TURKEY 1. LIG
13.09.2026 14:00
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Referee: Fatih Tokail, Türkiye
Sivasspor
Match Timeline
Muğlaspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Rey Manaj
Sivasspor
13'
V. Ethemi · Assist: Amilton
Sivasspor
33'
A. Engin · Assist: O. Matur
Muğlaspor
🔄
46'
M. Mohammed ↔ C. Celik
Sivasspor
🔄
46'
M. Diarra ↔ K. Osundina
Muğlaspor
🔄
56'
B. Kapacak ↔ S. Kavrazli
Sivasspor
🔄
67'
M. Celik ↔ O. Erdogan
Sivasspor
🔄
67'
V. Ethemi ↔ E. Ceesay
Sivasspor
🔄
67'
B. Bulut ↔ A. Guneren
Muğlaspor
🔄
67'
Y. Uzunoglu ↔ I. Sissoko
Muğlaspor
🔄
83'
A. Engin ↔ O. Nahirci
Muğlaspor
🔄
83'
D. Avramovski ↔ E. Furat
Muğlaspor
🔄
86'
C. Charisis ↔ O. Aksoy
Sivasspor
🟨
90+1'
Orhan Nahirci
Muğlaspor

Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
60.2%
1.25
BTTS No
50.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.84
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
1.39
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Sivasspor Win 40.1%
Draw 20.2%
Muğlaspor Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sivasspor0.97
Muğlaspor1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sivasspor Sivasspor
WWDLW
7 GF / 9 GA
Muğlaspor Muğlaspor
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
4
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sivasspor Sivasspor 6 matches
Muğlaspor Muğlaspor 6 matches
Sivasspor Statistic Muğlaspor
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
7 Goals For 5
9 Goals Against 4
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 3.17
13.17 Total Shots 9.17
4.17 Corners 2.5
46.2% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Muğlaspor's more proactive style and Sivasspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Muğlaspor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 8 points while Sivasspor sit 17 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sivasspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Muğlaspor in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Muğlaspor having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Muğlaspor. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sivasspor Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 17, Sivasspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 5:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Manaj (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kapacak (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Muğlaspor Analysis

Muğlaspor are currently 10 in the standings with 8 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 3:2 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Yasin Uzunoglu (2 goals), with creative support from Poyraz Efe Yıldırım (1 assists), Daniel Avramovski (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Sivasspor 4-2-3-1 / Muğlaspor 4-4-2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation