.26
Vei
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
26.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
5
0
W
18.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
2
1
W
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
H2H: SJK vs HJK Helsinki
04.04.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
L
21.03.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
L
22.10.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
4
W
13.09.25
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
20.05.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
4
2
L
11.04.25
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
2
2
D
07.06.24
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
4
1
L
24.04.24
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
24.09.23
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
2
3
L
29.07.23
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
03.06.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
0
0
D
08.03.23
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
2
3
W
18.09.22
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
2
1
L
28.08.22
H2H
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
L
Last matches: SJK
18.07.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
2
L
04.07.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
3
1
W
17.06.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
10.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
1
2
L
H2H at home: SJK
13.09.25
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
11.04.25
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
24.04.24
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
24.09.23
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
2
3
L
29.07.23
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
0
4
L
H2H away: HJK Helsinki
13.09.25
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
11.04.25
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
1
0
L
24.04.24
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
24.09.23
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
2
3
W
29.07.23
H2H
SJK
HJK Helsinki
1
2
W

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 32:16 16 36
W W W W W
2 17 8 7 2 24:14 10 31
L D W D D
3 17 8 4 5 28:20 8 28
W W L L W
4 17 8 4 5 27:21 6 28
W W W L D
5 17 7 6 4 24:16 8 27
L L W W D
6 17 8 3 6 21:21 0 27
D L L D L
7 17 6 4 7 20:16 4 22
L W W W D
8 17 6 4 7 20:20 0 22
L L W L W
9 17 6 4 7 29:30 -1 22
W W L D L
10 17 3 6 8 17:33 -16 15
W D W L D
11
SJK Home
17 3 5 9 19:27 -8 14
L L L W D
12 17 0 5 12 9:36 -27 5
D L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)