FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
15.06.2026 15:30
OmaSp Stadion
Referee: A. Sugulle
SJK Akatemia
Match Timeline
Haka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
K. Nurmi · Assist: O. Whyte
Haka
🟨
34'
A. Machaal
SJK Akatemia
🔄
46'
D. Bulgakov ↔ O. Raiski
SJK Akatemia
🔄
46'
E. Terribaya ↔ L. Ouma
SJK Akatemia
🔄
46'
A. Machaal ↔ A. Piiroinen
SJK Akatemia
🟨
58'
S. Bagayogo
SJK Akatemia
60'
T. Ali Abubakar · Assist: O. Laaksonen
Haka
🔄
61'
P. Padera ↔ T. Kangaskokko
SJK Akatemia
🔄
67'
J. Kekarainen ↔ A. Muchipay
SJK Akatemia
🔄
67'
K. Nurmi ↔ I. Lanquedoc
Haka
🔄
74'
A. Tiihonen ↔ N. Friberg
Haka
🔄
74'
O. Whyte ↔ T. Lahdensuo
Haka
🟨
77'
T. Kangaskokko
SJK Akatemia
🟨
80'
S. Bagayogo
SJK Akatemia
🟥
80'
S. Bagayogo
SJK Akatemia
🔄
87'
T. Ali Abubakar ↔ N. Sitchinava
Haka
🟨
90+1'
M. Mahlamaki
Haka

SJK Akatemia vs Haka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
SJK Akatemia Win 23%
Draw 7.7%
Haka Win 69.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK Akatemia0.62
Haka1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WWDLW
5 GF / 15 GA
Haka Haka
WLDWL
29 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.45
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
3
BTTS Yes
10
3
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 11 matches
Haka Haka 17 matches
SJK Akatemia Statistic Haka
1 Wins 9
3 Draws 6
7 Losses 2
5 Goals For 29
15 Goals Against 15
0.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
3 BTTS Yes 10
5 Over 1.5 13
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Haka's more proactive style and SJK Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Haka carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 15 points while SJK Akatemia sit 9 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Haka having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Haka.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia sit 9 with 5 points after 9 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 4:12 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Ingman (2 goals), L. Ouma (1 goals), L. Vesterbacka (1 goals), with creative support from A. Machaal (1 assists), A. Piiroinen (1 assists), N. Garang (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Haka Analysis

Placed 4 with 15 points from 9 outings, Haka continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 16:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on I. Lanquedoc (4 goals), R. Pietsalo (4 goals), T. Ali Abubakar (3 goals), with creative support from O. Laaksonen (2 assists), V. Purosalo (2 assists), I. Lanquedoc (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, SJK Akatemia won 1 times, Haka won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from SJK Akatemia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
H2H summary: SJK Akatemia wins 1, draws 0, Haka wins 3

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 3 3 44:21 23 57
W W W W W
2 24 14 6 4 41:18 23 48
L W D W W
3
Haka Away
24 13 5 6 45:26 19 44
W D L L W
4 24 11 7 6 32:21 11 40
L W L W W
5 24 11 2 11 22:34 -12 35
W L W D L
6 24 8 4 12 28:36 -8 28
L D D L L
7 24 8 4 12 26:34 -8 28
W D W L L
8 24 5 6 13 27:43 -16 21
W L D D L
9 24 4 8 12 28:36 -8 20
L L D W W
10 24 2 7 15 16:40 -24 13
L D L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen