FINLAND › YKKöSLIIGA
09.05.2026 15:00
OmaSp Stadion
Referee: J. Vuorinen
SJK Akatemia
Match Timeline
JäPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
46'
E. Onuoha
SJK Akatemia
🔄
46'
E. Hautamaki ↔ L. Ouma
SJK Akatemia
🔄
46'
A. Ristola ↔ I. Soderlund
JäPS
⚽
59'
I. Soderlund · Assist: E. Pallas
JäPS
🔄
67'
A. Machaal ↔ A. Muchipay
SJK Akatemia
🔄
67'
E. Pallas ↔ S. Maliki
JäPS
🔄
67'
O. Dahlfors ↔ V. Ahola
JäPS
⚽
71'
O. Jama · Assist: V. Ahola
JäPS
🔄
77'
A. Piiroinen ↔ N. Garang
SJK Akatemia
🔄
77'
O. Pihlaja ↔ N. Rantasalmi
SJK Akatemia
🔄
77'
R. Selander ↔ R. Heidari
JäPS
🟨
81'
O. Raiski
SJK Akatemia
🔄
90+2'
H. Olander ↔ A. Sainio
JäPS

SJK Akatemia vs JäPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
SJK Akatemia Win 43.8%
Draw 37.5%
JäPS Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK Akatemia0.9
JäPS1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
JäPS JäPS
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 6 matches
JäPS JäPS 10 matches
SJK Akatemia Statistic JäPS
1 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
5 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 10
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. JäPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 10 points while SJK Akatemia sit 9 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring JäPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JäPS having the stronger overall control.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia sit 9 with 5 points after 5 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 4:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Ingman (2 goals), L. Ouma (1 goals), L. Vesterbacka (1 goals), with creative support from A. Machaal (1 assists), A. Piiroinen (1 assists), N. Garang (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 10 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 5:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on C. Katashira (1 goals), E. Pallas (1 goals), H. Olander (1 goals), with creative support from H. Olander (1 assists), R. Selander (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, SJK Akatemia won 4 times, JäPS won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from SJK Akatemia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.3%)
H2H summary: SJK Akatemia wins 4, draws 4, JäPS wins 4

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 4 3 45:22 23 58
D W W W W
2 25 14 7 4 41:18 23 49
D L W D W
3 25 13 5 7 47:29 18 44
L W D L L
4 25 11 8 6 32:21 11 41
D L W L W
5
JäPS Away
25 11 2 12 23:36 -13 35
L W L W D
6 25 8 5 12 29:37 -8 29
D L D D L
7 25 8 5 12 27:35 -8 29
D W D W L
8 25 6 6 13 30:45 -15 24
W W L D D
9 25 5 8 12 30:37 -7 23
W L L D W
10 25 2 8 15 17:41 -24 14
D L D L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen