SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
Studenternas IP
Referee: A. Ladeback
Sirius
Match Timeline
Mjallby AIF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
R. Ure · Assist: M. Lindberg
Sirius
46'
R. Ure · Assist: I. Bjerkebo
Sirius
🟨
49'
J. Gustavsson
Mjallby AIF
50'
R. Ure · Assist: O. Adindu
Sirius
56'
A. Samuelsen · Assist: A. Manneh
Mjallby AIF
🔄
57'
V. Gustafson ↔ T. Helge
Mjallby AIF
🔄
57'
L. Tidstrand ↔ L. Svanberg
Mjallby AIF
🔄
57'
V. Granath ↔ M. Nielsen
Mjallby AIF
65'
A. Samuelsen · Assist: M. Nielsen
Mjallby AIF
69'
R. Ure · Assist: O. Adindu
Sirius
🔄
70'
V. Svensson ↔ C. Nilden
Sirius
🔄
71'
A. Iqbal ↔ T. Pettersson
Mjallby AIF
🔄
77'
J. Kjaer ↔ B. Bang-Kittilsen
Mjallby AIF
81'
L. Svanberg
Mjallby AIF
🔄
87'
I. Bjerkebo ↔ M. Nartey
Sirius
🔄
90'
O. Adindu ↔ E. Eld
Sirius
90'
T. Pettersson · Assist: T. Miettinen
Mjallby AIF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sirius Win 63.4%
Draw 3.3%
Mjallby AIF Win 33.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sirius2
Mjallby AIF1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sirius Sirius
WWDLW
37 GF / 19 GA
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
WLDWL
29 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.31
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
11
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
10
5.6
Shots on Goal
5.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sirius Sirius 16 matches
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 17 matches
Sirius Statistic Mjallby AIF
12 Wins 6
2 Draws 6
2 Losses 5
37 Goals For 29
19 Goals Against 26
2.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
11 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 6
5.6 Shots On Goal 5.3
14.7 Total Shots 12.3
4.9 Corners 4.8
47.5% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mjallby AIF. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sirius expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Mjallby AIF in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mjallby AIF having the stronger overall control. Sirius arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 28 points compared to Mjallby AIF in 6 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sirius Analysis

Sirius come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 28 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 27:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on I. Bjerkebo (9 goals), R. Ure (7 goals), H. Castegren (2 goals), with creative support from V. Svensson (3 assists), I. Bjerkebo (2 assists), R. Ure (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Mjallby AIF Analysis

So far, Mjallby AIF have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 15 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 14:11 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by J. Bergstrom (5 goals), A. Manneh (2 goals), E. Stroud (2 goals), with creative support from A. Manneh (2 assists), L. Thorell (2 assists), J. Gustavsson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sirius won 2 times, Mjallby AIF won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:34 from Sirius's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
Predicted formations: Sirius 4-3-3 / Mjallby AIF 3-4-3
Missing players: Sirius 6, Mjallby AIF 2
H2H summary: Sirius wins 2, draws 3, Mjallby AIF wins 10

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 47:27 20 42
L L L D W
2 19 11 3 5 44:18 26 36
L W W W D
3 18 10 2 6 41:19 22 32
W W L L W
4 19 8 7 4 27:19 8 31
W D W W W
5 19 8 7 4 33:29 4 31
L W W L D
6 18 9 4 5 28:27 1 31
W W W L D
7 19 9 2 8 33:30 3 29
W L W L W
8 19 8 5 6 28:33 -5 29
W D L W L
9 19 7 5 7 25:18 7 26
W L L W D
10 19 6 6 7 27:31 -4 24
L W W D L
11 19 6 5 8 24:39 -15 23
W D L W W
12 17 5 5 7 24:27 -3 20
L W L L D
13 19 5 4 10 21:29 -8 19
L D L L D
14 19 4 4 11 17:31 -14 16
L L W W L
15 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
L D L L W
16 19 2 5 12 13:35 -22 11
W D L L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation