Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
76.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
SJK
Gnistan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SJK
23 matches
Gnistan
24 matches
| SJK | Statistic | Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 28 | Goals For | 32 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 1.72 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 4.22 | Total Shots | 8.72 |
| 1.83 | Corners | 2.67 |
| 19.4% | Ball Possession | 34.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Gnistan's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SJK expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Gnistan in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gnistan having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Gnistan. SJK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Gnistan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 28 points while SJK sit 11 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
SJK sit 11 with 14 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 19:27, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through E. Mastokangas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Streng (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gnistan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 28 points after 17 outings. The return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 27:21, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Akinyemi (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 5 times, Gnistan won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from SJK's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
Lineups
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
KuPS
SJK
VPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
VPS
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
KuPS
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
VPS
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
KuPS
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
KI Klaksvik
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Gnistan
Ilves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Gnistan
Away
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
SJK
Home
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|